Perky-Rose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.89K

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

111

Trades

7,141

lifetime

Volume

$2.88M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$403

Open exposure

$10.7K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-25 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

48% 73% +$1,803

Sports

33% 72% +$9,922

Other

19% 72% +$38,870

Tech

0% 50% -$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+10,100	$9,318	92¢	$9.3K	+$24	10-28 13:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+900	$729	81¢	$729	+$0	10-28 13:13
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	+701	$810	88¢	$617	-$193	10-28 13:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$0	10-25 17:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5	$86	95¢	$5	-$81	10-14 15:18
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	+1	-$9	96¢	$1	+$10	09-22 17:44
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$369	98¢	$1	+$370	10-18 16:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$4	88¢	$1	+$5	08-27 18:42
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$1	99¢	$1	+$2	09-28 08:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$2,259	35¢	$0	-$2,259	08-27 18:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+1	$536	14¢	$0	-$535	08-27 18:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$50	84¢	$0	-$50	09-28 13:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1,186	2¢	$0	-$1,186	08-27 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	194	$312.1K	172,404	155,398	+17,006	No	-$213	04-24 22:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	207	$268.1K	197,986	77,985	+120,000	No	+$3,970	03-23 19:07
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	66	$236.8K	169,000	79,000	+90,000	No	+$3,991	07-11 23:14
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	61	$138.3K	145,999	0	+145,999	No	+$7,681	07-06 00:01
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	132	$118.6K	95,529	75,528	+20,000	Yes	+$5,524	02-27 18:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	19	$117.6K	130,000	0	+130,000	No	+$12,380	03-11 10:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	131	$89.5K	59,016	58,014	+1,002	Yes	+$1,875	06-14 23:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	78	$88.2K	50,626	50,626	+0	Yes	+$12,378	05-06 11:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	79	$78.1K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$991	05-23 10:17
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	287	$74.6K	2,020,000	2,020,000	+0	No	+$3,430	07-02 00:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	51	$72.3K	40,203	37,959	+2,244	Yes	-$2,671	05-01 21:09
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	315	$54.1K	599,999	419,999	+180,000	No	-$8,960	06-29 21:47
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	155	$49.2K	399,972	399,972	+0	No	-$3,526	06-29 19:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	64	$48.9K	10,000	40,000	-30,000	No	-$250	06-17 05:37
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	77	$45.0K	22,995	22,985	+10	No	+$182	08-29 06:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	267	$42.4K	160,100	160,100	+0	Yes	-$1,320	07-04 00:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	110	$38.9K	110,200	110,200	+0	No	+$1,340	06-26 19:21
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	104	$38.0K	30,100	30,100	+0	Yes	+$300	07-05 21:46
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	153	$37.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$12,200	04-12 13:11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	247	$37.0K	220,000	220,000	+0	No	+$334	06-23 18:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	48	$35.9K	24,219	24,219	+0	No	-$1,943	03-24 19:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	49	$34.9K	35,000	35,000	+0	Yes	-$33,407	04-07 23:23
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?	120	$34.4K	37,000	0	+37,000	Yes	+$2,631	07-21 18:42
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	62	$33.3K	17,955	17,955	+0	No	+$516	08-21 05:03
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	24	$29.6K	15,000	14,900	+100	No	+$86	08-20 09:01
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	56	$28.7K	29,539	0	+29,539	Argentina	+$854	07-04 00:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	47	$26.7K	17,000	16,999	+1	open	—	08-27 18:45
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,002	$26.5K	293,443	293,443	+0	No	+$1,685	06-28 15:31
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	113	$25.9K	29,271	3,692	+25,579	Yes	+$5,659	07-21 18:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	56	$23.4K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$1,600	03-02 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:15:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	3,650	93¢	$3,394	0x1cf14a…
10-28 13:14:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	87¢	$609	0xa067fa…
10-28 13:13:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x046e9c…
10-28 13:13:13	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xd9cf09…
10-28 13:12:52	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xce065f…
10-28 13:12:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0xf39c64…
10-25 17:29:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5de6d0…
10-21 19:02:50	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0xaf952a…
10-20 23:38:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,365	0x501bdd…
10-20 17:01:32	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9f7f72…
10-18 16:18:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	999	91¢	$909	0x94af81…
10-14 15:18:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x91a035…
10-14 15:10:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	990	62¢	$614	0x6ceda0…
10-14 15:09:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x596b43…
10-14 15:09:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	76	62¢	$47	0xc1fed4…
10-14 15:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	762	62¢	$472	0x12774a…
10-14 15:09:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0x5f8653…
10-14 15:09:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xdf4d04…
10-14 15:06:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	124	62¢	$77	0x961a8b…
