Overcooked-Lumber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-09 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Sports

21% 50% +$24

Other

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2.3K	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	04-16 09:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$2.1K	1,119	1,119	+0	No	+$26	04-14 20:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$835	439	439	+0	open	—	04-15 14:30
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$492	192	375	-183	open	—	05-28 01:24
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$397	293	293	+0	open	—	06-04 07:26
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$371	636	636	+0	open	—	06-06 05:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$368	392	392	+0	open	—	05-31 02:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$359	205	205	+0	open	—	04-22 10:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$353	248	248	+0	open	—	05-30 08:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$342	281	281	+0	open	—	06-06 23:15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$328	245	245	+0	open	—	06-08 17:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$304	214	214	+0	open	—	05-29 15:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$290	159	159	+0	open	—	05-24 13:51
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$231	117	117	+0	open	—	05-30 21:16
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$197	112	112	+0	open	—	04-24 18:35
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$181	172	172	+0	open	—	04-27 04:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$175	95	95	+0	open	—	04-23 20:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 22:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$119	212	212	+0	open	—	04-22 23:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$106	86	86	+0	open	—	06-09 21:47
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$59	2,272	2,272	+0	open	—	04-15 00:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$26	334	334	+0	open	—	05-23 15:44
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$21	626	626	+0	No	$-2	04-15 19:16
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	3	$18	71	71	+0	open	—	04-21 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:47:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	86	62¢	$53	0x1c25bc…
06-09 17:29:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	86	61¢	$52	0x1c1922…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xb8394d…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	67¢	$56	0x5dead9…
06-08 17:32:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	67¢	$84	0x15e8d2…
06-08 15:17:25	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	245	67¢	$164	0x2f4e79…
06-06 23:15:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$4	0x651d9e…
06-06 20:01:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$4	0xf7d060…
06-06 05:04:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	173	95¢	$165	0xe02096…
06-06 00:40:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	173	95¢	$165	0x3f18ca…
06-05 05:14:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	159	5¢	$8	0x3c9800…
06-05 03:59:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$7	0x2e2443…
06-04 07:26:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	225	80¢	$181	0x5a3ab1…
06-02 20:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	225	82¢	$184	0xf65e03…
06-02 09:13:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0xbd4512…
06-02 04:30:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0xdf7670…
06-01 22:54:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	304	4¢	$13	0xc51a3f…
06-01 20:23:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x832b60…
06-01 20:23:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	266	4¢	$11	0x40a572…
05-31 02:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	392	47¢	$184	0xb8e8e5…
05-31 01:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	392	47¢	$184	0xe41278…
05-30 21:16:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x2a0096…
05-30 17:58:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x469b05…
05-30 08:15:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x1730a7…
05-30 08:15:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	138	94¢	$130	0x02bc8f…
05-30 04:55:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	177	94¢	$166	0x5069b2…
05-29 15:51:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xf2aa1c…
05-29 13:41:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	206	71¢	$146	0xe5ef16…
05-29 13:41:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	214	71¢	$152	0x43f553…
05-29 07:58:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0x29523e…
05-29 05:43:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0xbd59ec…
05-29 04:20:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x8b0fe6…
05-29 00:20:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xf63ba0…
05-28 01:24:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	183	93¢	$170	0xfcff77…
05-26 05:03:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	67	89¢	$60	0x608289…
05-26 03:00:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$108	0xbcbd57…
05-26 00:52:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	192	80¢	$154	0x9d415c…
05-24 13:51:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	159	93¢	$148	0x0130b4…
05-24 11:12:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	159	89¢	$142	0x8d8129…
05-23 15:44:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	334	4¢	$12	0x83cd57…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	152	4¢	$6	0xf855b7…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0xd65559…
05-23 14:08:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x9cdbdb…
05-16 22:29:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x389f7d…
05-16 22:22:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x099ff6…
04-27 04:23:34	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	172	48¢	$82	0x3f7d03…
04-25 03:21:56	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$99	0x9bb4dc…
04-24 18:35:36	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	112	88¢	$98	0xf15dac…
04-24 17:30:48	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0x865dff…
04-23 20:48:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$90	0xabfa7e…
04-23 16:54:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$85	0x12856c…
04-22 23:22:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	28¢	$45	0x2f5522…
04-22 23:22:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x1592b2…
04-22 21:31:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	28¢	$60	0x2c32fc…
04-22 10:33:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	86¢	$92	0x24eb7a…
04-22 10:32:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	87¢	$93	0x12ab2d…
04-22 05:03:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x754880…
04-22 05:03:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	89¢	$61	0x5873e6…
04-22 00:37:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	88¢	$87	0x99c27f…
04-21 12:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x454130…
04-21 12:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	13¢	$9	0x58334b…
04-21 08:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0x77b021…
04-16 09:06:36	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	1,148	99¢	$1,135	0xf5758d…
04-16 09:05:50	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1,148	99¢	$1,135	0xc7e7d7…
04-15 19:16:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	626	2¢	$9	0xb4af27…
04-15 17:11:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	626	2¢	$11	0x05288d…
04-15 14:30:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	439	93¢	$408	0xc7aefa…
04-15 10:52:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	439	97¢	$427	0x44c710…
04-15 00:38:20	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	2,272	1¢	$30	0xdc2ef2…
04-14 22:31:24	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2,272	1¢	$30	0x3072a9…
04-14 20:00:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	872	94¢	$820	0x5d1fc3…
04-14 20:00:16	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	247	94¢	$232	0x003b52…
04-14 15:58:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,052	92¢	$966	0xf7be96…
04-14 15:58:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x69d165…
04-14 15:58:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x31e256…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	24	$285.2K	5,136	06-10 00:43
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	23	$115.4K	9,081	06-10 00:47
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	20	$11.1K	327	06-09 08:04
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	20	$1.88K	1,626	06-09 23:06
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	19	$674.7K	12,634	06-10 00:52
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	18	$200.2K	2,427	06-08 01:01
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	18	$52.4K	16,140	06-10 01:44
Winding-Souvenir 0xc13a…5840	18	$10.6K	75	06-09 23:00