Realized P&L (90d)
+$430
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved (90d)
3
Trades (90d)
3
241 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.20K
$31.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$9.03K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-07 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
51% 55% +$1,268
Crypto
22% 78% -$863
Sports
19% 64% +$2,152
Politics
6% 50% +$184
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2,024 $1,691 94¢ $1.9K +$221 06-24 14:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +1,196 $1,100 92¢ $1.1K -$5 09-30 03:04
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,075 $1,000 97¢ $1.0K +$47 08-05 03:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,000 -$938 98¢ $-981 -$43 06-12 08:18
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +871 $800 97¢ $841 +$41 08-05 03:28
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +839 $756 94¢ $789 +$33 08-05 03:22
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +812 $600 85¢ $691 +$91 08-05 03:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 -$535 97¢ $-581 -$46 06-12 08:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -500 -$400 96¢ $-480 -$80 06-12 08:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -291 -$228 97¢ $-283 -$55 08-05 03:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +562 $500 43¢ $242 -$258 10-07 02:02
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -85 -$66 96¢ $-81 -$16 06-12 08:15
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 06-12 08:15