Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
19
Trades
467
lifetime
Volume
$3.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$97
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-20 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% +$5
Other
33% 0% $-18
Crypto
6% 50% $-0
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -43 $-5 50¢ $-22 $-16 06-20 04:09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -134 $-24 15¢ $-20 +$4 06-08 03:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -16 $-8 99¢ $-16 $-8 06-20 04:09
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -89 $-12 12¢ $-11 +$1 06-20 04:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -21 $-3 30¢ $-6 $-3 06-07 07:27
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes -6 $-5 97¢ $-6 $-1 06-07 07:31
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -87 $-9 $-5 +$4 06-20 04:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -69 $-10 $-5 +$5 06-20 04:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -72 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-20 04:08
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes -33 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-20 04:10