Humiliating-Yacht — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$147

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-09 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$1

Politics

33% — —

Sports

21% 0% —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No		+150	$148	98¢	$147	$-1	06-02 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	7	$575	463	463	+0	open	—	04-26 17:52
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$536	271	271	+0	open	—	04-17 20:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$491	266	266	+0	open	—	05-20 23:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$453	437	437	+0	open	—	06-09 15:20
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$422	215	215	+0	No	+$0	04-09 20:50
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$368	191	191	+0	open	—	03-21 11:06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$367	324	324	+0	open	—	05-31 19:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$333	285	285	+0	open	—	05-28 18:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$319	307	307	+0	open	—	06-02 10:03
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$314	470	470	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:45
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$310	321	321	+0	open	—	04-20 19:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$307	175	175	+0	open	—	05-21 06:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$305	159	159	+0	open	—	05-23 16:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$298	184	184	+0	open	—	06-08 05:40
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$297	257	257	+0	open	—	03-22 01:18
Will Alberta join the US?	3	$297	155	155	+0	open	—	06-01 16:31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$294	149	149	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:00
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$292	475	474	+1	open	—	04-26 01:24
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$281	142	142	+0	open	—	05-18 19:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$279	143	143	+0	open	—	05-15 17:37
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$273	140	140	+0	open	—	03-29 13:04
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$268	142	142	+0	open	—	03-25 13:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$267	144	144	+0	No	+$0	04-14 03:46
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$267	141	141	+0	open	—	03-23 21:22
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$184	93	93	+0	open	—	06-02 05:23
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	9	$162	591	441	+150	open	—	06-04 01:02
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	03-16 05:44
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	04-12 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$124	142	142	+0	open	—	05-30 07:29
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$122	489	489	+0	open	—	04-21 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:20:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	45¢	$74	0x3da304…
06-09 13:51:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x113ffd…
06-09 13:50:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x0c55e6…
06-09 01:19:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	157	11¢	$17	0x096ff6…
06-08 23:20:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x9a43b4…
06-08 23:20:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0x578f3a…
06-08 20:58:58	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0x3bfc06…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xb8394d…
06-08 05:40:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	184	81¢	$149	0xed833c…
06-05 23:27:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xb27d1d…
06-05 23:27:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	173	81¢	$140	0x222bd8…
06-05 02:36:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	145	19¢	$28	0x2ef373…
06-05 00:57:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcbadb5…
06-05 00:57:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	140	19¢	$27	0xa49493…
06-04 01:02:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0x8ab5e6…
06-03 22:47:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xcb48aa…
06-03 22:47:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$2	0x2504bd…
06-03 08:41:26	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	1¢	$2	0xb8c62a…
06-03 06:20:17	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0xca8edb…
06-02 23:40:32	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$6	0xca4a0b…
06-02 23:40:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0xd79622…
06-02 21:50:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	330	2¢	$7	0x5d9b5c…
06-02 14:19:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x70a825…
06-02 10:03:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	52¢	$20	0xb5f3a4…
06-02 10:03:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	268	52¢	$139	0x92b9ca…
06-02 10:01:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	307	52¢	$160	0xa91457…
06-02 05:23:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xbf3ae0…
06-02 04:00:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x2d44e1…
06-01 16:31:56	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	126	96¢	$121	0x8bdbff…
06-01 16:31:56	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x0b47f2…
06-01 12:48:19	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	155	96¢	$148	0x99452b…
05-31 19:08:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	30¢	$35	0xc50919…
05-31 17:34:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0x8b1158…
05-30 20:51:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	165	3¢	$5	0x745f76…
05-30 19:38:31	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xfb3978…
05-30 07:29:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0xee3bd2…
05-30 07:29:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	86	44¢	$38	0x832443…
05-30 05:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x88ad79…
05-30 05:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	128	43¢	$55	0x1a284f…
05-29 18:55:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0x4687f3…
05-29 16:31:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x60b03f…
05-29 16:31:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$3	0x53e3ff…
05-29 08:07:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	208	71¢	$148	0x7d1d85…
05-29 04:17:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xf48994…
05-28 18:41:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	285	58¢	$165	0xe51090…
05-28 17:24:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	285	59¢	$168	0xa7e8a7…
05-28 11:37:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	176	56¢	$99	0x403334…
05-28 11:37:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	56¢	$54	0x351f36…
05-28 08:33:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	182	56¢	$102	0xa12d99…
05-28 08:33:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x30126b…
05-24 20:26:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	340	12¢	$41	0xbb5415…
05-24 18:34:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa998c9…
05-24 18:34:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	332	13¢	$43	0xbc0ba6…
05-23 16:40:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x852c8b…
05-23 14:21:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	113	96¢	$109	0x9d643c…
05-23 12:29:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	159	96¢	$152	0xc1366c…
05-21 12:45:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x4a2598…
05-21 12:44:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x568d0e…
05-21 06:18:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	88¢	$154	0x833491…
05-21 06:18:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	175	88¢	$154	0x8b3e10…
05-20 23:51:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	109	91¢	$99	0xd0ed91…
05-20 22:46:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0xe94889…
05-20 20:10:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x459f43…
05-20 20:10:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	95	91¢	$87	0x627577…
05-19 11:06:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	147	2¢	$4	0x6cdee0…
05-19 09:41:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xbe611a…
05-19 09:41:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	3¢	$4	0x167e7a…
05-19 06:45:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	112	94¢	$105	0x1278ee…
05-19 05:12:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	112	94¢	$106	0x25009b…
05-18 19:00:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xd5e399…
05-18 19:00:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x3f3eba…
05-18 18:51:52	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x9a7e93…
05-18 15:32:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	83¢	$55	0x80e30b…
05-18 15:31:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	83¢	$55	0x466039…
05-17 12:13:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	231	5¢	$11	0xce4372…
05-17 11:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$6	0xa86350…
05-17 11:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$4	0x1b6031…
05-15 17:37:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0xdb148c…
05-15 17:37:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x1c0b87…
05-15 11:38:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$139	0x124108…
04-26 17:52:16	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	175	2¢	$3	0xcecd92…
04-26 16:39:24	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0xe84463…
04-26 16:39:24	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2d5320…
04-26 01:24:20	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	338	5¢	$16	0xb4dd5a…
04-25 23:22:30	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$7	0xc36618…
04-25 23:22:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x86b0c4…
04-25 23:22:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	169	5¢	$8	0x155f22…
04-25 12:45:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	113	98¢	$111	0x6d2487…
04-25 12:45:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x5d9e7a…
04-25 10:39:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x5c8284…
04-24 22:10:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0xa1f7d7…
04-24 22:09:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	131	95¢	$125	0x194fb7…
04-23 22:01:00	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0xedbfd4…
04-23 19:21:48	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x661ade…
04-22 02:36:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0xd105b4…
04-22 01:31:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	254	6¢	$16	0x5cdf5c…
04-21 23:07:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0xfa70bd…
04-21 23:07:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x19f385…
04-21 14:13:26	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	167	13¢	$22	0xf82235…
04-21 11:58:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	167	13¢	$22	0x0f4711…