10-14 15:02:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x539155…
10-14 15:00:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x9bee25…
10-14 10:07:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,650	80¢	$1,320	0xa4e3fd…
10-12 16:31:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	81¢	$202	0xdbf510…
10-12 16:20:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x9e313a…
10-08 15:14:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x241631…
10-07 19:08:07	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0x2bfbc4…
10-05 20:36:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	235	79¢	$186	0x7eeb55…
10-05 20:27:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x4d7da7…
10-05 20:26:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0x807506…
10-05 20:21:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	79¢	$44	0x74fb7e…
10-05 20:16:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0xaa9cdb…
10-05 20:12:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0xcee85e…
10-05 20:11:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$19	0x668b08…
10-05 19:59:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xd20474…
10-05 19:56:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0xf101d3…
10-05 19:53:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7164da…
10-05 19:52:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0xf1e2d0…
10-05 19:48:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0x7abbf5…
10-05 19:43:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	79¢	$43	0xe558e4…
10-05 19:38:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	79¢	$44	0x09bcc9…
10-05 19:33:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0xdfce25…
10-05 19:18:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x8d78c2…
10-05 19:17:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	101	79¢	$80	0x0e11c4…
10-05 19:16:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xc0c506…
10-05 19:06:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	872	79¢	$689	0x69d814…
10-05 01:44:38	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x577514…
10-01 14:17:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0df23…
10-01 14:02:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	63¢	$945	0xc20e05…
10-01 14:02:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	271	63¢	$171	0xbf4ed1…
10-01 12:37:44	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	3,000	88¢	$2,640	0xef77fb…
09-28 14:17:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	86¢	$3,440	0xef9e29…
09-28 13:55:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,578	71¢	$1,120	0x15e712…
09-28 13:03:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x961a47…
09-28 12:11:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x50e536…
09-28 11:39:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x0175ef…
09-28 11:38:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0xde0d80…
09-28 10:21:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x924de0…
09-28 10:19:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x045a37…
09-28 09:01:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	423	71¢	$300	0xdb3bdc…
09-28 08:30:59	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$167	0xf49aae…
09-28 08:25:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0x0c20fb…
09-28 08:21:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xfdb627…
09-28 08:21:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	682	71¢	$484	0x1c92bd…
09-28 07:56:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x7fc6d7…
09-28 07:50:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x3a9fb5…
09-28 06:47:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xd28a1c…
09-28 05:55:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x323977…
09-28 04:41:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x20576b…
09-23 07:30:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xc9f8cc…
09-22 21:28:03	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0xf849e5…
09-22 18:15:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xe707ae…
09-22 17:44:12	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	SELL	341	97¢	$331	0x4fe01d…
09-21 19:06:01	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	82¢	$656	0xbef479…
09-21 19:03:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xbc791e…
09-21 18:49:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	72¢	$2,880	0x655661…
09-21 18:47:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0xcf1267…
09-14 18:46:37	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x01956e…
09-13 20:27:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	99	79¢	$78	0x8e07c4…
09-13 18:44:45	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x5890ac…
09-12 08:43:34	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbfd144…
09-12 01:43:45	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb324d3…
09-12 00:26:18	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7dae82…
09-11 13:32:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	99	19¢	$19	0x9f668f…
09-11 12:01:58	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbcd9cc…
09-11 07:36:13	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x13b78e…
09-10 17:19:16	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x997ae7…
09-08 00:53:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	57	48¢	$27	0xf56b7e…
09-08 00:52:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x846adf…
09-08 00:50:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xb92f4e…
09-08 00:45:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	48¢	$7	0x8b30a0…
09-08 00:42:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	48¢	$192	0xba43e8…
09-08 00:39:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x703e31…
09-08 00:34:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xbc77fa…
09-08 00:32:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xdc520e…
09-08 00:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	48¢	$100	0xea73b1…
09-08 00:27:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	48¢	$44	0x7acb70…
09-08 00:24:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xa34f87…
09-08 00:23:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x765995…
09-08 00:23:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x89033c…
09-08 00:22:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x1ddfc6…