Spread: Arizona State (-2.5)
Arizona State won
Total volume
$1,531
$1,643 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
92¢
Latest NO mid
8¢
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-08 03:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.7¢
(top1%: 54% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 58% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $849 | $667 | +$182 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $6 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | — | $12 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $794 | $665 | +$128 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $101 | $3 | +$98 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $55 | $1 | +$54 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd38b…5029 | Colorado | +827 | $356 | $356 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Arizona State | +785 | $447 | $447 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| Steel-Bull 0x6b97…8d30 | Colorado | +330 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | +281 | $157 | $157 | 7 | 11-08 00:39 |
| jlangan 0x8351…9beb | Arizona State | +175 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-07 15:04 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Colorado | +175 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 11-07 15:04 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Arizona State | +105 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 11-08 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | +101 | $52 | $76 | 4 | 11-08 03:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | Colorado | +100 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 11-07 15:08 |
| Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | +98 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 11-08 00:21 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Colorado | +98 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 11-08 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x228b…af4c | Arizona State | +61 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 11-08 03:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bc3…dc6e | Colorado | +48 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 03:01 |
| Personal-Slate-Mezzanine 0xc546…058e | Arizona State | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-08 03:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0bd…7250 | Colorado | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| Miserly-Receptor 0x1df2…89a0 | Colorado | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc976…c147 | Colorado | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3e6…4be3 | Colorado | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5785…9e28 | Colorado | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c02…5f71 | Colorado | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ef…9972 | Colorado | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-07 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Colorado | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Arizona State | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 03:44:46 | Personal-Slate-Mezzanine 0xc546…058e | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe62669… |
| 11-08 03:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe62669… |
| 11-08 03:39:21 | Personal-Slate-Mezzanine 0xc546…058e | Arizona State | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa65c05… |
| 11-08 03:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa65c05… |
| 11-08 03:17:10 | Miserly-Receptor 0x1df2…89a0 | Colorado | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf32177… |
| 11-08 03:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x8936…f018 | Colorado | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf32177… |
| 11-08 03:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x228b…af4c | Arizona State | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x6e6d4f… |
| 11-08 03:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x1bc3…dc6e | Colorado | BUY | 48 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6e6d4f… |
| 11-08 01:42:18 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Arizona State | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x6a2acc… |
| 11-08 01:42:18 | (anonymous) 0xf4fa…bea1 | Arizona State | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x6a2acc… |
| 11-08 00:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xb3e6…4be3 | Colorado | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x246d71… |
| 11-08 00:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x228b…af4c | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x246d71… |
| 11-08 00:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x228b…af4c | Arizona State | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x23d383… |
| 11-08 00:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x8936…f018 | Colorado | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x23d383… |
| 11-08 00:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xb0bd…7250 | Colorado | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x2973ac… |
| 11-08 00:39:19 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x2973ac… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | Steel-Bull 0x6b97…8d30 | Colorado | BUY | 330 | 44¢ | $145 | 0x7990d1… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Colorado | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x906e17… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 45 | 56¢ | $25 | 0x7990d1… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xc976…c147 | Colorado | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x1bb2c9… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x1bb2c9… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | BUY | 76 | 56¢ | $43 | 0x7990d1… |
| 11-08 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xf4fa…bea1 | Arizona State | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x906e17… |
| 11-08 00:39:15 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x9a0c62… |
| 11-08 00:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x5c02…5f71 | Colorado | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x9a0c62… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Arizona State | BUY | 785 | 57¢ | $447 | 0x73dc1f… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x73dc1f… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | BUY | 37 | 57¢ | $21 | 0x73dc1f… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x5785…9e28 | Colorado | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x0cb33e… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xd38b…5029 | Colorado | BUY | 827 | 43¢ | $356 | 0x73dc1f… |
| 11-08 00:39:13 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x0cb33e… |
| 11-08 00:21:37 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Colorado | BUY | 32 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xa4522c… |
| 11-08 00:21:37 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | BUY | 32 | 55¢ | $18 | 0xa4522c… |
| 11-08 00:18:45 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Colorado | BUY | 43 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x304b0a… |
| 11-08 00:18:45 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | BUY | 43 | 55¢ | $24 | 0x304b0a… |
| 11-08 00:17:07 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Colorado | BUY | 23 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x17084c… |
| 11-08 00:17:07 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | BUY | 23 | 55¢ | $13 | 0x17084c… |
| 11-07 17:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…9972 | Colorado | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x5c597c… |
| 11-07 17:08:48 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x5c597c… |
| 11-07 15:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | Colorado | BUY | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0x4ebac0… |
| 11-07 15:08:39 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Arizona State | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0x4ebac0… |
| 11-07 15:04:51 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Colorado | BUY | 175 | 43¢ | $75 | 0x322981… |
| 11-07 15:04:51 | jlangan 0x8351…9beb | Arizona State | BUY | 175 | 57¢ | $100 | 0x322981… |