Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.38K

Unrealized P&L

-$705

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

2,136

Trades

2,444

lifetime

Volume

$195.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$1.35K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-15 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Sports

51% 48% -$2,188

Other

44% 43% +$604

Politics

5% 44% +$207

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5	Over	+702	$400	60¢	$421	+$21	11-09 14:34
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Falcons	+727	$400	55¢	$396	-$4	11-14 17:39
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	+100	$55	98¢	$98	+$43	10-01 04:48
Spread: Kings (-1.5)	Flames	+81	$50	88¢	$71	+$21	11-14 17:49
Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	+943	$50	6¢	$59	+$9	09-26 22:41
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	+200	$50	26¢	$52	+$2	09-24 20:59
Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	Yes	+139	$15	30¢	$41	+$26	09-01 19:17
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+385	$10	10¢	$37	+$27	06-18 18:15
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+214	$100	16¢	$35	-$65	11-05 00:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+213	$100	16¢	$33	-$67	11-08 17:58
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+167	$10	18¢	$31	+$21	06-18 18:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	+282	$125	6¢	$17	-$108	08-18 18:42
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	+44	$10	38¢	$17	+$7	06-18 18:14
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+392	$250	2¢	$9	-$241	11-10 20:58
Spread: Oklahoma State (-3.5)	Oklahoma State	+462	$240	2¢	$7	-$233	11-15 02:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+250	$50	2¢	$6	-$44	09-17 13:39
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	+19	$12	32¢	$6	-$7	11-14 17:56
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	+437	$105	1¢	$5	-$100	11-02 03:43
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+45	$11	8¢	$4	-$7	07-18 13:57
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+59	$10	4¢	$3	-$7	06-29 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	6	$1.6K	1,987	569	+1,418	Yes	+$594	10-28 20:19
Blue wave in 2026?	4	$738	719	168	+551	Yes	+$89	10-28 20:20
Blue tsunami in 2026?	7	$705	1,179	0	+1,179	Yes	+$474	11-02 03:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$675	807	258	+549	Yes	+$224	10-28 17:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$663	414	414	+0	Yes	+$163	04-05 12:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$607	472	472	+0	Yes	+$307	03-09 21:41
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	5	$595	2,008	0	+2,008	No	-$595	11-02 03:10
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$500	750	0	+750	No	-$500	05-15 01:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$491	862	862	+0	No	-$9	04-11 23:45
Lions Team Total: O/U 27.5	1	$400	702	0	+702	Under	-$400	10-04 16:45
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5	1	$400	702	0	+702	open	—	11-09 14:34
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	1	$400	755	0	+755	Seahawks	+$355	10-22 17:26
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	1	$400	702	0	+702	49ers	-$400	10-08 18:22
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	1	$400	727	0	+727	open	—	11-14 17:39
Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 22.5	1	$400	688	0	+688	Over	+$288	10-01 17:21
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	1	$400	766	0	+766	Under	-$400	10-12 13:31
Jets vs. Bears: O/U 42.5	1	$400	741	0	+741	Under	-$400	10-04 16:00
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5	1	$400	783	0	+783	Under	+$383	11-06 17:37
Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	1	$400	714	0	+714	Over	+$314	10-12 13:28
Lions Team Total: O/U 27.5	1	$400	741	0	+741	Over	+$341	09-25 19:08
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	1	$400	741	0	+741	Colts	+$341	11-08 17:50
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	1	$400	741	0	+741	Seahawks	+$341	11-05 17:44
Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5	1	$400	734	0	+734	Under	-$400	09-21 13:47
1H Spread: Texans (-4.5)	2	$400	723	0	+723	Giants	-$400	10-21 18:57
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5	2	$398	665	0	+665	Over	-$398	10-26 14:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$387	501	341	+160	No	+$47	07-14 17:41
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$383	556	556	+0	Mexico	+$183	07-06 02:26
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	3	$316	386	233	+154	Paraguay	+$70	07-04 22:48
Rice vs. East Carolina: O/U 47.5	1	$300	568	0	+568	Under	+$268	10-09 22:01
Bengals Team Total: O/U 26.5	1	$300	526	0	+526	Over	+$226	10-11 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 02:00:56	Spread: Oklahoma State (-3.5)	Oklahoma State	BUY	462	52¢	$240	0xaa202a…
11-14 19:44:59	Spread: Indiana (-9.5)	USC	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x32f7b7…
11-14 19:44:46	USC vs. Indiana	USC	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfcd65b…
11-14 19:43:38	Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)	Arkansas	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x833309…
11-14 19:42:49	Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	320	50¢	$160	0xdfc827…
11-14 19:42:37	Spread: Louisville (-3.5)	North Carolina	BUY	314	51¢	$160	0x419109…
11-14 17:56:14	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0xa6c19f…
11-14 17:55:49	UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)	Charles Radtke	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xb2197d…
11-14 17:54:47	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Chris Duncan	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0xa03cf3…
11-14 17:54:20	UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)	Terrance McKinney	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xe07257…
11-14 17:53:52	UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)	Donte Johnson	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0xc8f28a…
11-14 17:53:19	UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)	Yousri Belgaroui	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0x2658c8…
11-14 17:52:53	UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Amanda Nunes	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x1bbf03…
11-14 17:50:53	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Heat	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x1536ec…
11-14 17:50:29	Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)	Pelicans	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x764da8…
11-14 17:49:58	Spread: Kings (-1.5)	Flames	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x727ae9…
11-14 17:49:35	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0fca98…
11-14 17:49:11	Oilers vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xef8708…
11-14 17:48:49	Senators vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x88504c…
11-14 17:48:22	Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)	Kraken	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1ef403…
11-14 17:45:23	Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x4a0a0b…
11-14 17:39:43	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Falcons	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0x0803e9…
11-14 17:29:40	Spread: Texas State (-9.5)	Texas State	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x84a58e…
11-14 17:29:11	Spread: Jacksonville State (-7.5)	Western Kentucky	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x520522…
