Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
81
lifetime
Volume
$6.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$1.64K
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-01 14:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
18%
Crypto
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -224 $-217 94¢ $-209 +$8 07-01 14:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +222 $202 92¢ $205 +$3 06-06 16:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -224 $-206 92¢ $-205 +$1 06-18 14:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -212 $-205 96¢ $-204 +$1 06-12 21:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -211 $-202 96¢ $-204 $-1 06-06 14:43
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +215 $202 94¢ $203 +$1 06-03 14:56
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -155 $-141 94¢ $-145 $-4 06-23 19:53
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -111 $-104 96¢ $-106 $-2 06-04 19:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -111 $-104 94¢ $-105 $-1 06-19 07:12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +59 $54 93¢ $55 +$1 06-26 12:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 88¢ $-0 +$0 06-18 09:21