Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
89
Trades
313
lifetime
Volume
$1.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$28
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-27 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
76% 47% +$34
Politics
13% 47% $0
Crypto
6% 40% -$10
Sports
3% 30% -$17
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $4 8¢ $5 +$1 08-06 00:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 07-09 14:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 07-09 14:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 $0 10-27 20:35
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +80 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 10-27 03:47
russia coup attempt in 2026 Yes +60 $3 3¢ $2 -$2 08-05 20:38
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +18 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-22 04:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $6 12¢ $1 -$5 07-22 04:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-24 14:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +80 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-29 08:02
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-01 06:39
ukraine coup attempt by december 31 Yes +20 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 07-25 23:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 11¢ $1 -$3 07-09 21:29