Fat-Admin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$114

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-11 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

24% 50% +$0

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

12% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	-5	$-4	74¢	$-4	+$0	06-05 20:12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	+5	$2	44¢	$2	$-0	06-05 13:34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	06-05 15:02
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+15	$0	2¢	$0	$-0	06-08 07:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	5	$13	20	5	+15	open	—	05-28 17:15
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-05 14:52
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	06-05 14:52
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	06-01 10:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 14:10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	06-05 13:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-24 14:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-26 16:22
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	3	$5	16	16	+0	open	—	06-11 10:46
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	3	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 15:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	06-05 20:12
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 01:40
will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 21:28
btc updown 5m 1775827800	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-10 13:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	3	$3	5	2	+3	open	—	05-25 15:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 17:31
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-24 14:11
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 09:40
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	30	15	+15	open	—	06-08 07:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-06 09:40
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	0	4	-4	open	—	02-25 09:17
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	06-05 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 08:38
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-10 13:43
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 14:38
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-10 14:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-11 08:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-10 13:36
tsla above 415 on june 5 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:46:03	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x74c1c8…
06-08 07:22:18	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xb06dc9…
06-07 19:31:48	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x0aeefb…
06-07 18:22:13	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd07156…
06-07 15:18:00	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x195146…
06-05 20:12:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8df5aa…
06-05 15:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3ffb97…
06-05 15:00:30	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd05b44…
06-05 14:52:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9fd183…
06-05 14:52:00	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa1181c…
06-05 14:27:31	tsla above 415 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd0efed…
06-05 13:42:13	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd820d3…
06-05 13:41:31	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xac2fb7…
06-05 13:34:49	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5a8306…
06-05 13:34:31	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1a71ff…
06-05 13:26:40	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf1441a…
06-05 12:57:25	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3c84d6…
06-02 15:14:14	United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf336db…
06-01 14:13:45	United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6b59c8…
06-01 10:41:16	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf472b9…
06-01 10:40:50	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc62e8f…
06-01 10:40:31	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfc2580…
05-28 17:15:22	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdf1796…
05-27 20:27:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2899c9…
05-26 16:22:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcefffa…
05-26 01:12:14	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcc2b36…
05-25 15:07:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x89427c…
05-25 09:31:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x69c1b8…
05-24 15:32:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x83cc1c…
05-24 15:09:03	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x342e7b…
05-24 14:11:41	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1fb268…
05-24 14:11:09	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7fc31c…
05-24 14:10:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2a88f2…
05-24 14:10:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0xdb74a8…
05-11 08:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcadfa9…
05-11 08:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1d4548…
05-09 21:39:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x05890a…
05-09 21:35:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb340d5…
05-09 21:35:19	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x757664…
05-08 21:20:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d280d…
05-07 06:13:57	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff10e6…
05-07 06:06:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcef840…
05-06 17:31:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x77418d…
05-06 09:46:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf98e18…
05-06 09:40:52	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x25032a…
05-06 09:40:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa339e7…
04-10 15:04:11	the masters 2026 hole in one	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xdda8b5…
04-10 14:42:55	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc3f721…
04-10 14:38:13	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe1f0ad…
04-10 13:52:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf49fdf…
04-10 13:43:55	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x104235…
04-10 13:43:35	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xacd2e5…
04-10 13:36:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0f7c57…
04-10 13:33:33	btc updown 5m 1775827800	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c304d…
04-10 13:33:03	btc updown 5m 1775827800	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4a61ab…
04-10 13:32:13	btc updown 5m 1775827800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xff29e5…
03-17 01:40:25	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x402354…
03-16 21:31:33	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x631e85…
03-16 21:28:21	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0756f5…
02-25 09:17:40	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x29f68d…