Overcooked-Lumber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$166

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-25 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

24% — —

Sports

17% 50% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+176	$165	94¢	$166	+$1	06-14 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2.3K	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	04-16 09:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$2.1K	1,119	1,119	+0	No	+$26	04-14 20:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$835	439	439	+0	open	—	04-15 14:30
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$492	192	375	-183	open	—	05-28 01:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$460	415	415	+0	open	—	06-21 23:54
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$397	293	293	+0	open	—	06-04 07:26
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$371	636	636	+0	open	—	06-06 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$368	392	392	+0	open	—	05-31 02:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$359	205	205	+0	open	—	04-22 10:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$353	248	248	+0	open	—	05-30 08:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$349	213	213	+0	open	—	06-25 23:01
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	2	$346	180	180	+0	open	—	06-24 08:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$343	205	205	+0	open	—	06-23 22:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$342	281	281	+0	open	—	06-06 23:15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$328	245	245	+0	open	—	06-08 17:32
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	5	$311	187	187	+0	open	—	06-23 14:35
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$305	277	277	+0	open	—	06-22 23:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$304	214	214	+0	open	—	05-29 15:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$290	159	159	+0	open	—	05-24 13:51
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$231	117	117	+0	open	—	05-30 21:16
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$197	112	112	+0	open	—	04-24 18:35
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$181	172	172	+0	open	—	04-27 04:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$175	95	95	+0	open	—	04-23 20:48
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$165	176	0	+176	open	—	06-14 04:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 22:29
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	7	$147	366	366	+0	open	—	06-23 06:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$119	212	212	+0	open	—	04-22 23:22
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	4	$117	488	488	+0	open	—	06-24 00:44
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$112	622	622	+0	open	—	06-17 20:44
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$59	2,272	2,272	+0	open	—	04-15 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 23:01:46	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	213	82¢	$175	0x40f817…
06-25 22:27:59	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	213	82¢	$175	0x9eeac4…
06-24 08:37:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0xd8e262…
06-24 06:26:53	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0xedca0d…
06-24 00:44:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	103	12¢	$12	0xe90984…
06-24 00:44:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	193	12¢	$23	0xd92d49…
06-24 00:44:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	192	12¢	$23	0x2b4d3f…
06-24 00:42:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	488	12¢	$59	0xebf578…
06-23 22:43:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0x2558af…
06-23 20:22:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$169	0xce7632…
06-23 14:35:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	54	84¢	$45	0x5162e0…
06-23 14:35:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	92	84¢	$77	0xb25596…
06-23 14:35:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	41	84¢	$34	0x627c26…
06-23 10:23:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0xa24a99…
06-23 10:22:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	72	81¢	$58	0x892739…
06-23 06:02:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x93a11f…
06-23 06:02:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	356	21¢	$75	0x51a340…
06-23 03:39:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0xcc8d81…
06-23 03:39:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x30f18b…
06-23 03:39:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	21¢	$11	0xb402d3…
06-23 03:38:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	183	19¢	$35	0x2d8c06…
06-23 03:38:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	19¢	$14	0x1103bd…
06-22 23:03:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	277	52¢	$144	0xcb45f7…
06-22 20:35:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	277	58¢	$161	0xcb1416…
06-21 23:54:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x393906…
06-18 07:21:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0xc2ecf0…
06-18 07:21:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	111	54¢	$60	0x11bb58…
06-18 07:21:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	181	54¢	$98	0xe48dab…
06-18 07:19:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	329	54¢	$178	0x591307…
06-18 04:17:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x0efec1…
06-18 00:49:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x13caa6…
06-17 20:44:46	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	622	9¢	$56	0x7fc8db…
06-17 18:23:11	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	622	9¢	$56	0xd9d503…
06-15 04:23:39	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	69	21¢	$14	0x15c9b3…
06-15 02:28:45	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	109	25¢	$27	0x9f19bc…
06-14 04:42:57	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xefdf34…
06-14 04:42:57	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	94¢	$159	0xe57b1b…
06-13 22:16:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	84	16¢	$13	0x3d7280…
06-13 22:13:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd0e57f…
06-13 22:08:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xe2603a…
06-13 22:08:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x512899…
06-13 12:27:43	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	334	3¢	$10	0x1f9841…
06-13 08:18:09	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	334	3¢	$9	0x82140c…
06-12 20:37:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	270	2¢	$4	0x84a1d5…
06-12 17:41:46	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	270	2¢	$4	0x93ba22…
06-09 21:47:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	86	62¢	$53	0x1c25bc…
06-09 17:29:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	86	61¢	$52	0x1c1922…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xb8394d…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	67¢	$56	0x5dead9…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	67¢	$84	0x15e8d2…
06-08 15:17:25	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	245	67¢	$164	0x2f4e79…
06-06 23:15:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$4	0x651d9e…
06-06 20:01:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$4	0xf7d060…
06-06 05:04:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	173	95¢	$165	0xe02096…
06-06 00:40:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	173	95¢	$165	0x3f18ca…
06-05 05:14:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	159	5¢	$8	0x3c9800…
06-05 03:59:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$7	0x2e2443…
06-04 07:26:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	225	80¢	$181	0x5a3ab1…
06-02 20:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	225	82¢	$184	0xf65e03…
06-02 09:13:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0xbd4512…
06-02 04:30:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0xdf7670…
06-01 22:54:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	304	4¢	$13	0xc51a3f…
06-01 20:23:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x832b60…
06-01 20:23:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	266	4¢	$11	0x40a572…
05-31 02:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	392	47¢	$184	0xb8e8e5…
05-31 01:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	392	47¢	$184	0xe41278…
05-30 21:16:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x2a0096…
05-30 17:58:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x469b05…
05-30 08:15:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x1730a7…
05-30 08:15:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	138	94¢	$130	0x02bc8f…
05-30 04:55:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	177	94¢	$166	0x5069b2…
05-29 15:51:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xf2aa1c…
05-29 13:41:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	206	71¢	$146	0xe5ef16…
05-29 13:41:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	214	71¢	$152	0x43f553…
05-29 07:58:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0x29523e…
05-29 05:43:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0xbd59ec…
05-29 04:20:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x8b0fe6…
05-29 00:20:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xf63ba0…
05-28 01:24:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	183	93¢	$170	0xfcff77…
05-26 05:03:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	67	89¢	$60	0x608289…
05-26 03:00:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$108	0xbcbd57…
05-26 00:52:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	192	80¢	$154	0x9d415c…
05-24 13:51:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	159	93¢	$148	0x0130b4…
05-24 11:12:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	159	89¢	$142	0x8d8129…
05-23 15:44:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	334	4¢	$12	0x83cd57…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	152	4¢	$6	0xf855b7…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0xd65559…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x9cdbdb…
05-16 22:29:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x389f7d…
05-16 22:22:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x099ff6…
04-27 04:23:34	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	172	48¢	$82	0x3f7d03…
04-25 03:21:56	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$99	0x9bb4dc…
04-24 18:35:36	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	112	88¢	$98	0xf15dac…
04-24 17:30:48	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0x865dff…
04-23 20:48:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$90	0xabfa7e…
04-23 16:54:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$85	0x12856c…
04-22 23:22:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	28¢	$45	0x2f5522…
04-22 23:22:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x1592b2…
04-22 21:31:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	28¢	$60	0x2c32fc…
04-22 10:33:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	86¢	$92	0x24eb7a…