Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
19
Trades
467
lifetime
Volume
$3.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$101
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-20 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% +$5
Other
33% 0% $-18
Crypto
6% 50% $-0
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -18 $-16 100¢ $-18 $-2 06-20 04:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -134 $-24 12¢ $-17 +$7 06-08 03:21
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -89 $-12 16¢ $-14 $-2 06-20 04:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -16 $-8 72¢ $-12 $-3 06-20 04:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -69 $-10 12¢ $-9 +$1 06-20 04:09
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -87 $-9 10¢ $-8 +$0 06-20 04:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -43 $-5 18¢ $-7 $-2 06-20 04:09
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes -6 $-5 96¢ $-6 $-1 06-07 07:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -72 $-3 $-5 $-2 06-20 04:08
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes -33 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-20 04:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -21 $-3 14¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 07:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +33 $5 $0 $-5 06-08 03:26