Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$80
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
93
lifetime
Volume
$311
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$86
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-23 14:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
76% 33% +$1
Politics
24% 86% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +507 $17 4¢ $23 +$6 10-22 20:22
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,016 $30 2¢ $17 -$14 10-09 08:36
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,272 $57 1¢ $14 -$43 08-01 04:54
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $14 2¢ $10 -$3 10-22 18:22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +156 $28 6¢ $9 -$20 10-08 21:42
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +152 $10 3¢ $5 -$5 10-03 14:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $4 20¢ $4 +$1 10-23 14:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $5 24¢ $4 $0 10-21 06:46