Realized P&L (7d)
-$798
Unrealized P&L
+$274
Hit rate
41.9%
Resolved (7d)
63
Trades (7d)
103
2,272 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.24K
$182.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$4.29K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-01 16:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Sports
52% 48% -$1,991
Other
44% 43% -$1,285
Politics
5% 38% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,418 $824 70¢ $1000 +$176 10-28 20:19
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +851 $475 66¢ $566 +$91 10-28 20:19
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +551 $462 90¢ $499 +$37 10-28 20:20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,621 $475 26¢ $413 -$62 10-28 20:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +549 $325 72¢ $398 +$73 10-28 17:46
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +562 $150 36¢ $200 +$50 10-30 19:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +303 $75 44¢ $135 +$60 10-28 17:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +142 $125 94¢ $134 +$9 08-18 18:47
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +162 $100 70¢ $113 +$13 08-05 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +298 $75 32¢ $94 +$19 10-28 17:07
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +166 $75 55¢ $91 +$16 10-28 16:56
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +860 $100 10¢ $82 -$18 10-30 20:05
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +222 $100 36¢ $79 -$21 10-28 17:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +326 $75 24¢ $77 +$2 10-28 17:02
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +385 $50 15¢ $56 +$6 10-20 12:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +208 $57 26¢ $53 -$3 10-30 14:02
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +331 $50 15¢ $51 +$1 10-22 16:14
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) Cardinals — +96 $50 50¢ $49 -$1 11-01 16:18
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? Yes +114 $50 42¢ $48 -$2 11-01 12:24
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +282 $125 12¢ $32 -$93 08-18 18:42
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +385 $10 7¢ $27 +$17 06-18 18:15
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +62 $20 40¢ $25 +$5 10-28 20:20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? Yes +147 $50 14¢ $20 -$30 11-01 12:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +179 $25 10¢ $17 -$8 10-30 14:02
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +44 $10 26¢ $12 +$2 06-18 18:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $50 4¢ $9 -$41 09-17 13:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +293 $25 3¢ $8 -$17 10-30 14:01
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +59 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 06-29 13:54