Realized P&L
-$2.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
1,879
Trades
2,175
lifetime
Volume
$176.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$1.32K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-26 14:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Sports
53% 48% -$1,834
Other
43% 43% -$991
Politics
4% 42% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +435 $225 59¢ $256 +$31 10-22 15:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +862 $250 29¢ $246 -$4 10-22 15:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +362 $200 66¢ $237 +$38 10-22 15:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +142 $125 92¢ $130 +$5 08-18 18:47
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +162 $100 68¢ $110 +$10 08-05 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +217 $50 29¢ $63 +$13 10-22 16:13
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +331 $50 16¢ $54 +$4 10-22 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +385 $50 14¢ $52 +$2 10-20 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $50 20¢ $51 +$1 07-09 15:21
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +282 $125 10¢ $27 -$98 08-18 18:42
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes — +54 $25 46¢ $25 $0 08-18 19:14
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +385 $10 6¢ $23 +$13 06-18 18:15
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +179 $25 10¢ $17 -$8 08-18 19:05
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $50 6¢ $16 -$34 09-17 13:39
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +44 $10 23¢ $10 +$0 06-18 18:14
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +59 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 06-29 13:54