Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
51
lifetime
Volume
$76
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$13
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-17 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
54% 33% +$4
Other
46%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +121 $8 $9 +$1 07-17 11:40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 07-17 11:39
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-04 14:05
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 08:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 11:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 11:25