Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
19
Trades
450
lifetime
Volume
$3.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$104
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-08 03:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% +$5
Other
33% 0% $-18
Crypto
6% 50% $-0
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +361 $29 $34 +$5 06-02 09:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -134 $-24 24¢ $-32 $-7 06-08 03:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +43 $10 20¢ $9 $-1 05-31 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -21 $-3 26¢ $-5 $-2 06-07 07:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +16 $5 32¢ $5 $-0 06-06 11:49
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes -6 $-5 82¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 07:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +33 $5 11¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-07 07:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +9 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 06-07 17:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +13 $5 24¢ $3 $-2 06-08 03:24
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +10 $3 11¢ $1 $-2 06-07 17:29