Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$305
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved (90d)
937
Trades (90d)
1,098
2,372 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$86.4K
$190.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$916
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-08 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Sports
51% 48% -$1,914
Other
44% 43% +$450
Politics
5% 46% +$322
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +368 $105 84¢ $311 +$206 11-02 03:41
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +100 $55 100¢ $100 +$44 10-01 04:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +213 $100 42¢ $90 -$10 11-08 17:58
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +214 $100 42¢ $89 -$11 11-05 00:05
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? Yes +200 $50 29¢ $58 +$8 09-24 20:59
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +385 $10 13¢ $49 +$39 06-18 18:15
Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +943 $50 5¢ $46 -$4 09-26 22:41
Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? Yes +139 $15 32¢ $44 +$29 09-01 19:17
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +167 $10 20¢ $34 +$24 06-18 18:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +282 $125 8¢ $24 -$101 08-18 18:42
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes +437 $105 4¢ $20 -$85 11-02 03:43
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +44 $10 42¢ $18 +$8 06-18 18:14
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? Yes +686 $105 1¢ $7 -$98 11-02 03:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $50 2¢ $6 -$44 09-17 13:39
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +45 $11 12¢ $5 -$6 07-18 13:57
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +331 $50 1¢ $5 -$45 10-22 16:14
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +430 $105 1¢ $4 -$101 11-02 03:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +59 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 06-29 13:54
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? Yes +250 $50 1¢ $2 -$48 10-22 16:22
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +234 $105 0¢ $0 -$105 11-02 03:43