Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.1%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-25 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$48

Other

41% — —

Sports

18% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$2.3K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	04-10 20:33
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$2.1K	1,129	1,129	+0	No	+$0	04-11 00:38
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	11	$810	568	568	+0	open	—	06-23 05:48
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$454	299	299	+0	open	—	06-23 01:22
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	4	$421	239	239	+0	open	—	06-24 20:37
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	3	$413	231	231	+0	open	—	06-21 18:40
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$386	657	657	+0	open	—	04-21 04:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	16	$369	196	196	+0	open	—	06-20 13:06
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$368	247	247	+0	open	—	06-14 17:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$358	187	187	+0	open	—	06-10 09:03
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$351	178	178	+0	open	—	06-08 20:49
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	7	$344	396	290	+106	Yes	+$48	04-27 00:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$322	181	181	+0	open	—	06-09 02:51
israel closes its airspace by july 31	6	$305	325	325	+0	open	—	06-25 11:21
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	6	$298	316	316	+0	open	—	06-14 22:42
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$289	157	157	+0	open	—	06-23 14:23
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$258	736	736	+0	open	—	06-18 20:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	7	$225	117	117	+0	open	—	06-18 03:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$208	122	122	+0	open	—	04-22 21:16
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	6	$175	647	647	+0	open	—	06-12 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$153	149	148	+1	open	—	06-13 08:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	5	$139	423	423	+0	open	—	06-21 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	4	$79	316	316	+0	open	—	04-21 09:16
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	2	$72	573	573	+0	open	—	06-14 09:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$44	179	179	+0	open	—	04-16 19:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$38	684	684	+0	open	—	04-10 12:19
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$35	569	0	+569	open	—	06-13 18:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$24	112	112	+0	open	—	04-17 14:48
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$17	273	273	+0	open	—	06-25 19:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$16	322	322	+0	open	—	06-24 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 19:07:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0xc1ab05…
06-25 19:07:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	3¢	$5	0xa4130a…
06-25 18:04:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$6	0xe45bf3…
06-25 18:04:47	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0xc960e5…
06-25 11:21:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	170	13¢	$22	0x11ef35…
06-25 11:18:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xdfbf0d…
06-25 11:18:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd15554…
06-25 11:18:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	161	13¢	$21	0x93abaa…
06-24 20:37:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x8c4592…
06-24 20:37:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	176	90¢	$158	0x65e7a7…
06-24 16:20:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x71dd28…
06-24 16:20:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	89	86¢	$77	0x3ad3e7…
06-24 16:11:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	228	2¢	$5	0x49d935…
06-24 11:51:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	228	2¢	$5	0x9af3ef…
06-23 22:43:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	94	3¢	$3	0xa46968…
06-23 18:19:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x50fb6f…
06-23 14:23:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	157	92¢	$144	0x3a75a3…
06-23 10:20:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe5c766…
06-23 10:20:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	151	92¢	$139	0xbf23f7…
06-23 05:48:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	139	8¢	$11	0x116a7e…
06-23 03:33:58	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5d0512…
06-23 03:33:58	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x4c4a0c…
06-23 01:22:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	299	76¢	$227	0xca2659…
06-22 23:59:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	299	76¢	$227	0x4af178…
06-21 18:40:16	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	90¢	$109	0xf9e2ec…
06-21 18:40:16	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	90¢	$98	0xc67860…
06-21 16:30:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	231	90¢	$207	0x380bbd…
06-21 16:27:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	18¢	$18	0x80d2fe…
06-21 06:12:04	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	18¢	$18	0x06d71b…
06-20 13:06:11	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x5881b9…
06-20 13:05:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x193d48…
06-20 13:05:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x10eafb…
06-20 13:05:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbfe834…
06-20 12:59:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x21dfdc…
06-20 12:59:26	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3c3141…
06-20 12:59:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4c2580…
06-20 12:58:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe7b2dc…
06-20 12:55:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2115ca…
06-20 12:55:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$59	0xee14fd…
06-20 12:54:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf58ebf…
06-20 12:51:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x56ab2e…
06-20 12:45:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf0847e…
06-20 12:41:44	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3d8406…
06-20 12:41:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x0c844b…
06-20 08:08:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	196	94¢	$184	0x4f3fd9…
06-20 03:59:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	155	84¢	$130	0x93ccb9…
06-20 02:33:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	155	84¢	$130	0x63ff86…
06-18 23:13:32	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x1e7fc9…
06-18 23:13:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf8f449…
06-18 23:13:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	166	92¢	$153	0x247568…
06-18 20:17:56	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	224	92¢	$206	0xb20c4e…
06-18 20:11:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	736	19¢	$140	0x5d364e…
06-18 16:36:08	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	736	16¢	$118	0x263a58…
06-18 10:09:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	16¢	$52	0x8b42f5…
06-18 07:33:52	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	16¢	$26	0x66bdb7…
06-18 07:33:50	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	16¢	$26	0xf8ccf7…
06-18 03:26:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x8ec5ec…
06-18 03:26:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x3363f1…
06-18 03:26:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xc213ac…
06-18 03:25:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x814621…
06-18 03:25:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x888c7c…
06-17 23:50:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x93ab42…
06-17 23:50:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe042f4…
06-17 19:32:05	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0xa66fdd…
06-17 19:32:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	142	91¢	$129	0xb21a4f…
06-17 19:32:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x654fc4…
06-17 16:02:26	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	205	92¢	$189	0xb82809…
06-17 01:09:46	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	79	7¢	$6	0x4694f3…
06-17 01:08:56	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$6	0xe77591…
06-14 22:42:07	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	168	2¢	$3	0xe36608…
06-14 22:33:10	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xbe4de7…
06-14 22:33:10	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$3	0x96b4e9…
06-14 17:56:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	84	77¢	$65	0x6e3408…
06-14 17:56:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	163	77¢	$126	0x06ccca…
06-14 15:36:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x8f4977…
06-14 15:36:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	72¢	$103	0x6e6025…
06-14 09:43:46	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	573	6¢	$37	0x621452…
06-14 08:04:16	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	573	6¢	$36	0x26ddb0…
06-13 18:05:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	6¢	$35	0x2cb8ad…
06-13 08:29:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	55	51¢	$28	0x9a4a98…
06-13 08:29:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xe4055d…
06-13 06:28:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	51¢	$41	0xdfa505…
06-13 04:06:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	149	52¢	$77	0x0f5255…
06-12 18:45:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	142	15¢	$21	0xebd08f…
06-12 18:45:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	104	15¢	$15	0xa10bf4…
06-12 18:45:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x61799f…
06-12 18:45:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	188	15¢	$28	0x5b4ac3…
06-12 18:45:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	192	15¢	$28	0x3f82bd…
06-12 17:15:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	647	12¢	$79	0xedaba3…
06-12 10:55:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x62fae9…
06-12 10:55:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x32c5a0…
06-12 08:01:34	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$146	0xff26ee…
06-10 09:03:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	187	96¢	$179	0x77bbf4…
06-10 07:34:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	187	96¢	$179	0x5e62e2…
06-09 02:51:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	181	90¢	$163	0xc13fb9…
06-08 20:52:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	148	88¢	$130	0x480aea…
06-08 20:52:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xa1d989…
06-08 20:49:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	178	99¢	$175	0x077488…
06-08 19:12:52	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	99¢	$175	0x304fb5…
04-27 00:00:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	205	48¢	$99	0xa3c0d7…