Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$180
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$43
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 06-17 17:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67%
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 06-03 18:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-03 18:41
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-03 18:51
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $10 $6 $-4 06-03 18:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +50 $10 $4 $-6 06-02 18:02