Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
22
lifetime
Volume
$44
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-09 03:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
38%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $8 $7 $-1 06-08 11:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -6 $-5 98¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 12:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 04:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $2 $-0 06-01 07:53
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 05-27 22:14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 05-27 22:14