Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
192
lifetime
Volume
$1.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$68
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-13 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% $-15
Politics
44% 100% +$26
Tech
5%
Sports
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +312 $25 $23 $-2 07-13 20:56
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23 $10 42¢ $10 $-0 07-13 20:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +18 $10 42¢ $8 $-2 06-12 22:28
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes +189 $10 $7 $-3 07-13 20:57
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +286 $10 $6 $-4 07-13 20:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $10 $6 $-4 06-12 22:25
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +39 $7 11¢ $4 $-3 06-10 11:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +83 $5 $2 $-3 06-12 22:25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +17 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 06-11 21:01