Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

25.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$32

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-26 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Crypto

30% — —

Politics

25% 50% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-10	$-8	66¢	$-7	+$1	06-15 04:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	06-13 16:19
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	06-10 16:15
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	06-16 17:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	-53	$-1	2¢	$-1	+$0	06-15 04:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-19	$-1	2¢	$-0	+$0	06-13 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 08:21:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xce2cd9…
06-16 17:11:53	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x47f482…
06-15 04:32:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x6c219c…
06-15 04:21:15	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf339c9…
06-15 04:14:03	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe7b61b…
06-13 16:33:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x067bbf…
06-13 16:33:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd618bc…
06-13 16:19:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4cdd1d…
06-13 14:12:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xb5e670…
06-13 11:26:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4dab9f…
06-13 09:52:01	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x481e69…
06-10 16:15:31	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x53cfa5…
06-09 12:07:33	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x3d984a…
06-09 11:57:46	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x95759b…
06-09 09:11:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9f4f6f…
06-03 15:02:48	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbbec30…
04-28 05:22:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x325311…
04-28 05:21:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x67dad7…
03-24 15:05:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd9862e…
03-24 13:25:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3b1e2…
03-24 13:25:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xced329…
03-16 20:05:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x070565…
03-16 19:47:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfd5618…
03-16 18:17:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x66a036…
03-13 14:24:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x593b74…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$10	1	12	-10	open	—	06-15 04:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	27	27	+0	Yes	$-2	04-28 05:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$6	28	44	-16	open	—	06-13 16:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-16 18:17
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	06-13 11:26
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	2	$1	26	26	+0	open	—	06-09 12:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1	67	67	+0	open	—	06-26 08:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$1	0	53	-53	open	—	06-15 04:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	03-16 19:47
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 16:15
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-16 17:11