Realized P&L
+$2.74K
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
62
Trades
243
lifetime
Volume
$31.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$9.10K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-07 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
51% 55% +$1,268
Crypto
22% 78% -$863
Sports
19% 64% +$2,152
Politics
6% 50% +$184
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2,024 $1,691 94¢ $1.9K +$221 06-24 14:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +1,196 $1,100 94¢ $1.1K +$19 09-30 03:04
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,075 $1,000 95¢ $1.0K +$23 08-05 03:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,000 -$938 98¢ $-980 -$42 06-12 08:18
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +871 $800 96¢ $837 +$37 08-05 03:28
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +839 $756 93¢ $781 +$25 08-05 03:22
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +812 $600 82¢ $662 +$62 08-05 03:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 -$535 96¢ $-579 -$44 06-12 08:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -500 -$400 96¢ $-482 -$82 06-12 08:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +562 $500 62¢ $351 -$149 10-07 02:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -291 -$228 97¢ $-282 -$54 08-05 03:22
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -85 -$66 96¢ $-81 -$16 06-12 08:15
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 06-12 08:15