Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$540
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$21
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-05 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-10
Other
32% 0% $-14
Crypto
6% 0% $-3
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +14 $5 38¢ $5 +$0 06-25 16:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 07-02 05:08
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $5 $5 $-0 06-24 10:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +58 $5 $3 $-2 06-06 00:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 39¢ $1 $-0 07-02 05:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-02 05:07
EU dissolves before 2027? Yes +29 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 16:01
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-25 16:40