Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$103

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$166

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-21 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

76% 40% +$6,747

Other

18% 81% -$168

Crypto

6% 83% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+149	$65	96¢	$144	+$79	09-17 11:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+25	$15	66¢	$17	+$2	09-17 14:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	-50	-$31	4¢	$-2	+$29	09-15 08:25
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	-50	-$2	3¢	$-2	+$0	09-15 16:58
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	-50	$0	2¢	$-1	-$1	09-15 07:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	84¢	$-1	$0	07-09 12:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$6	16¢	$-0	-$6	07-14 20:56
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	-50	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	09-10 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	12	$3.8K	10,723	846	+9,877	Yes	+$6,742	10-21 14:12
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	15	$221	4,131	352	+3,779	Yes	-$176	06-29 20:37
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	7	$168	177	177	+0	open	—	08-24 03:08
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	9	$164	145	50	+95	Yes	-$4	09-09 10:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$158	105	105	+0	No	+$23	05-04 23:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$112	318	318	+0	open	—	08-06 06:28
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	3	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	09-23 10:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	09-08 13:16
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	4	$96	149	50	+99	open	—	09-17 11:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$93	242	243	-2	open	—	07-14 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$82	79	79	+0	open	—	06-05 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$75	65	65	+0	open	—	06-04 15:49
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	07-14 20:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$1	09-22 11:05
will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	2	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	08-28 08:24
will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	4	$41	41	10	+31	No	+$5	07-18 09:53
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?	4	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	08-06 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$28	36	36	+0	open	—	06-05 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$26	45	45	+0	open	—	06-05 19:16
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$26	57	57	+0	No	-$8	07-15 14:04
will bitcoin reach 90k in august 2026	1	$24	26	0	+26	No	+$2	08-22 22:46
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	06-18 19:11
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	1	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	06-11 11:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$20	45	45	+0	open	—	09-17 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	07-23 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	07-22 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	07-22 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	1	$17	18	0	+18	Yes	+$1	07-21 07:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-20 08:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	09-17 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:12:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9,633	32¢	$3,076	0x445a60…
10-18 07:18:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4e6601…
10-18 07:18:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xc3a06c…
10-13 06:45:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	244	38¢	$93	0xf4ae0c…
10-09 11:22:07	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	246	39¢	$96	0x85fdf7…
10-09 10:37:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	246	36¢	$88	0x6b292a…
10-09 06:52:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	220	40¢	$88	0x0165d7…
10-09 05:35:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0xf217e9…
10-06 06:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x75d82d…
10-05 08:14:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	176	39¢	$69	0xbb776d…
10-05 07:45:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x703968…
09-26 09:13:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	206	32¢	$66	0x8815ff…
09-24 23:20:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	174	39¢	$68	0x957623…
09-23 10:35:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xf88cfc…
09-23 10:35:07	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$51	0xb98d48…
09-23 10:33:49	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x564d3d…
09-23 08:57:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d7975…
09-23 08:56:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2d1fbb…
09-22 11:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x80ec6d…
09-22 11:05:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0c624e…
09-17 14:26:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x48d537…
09-17 11:25:31	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0xfd031d…
09-17 11:25:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x3afaa0…
09-17 11:24:40	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0x4036bd…
09-15 16:58:39	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x8e8f3a…
09-15 11:23:12	Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x663d17…
09-15 08:25:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x833218…
09-15 07:24:16	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb599ea…
09-14 19:49:10	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x1e57d0…
09-14 07:04:30	Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3b0ba9…
09-14 06:52:57	Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x34bc4b…
09-10 18:43:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x01b652…
09-10 18:43:15	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xbc71ff…
09-10 18:42:37	Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x7c4e54…
09-10 18:42:12	Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4ebc68…
09-10 18:41:27	Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa1ea32…
09-10 18:41:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x13ddd5…
09-09 10:46:33	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe6f686…
09-08 13:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xc3bfb6…
09-02 19:14:33	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	7¢	$6	0x948bba…
09-02 10:15:03	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa07610…
09-02 08:54:52	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x1a3f78…
09-01 05:42:37	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf90fad…
08-28 08:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x35978a…
08-28 08:24:19	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xeb5f51…
08-24 06:22:33	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xe40d6a…
08-24 06:22:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1bf4a2…
08-24 03:08:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	52¢	$74	0xdcea7e…
08-22 22:46:40	will bitcoin reach 90k in august 2026	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x77b114…
08-06 06:28:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xdd9dfd…
08-06 06:28:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0xb60e88…
08-02 08:14:03	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xe2e383…
08-01 17:01:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf0568e…
08-01 09:27:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xf1f67a…
07-31 08:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x95b15f…
07-31 08:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ba216…
07-30 10:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x60dce2…
07-29 14:55:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x878b50…
07-29 14:51:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xcd572e…
07-29 02:55:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc614c8…
07-28 06:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb8274a…
07-27 17:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x70495d…
07-27 06:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd9430a…
07-26 08:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b7fef…
07-25 13:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78f614…
07-24 22:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbbb5ea…
07-24 06:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67bc18…
07-23 17:22:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd1d777…
07-23 17:21:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xdbf615…
07-23 08:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x87d3b8…
07-22 22:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x4ef336…
07-22 07:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf3c175…
07-21 07:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x747880…
07-20 08:44:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x815692…
07-20 08:42:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0x08be33…
07-18 09:53:07	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x3dd0d4…
07-15 14:05:08	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x7201a6…
07-15 14:04:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	57	16¢	$9	0x153a96…
07-15 14:04:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xb5830e…
07-15 14:03:22	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf73c42…
07-15 13:53:35	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x31a27e…
07-15 13:37:13	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xcef9c7…
07-14 20:58:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0x03e6a1…
07-14 20:58:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xfad437…
07-14 20:57:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xd81929…
07-14 20:56:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0xe3c1e9…
07-14 20:56:07	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0xad6c4e…
07-14 15:42:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xae3f16…
07-14 15:41:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x4ba683…
07-11 11:22:56	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0x48facb…
07-11 11:22:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$7	0xe05a95…
07-11 11:22:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x2b2e3c…
07-09 12:47:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x705cdd…
07-09 12:46:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7af9f3…
07-09 11:56:17	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9e7356…
07-08 21:57:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x48b807…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xf023cf…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 14:42:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xf32c2e…
07-03 09:36:34	Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4d58dc…