Pretty-Daybed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

467

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-20 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

60% 67% +$5

Other

33% 0% $-18

Crypto

6% 50% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bill or hillary publicly testify before congress by feb 28	2	$111	61	61	+0	open	—	03-01 07:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$103	83	83	+0	open	—	02-27 17:10
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$97	54	54	+0	open	—	02-24 02:44
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$70	104	0	+104	open	—	02-19 12:47
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	1	$66	77	0	+77	open	—	03-02 06:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$65	37	37	+0	open	—	03-10 13:05
Iran Nuke before 2027?	2	$61	361	433	-72	open	—	06-20 04:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$57	76	0	+76	open	—	02-27 18:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$56	145	145	+0	open	—	04-12 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$56	52	52	+0	open	—	05-04 14:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	03-07 19:14
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	02-24 02:45
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$52	29	29	+0	open	—	02-24 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 14:05
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-09 02:58
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	02-24 02:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	02-23 04:14
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	02-22 07:14
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 29 2026 897	1	$39	51	0	+51	open	—	03-21 05:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	03-29 14:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	03-29 14:03
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$33	104	0	+104	open	—	03-28 04:47
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	03-02 13:10
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	5	$31	435	435	+0	open	—	03-24 06:13
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	2	$31	67	67	+0	open	—	02-22 02:05
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	03-10 13:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$30	67	48	+19	open	—	03-04 02:21
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$30	111	0	+111	open	—	02-19 02:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	02-18 18:07
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	02-28 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 04:10:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xcbc952…
06-20 04:10:50	ebola case in the us by june 30	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xebaffd…
06-20 04:10:47	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x6d48e4…
06-20 04:10:44	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0xd5c858…
06-20 04:10:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x23f280…
06-20 04:10:37	us bank failure by june 30 227	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x2b8d8c…
06-20 04:10:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xcb563d…
06-20 04:10:16	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x32b84f…
06-20 04:09:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x3c86e7…
06-20 04:09:41	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x867556…
06-20 04:09:32	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x4b6a77…
06-20 04:09:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x2cb78c…
06-20 04:09:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0x436b74…
06-20 04:09:04	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	10¢	$9	0xa9dafa…
06-20 04:08:53	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	89	14¢	$12	0x92de87…
06-20 04:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x94a5d1…
06-20 04:08:37	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	433	7¢	$32	0xc56501…
06-08 03:26:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xae3406…
06-08 03:24:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x481a88…
06-08 03:23:58	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x86b8c2…
06-08 03:23:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2512ef…
06-08 03:21:30	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	18¢	$24	0x2650d5…
06-07 17:31:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x24856d…
06-07 17:29:42	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf05cda…
06-07 07:36:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3a6aca…
06-07 07:31:12	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x45ccc6…
06-07 07:27:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x4123dc…
06-07 07:26:37	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x239a8d…
06-06 11:49:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6f1f13…
06-06 11:49:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x06813f…
06-04 05:18:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x5c877d…
06-04 05:18:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb07614…
06-02 09:36:27	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	361	8¢	$29	0xedbe1c…
05-31 12:55:08	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9eb34d…
05-31 12:54:05	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x32fc7a…
05-31 12:52:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x7bd919…
05-27 18:31:28	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdf6fa2…
05-19 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x72fccb…
05-19 03:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7115bc…
05-19 03:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4753a5…
05-19 03:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9144de…
05-19 03:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55b9a9…
05-19 03:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4debaa…
05-19 03:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5116af…
05-19 03:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa26542…
05-19 03:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x95359b…
05-17 07:27:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xa51181…
05-15 11:46:25	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x545a18…
05-15 07:34:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2967a9…
05-14 03:47:00	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xdf2b0b…
05-13 06:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xec5a18…
05-13 06:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x10ba51…
05-13 05:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c4b75…
05-13 05:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x26d0f5…
05-13 05:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf56cf4…
05-13 05:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfb893d…
05-13 05:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5d9757…
05-13 05:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6bd3da…
05-13 05:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9d925d…
05-13 05:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8dd924…
05-13 03:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa76ae5…
05-13 03:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x70b47b…
05-13 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5ddd94…
05-13 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfb31ae…
05-13 03:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb4540a…
05-11 14:48:51	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe62e20…
05-11 13:59:14	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xfd11d2…
05-09 07:25:24	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x781ebc…
05-09 07:23:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7d59c1…
05-09 07:05:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x0f7cd8…
05-09 07:05:23	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x93ede7…
05-08 04:56:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x79b634…
05-08 04:49:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x94a922…
05-08 04:48:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0536a3…
05-08 04:48:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfdc2a0…
05-08 04:47:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe2d7a7…
05-08 04:44:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xb8811e…
05-07 11:12:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x86c9e1…
05-07 11:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa0f307…
05-05 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x980fbe…
05-05 09:05:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x1ac5c4…
05-04 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	52	49¢	$26	0x758830…
05-04 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xaa66e2…
05-04 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8736a9…
05-04 14:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb258ac…
05-04 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x92b979…
05-04 13:57:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0cb761…
05-04 13:54:12	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xfe94b1…
05-04 13:50:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe2bbd5…
05-04 13:48:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x997204…
05-04 13:48:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3fa7f8…
05-01 12:00:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x49cc11…
04-30 06:42:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0c9a88…
04-30 06:40:34	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xf1a132…
04-30 06:40:06	Starmer approval Up or Down in April?	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb6ff29…
04-28 02:37:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5f652e…
04-27 05:12:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xdf4ecb…
04-27 05:07:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc38c2a…
04-27 05:06:12	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa02a86…
04-24 04:15:10	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xfbfc48…