11-14 17:28:32	Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xbf7687…
11-14 00:13:33	Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)	Maryland Terrapins	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfdefe1…
11-14 00:13:04	Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)	Auburn Tigers	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x522dd3…
11-13 19:41:13	Predators vs. Golden Knights	Predators	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xf09901…
11-13 19:40:52	Rangers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x953b74…
11-13 19:40:16	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Clippers	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4daba7…
11-13 19:39:37	Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)	Kings	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6bbe75…
11-13 19:39:13	Spread: Hawks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x7a4ccd…
11-13 19:38:49	Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)	Pelicans	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x32dba6…
11-13 19:38:30	Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Pacers	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x82ca1f…
11-13 19:37:58	Houston vs. Colorado	Colorado	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x6f2c52…
11-13 19:37:52	Spread: Houston (-7.5)	Colorado	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbcca43…
11-13 19:37:34	Illinois vs. UCLA	Illinois	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xbf3348…
11-13 19:37:25	Spread: UCLA (-10.5)	Illinois	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6dbd60…
11-13 19:36:52	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Serbia	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x01c18d…
11-12 17:23:36	Wild vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xe7e053…
11-12 17:22:51	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xad4486…
11-11 21:54:24	Penguins vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4de8a6…
11-11 21:53:52	Lightning vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x67458a…
11-11 21:53:25	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xa0db94…
11-11 21:53:01	Rangers vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc2d235…
11-11 21:52:07	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd8e101…
11-11 21:51:40	Spread: Magic (-3.5)	Jazz	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe60b51…
11-11 21:51:04	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcfa931…
11-11 21:50:39	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Bulls	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd4e6cc…
11-11 21:50:16	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb1735e…
11-11 21:49:58	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x726d0a…
11-11 21:49:22	Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd1c87d…
11-11 21:49:06	Spread: Toledo (-14.5)	UMass	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc405f6…
11-10 20:58:15	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	64¢	$250	0x504193…
11-10 20:55:42	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x9ebd38…
11-10 20:55:16	Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xea5e52…
11-10 20:54:18	Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb6b4b5…
11-10 20:53:55	Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)	Kentucky Wildcats	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7ca285…
11-10 20:53:33	Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-2.5)	Texas Tech Red Raiders	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc04ec7…
11-10 20:53:00	Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)	Florida State Seminoles	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x2746ae…
11-10 20:52:12	Spread: Knicks (-15.5)	Bucks	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x31cb81…
11-10 20:51:42	Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4ff74e…
11-10 20:51:21	Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8290c8…
11-10 20:51:04	Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x7b041c…
11-09 21:26:01	Flyers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x908719…
11-09 21:25:37	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Rangers	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xeefd3a…
11-09 21:24:58	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd207f3…
11-09 21:24:39	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Hornets	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6c54ba…
11-09 21:23:48	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xa25620…
11-09 21:23:24	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x898adf…
11-09 21:23:16	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x1dc677…
11-09 14:34:25	Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	702	57¢	$400	0x0d951c…
11-08 17:58:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x2d90d3…
11-08 17:50:15	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Colts	BUY	741	54¢	$400	0xcb54d2…
11-08 17:34:37	Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x0fe886…
11-08 06:41:21	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x072c5a…
11-08 06:40:45	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x85cbf1…
11-08 06:39:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xbf3929…
11-08 06:39:33	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa62323…
11-07 20:32:51	Spread: Oilers (-2.5)	Canucks	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x2b9fda…
11-07 20:32:19	Spread: Stars (-1.5)	Sharks	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xa0e987…
11-07 20:31:55	Lightning vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x07b22b…
11-07 20:31:18	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xa10eee…
11-07 20:31:00	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Suns	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfab258…
11-07 20:30:39	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xed7ab6…
11-07 16:51:55	West Virginia vs. Texas Tech: O/U 65.5	Over	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xf00005…
11-07 15:08:36	Spread: Fresno State (-1.5)	Utah State	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xefb4ee…
11-07 15:08:12	Air Force vs. Army: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x577ceb…
11-07 15:07:33	Spread: Louisiana Tech (-5.5)	Louisiana Tech	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xb18a8c…
11-07 15:06:36	Alabama vs. LSU: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x9bc8d4…
11-07 15:05:57	Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x5d8fe9…
11-07 15:05:25	Hawai'i vs. UTEP: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x73a8c8…
11-07 15:04:51	Spread: Arizona State (-2.5)	Arizona State	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x322981…
11-07 15:04:21	Iowa vs. Northwestern: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xa398aa…
11-07 15:04:04	Iowa vs. Northwestern	Iowa	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc010eb…
11-07 15:03:34	BYU vs. Utah: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x6b8edc…
11-07 15:03:15	Spread: Utah (-4.5)	BYU	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x1f768a…
11-07 15:02:39	Spread: Texas (-3.5)	Missouri	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x90cffd…
11-07 15:02:12	Spread: UCLA (-4.5)	Minnesota	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4942f6…
11-07 15:01:28	UCF vs. Kansas	Kansas	BUY	127	63¢	$80	0x91c2ab…