Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
17
lifetime
Volume
$170
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$65
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 06-03 18:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
35%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-03 18:41
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-03 18:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $-0 06-03 18:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +50 $10 18¢ $9 $-1 06-02 18:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +24 $10 33¢ $8 $-2 05-31 18:28
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $10 $8 $-2 06-03 18:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +13 $10 46¢ $6 $-4 06-01 18:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +15 $10 36¢ $5 $-5 06-01 18:38