Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$68
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-07 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
61% 33% +$4
Other
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $2 $2 $-0 06-04 14:04
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +5 $1 25¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-03 11:25
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 $1 $-0 06-04 08:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-04 08:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 11:25
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -56 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 08:02