Oblong-Cocktail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$180

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-22 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

36% 100% +$1

Other

34% 0% $-2

Crypto

30% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	02-23 13:19
israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	3	$11	54	0	+54	open	—	03-09 21:53
lal mad rso 2026 03 07 rso	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-02 11:14
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-03 20:41
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	03-10 02:53
atp cecchin ouakaa 2026 03 02 first set total 9pt5	2	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-02 11:27
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$4	3	1	+2	open	—	03-02 10:47
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	03-03 14:40
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	1	$4	16	0	+16	open	—	03-09 18:53
wta grachev tagger 2026 03 04	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	03-03 22:41
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	03-10 09:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-03 10:40
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	1	$4	28	0	+28	open	—	03-03 15:40
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on april 5	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 04:04
spl neo fay 2026 04 04 draw	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 23:48
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 23:34
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 12?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-12 04:30
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-18 13:28
lal gir vil 2026 04 06 vil	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 23:48
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	03-18 15:28
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 draw	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-01 13:08
el2 ches che 2026 04 03 che	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	04-01 13:08
lal rso lev 2026 04 04 lev	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	04-01 13:08
will iran strike jordan again in march	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-18 12:28
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-18 15:28
chi tie bgu 2026 04 04 tie	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-01 13:08
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-18 12:28
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 09:57
will ethereum reach 2400 on may 21	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 05:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 22?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 14:03:29	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f60e7…
05-21 09:57:19	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38da80…
05-21 06:48:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c283b…
05-21 05:31:37	will ethereum reach 2400 on may 21	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a822b…
05-20 08:11:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe66935…
05-20 07:17:09	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x973622…
05-20 05:14:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4a54d6…
05-19 05:59:37	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe5070…
05-19 05:59:37	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9a1e2…
05-18 00:14:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x45bb3f…
05-17 22:17:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c2979…
05-16 03:10:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea9694…
05-14 20:34:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5354aa…
05-14 08:14:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa82d86…
05-13 16:54:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7ef1c9…
05-13 03:12:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x89ae46…
05-12 04:30:44	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb642a…
05-12 04:20:41	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x927ddc…
05-12 04:20:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5c1cd…
05-12 04:20:37	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d968d…
04-05 04:16:57	ethereum above 1700 on april 7	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x77b3ad…
04-05 04:04:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on april 5	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x94b527…
04-05 02:03:55	itsb ces sud 2026 04 06 sud	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd7f644…
04-03 23:48:35	lal gir vil 2026 04 06 vil	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe8bdda…
04-03 23:48:35	spl neo fay 2026 04 04 draw	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x02a4ce…
04-02 01:12:43	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7662a…
04-01 13:08:13	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8855e6…
04-01 13:08:11	lal rso lev 2026 04 04 lev	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfeca80…
04-01 13:08:09	chi tie bgu 2026 04 04 tie	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x772dce…
04-01 13:08:07	el2 ches che 2026 04 03 che	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5f5d99…
04-01 11:08:49	xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x84b858…
03-21 05:39:43	will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x638eb1…
03-21 01:39:09	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa2fe97…
03-19 23:34:07	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x85819a…
03-18 15:28:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 19	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb662d1…
03-18 15:28:51	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x263d12…
03-18 13:28:27	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x52e9b9…
03-18 12:28:19	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe4f353…
03-18 12:28:17	will iran strike jordan again in march	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0528bc…
03-10 09:54:25	bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2016a7…
03-10 02:53:51	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xd481d3…
03-10 00:53:41	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x0c36c7…
03-09 21:53:27	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x60e849…
03-09 19:53:17	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xb42700…
03-09 18:53:13	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xb970e5…
03-09 14:52:51	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x948bcc…
03-03 22:41:19	wta grachev tagger 2026 03 04	Lilli Tagger	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x5d7c72…
03-03 20:41:07	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd34102…
03-03 19:41:03	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb6a44c…
03-03 15:40:45	usisrael strike yemen by march 3	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x389e28…
03-03 14:40:39	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x80828e…
03-03 10:40:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x325781…
03-02 11:27:31	atp cecchin ouakaa 2026 03 02 first set total 9pt5	Under	BUY	1,535	0¢	$2	0x5182c1…
03-02 11:27:31	atp cecchin ouakaa 2026 03 02 first set total 9pt5	Under	BUY	3,465	0¢	$3	0x22b2cd…
03-02 11:14:33	lal mad rso 2026 03 07 rso	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xac823d…
03-02 11:12:45	lal mad rso 2026 03 07 rso	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1271a7…
03-02 10:47:35	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6fce03…
02-23 13:19:30	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x372340…
02-23 13:19:26	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x736f21…
02-23 13:18:42	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x51dab2…
02-23 13:17:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd17dff…