Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$456

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$67

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-22 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

73% 17% -$45

Politics

15% 0% -$18

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,340	$79	4¢	$50	-$29	10-22 10:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+37	$10	45¢	$17	+$7	10-22 10:04
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+50	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	10-03 13:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+5	$0	3¢	$0	$0	10-01 16:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	-$1	1¢	$0	+$1	09-15 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$121	1,787	447	+1,340	open	—	10-22 10:03
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	6	$61	129	125	+4	No	+$1	09-06 16:50
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	2	$45	250	250	+0	open	—	08-13 08:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$21	143	133	+10	open	—	09-15 17:06
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	2	$19	16	15	+1	Yes	-$1	09-06 17:16
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	2	$19	42	42	+0	Yes	+$9	08-12 09:33
will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	2	$19	67	67	+0	Speed	-$1	08-10 17:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$15	23	23	+0	Yes	-$5	08-25 08:46
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	2	$13	1,429	1,429	+0	No	-$7	08-09 16:15
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$10	182	0	+182	No	-$10	10-07 07:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	10-22 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:55 UTC	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	08-18 06:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	80	0	+80	No	-$10	09-15 17:18
Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	4	$8	530	530	+0	open	—	09-03 09:48
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	3	$8	33	25	+8	No	$0	09-17 09:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	3	$7	739	596	+143	No	-$5	09-14 09:13
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	1	$7	50	0	+50	open	—	10-03 13:48
nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	1	$5	31	0	+31	Yes	-$5	08-16 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	08-21 09:10
will trump say baby during remarks at nasa	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	08-25 08:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$4	91	91	+0	No	$0	08-26 09:15
Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09?	2	$3	22	11	+11	No	-$1	09-03 09:48
atp hassan raquill 2026 08 17	3	$3	4	2	+2	Benjamin Hassan	+$0	08-17 09:52
epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	2	$2	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 13:04
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-20 09:33
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	09-14 17:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$2	20	15	+5	open	—	10-01 16:53
Natural Disaster in 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	08-21 09:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$2	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-29 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	08-17 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 10:04:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0eb399…
10-22 10:03:29	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	447	5¢	$21	0x372e64…
10-20 16:51:02	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,787	6¢	$100	0xfeaed6…
10-07 07:54:57	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x6d238e…
10-03 13:50:36	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd5d255…
10-03 13:48:54	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x9f9eb9…
10-01 16:53:45	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x63a544…
10-01 16:53:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x086540…
09-17 09:14:51	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x75ab3e…
09-17 09:14:25	Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x605571…
09-15 17:18:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x0a9d33…
09-15 17:06:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	8¢	$10	0xb59660…
09-14 17:31:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x31b850…
09-14 17:30:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xa26506…
09-14 17:24:57	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd5c2c4…
09-14 17:24:21	Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xbd9cae…
09-14 09:55:49	Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xfe143c…
09-14 09:13:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9ab065…
09-14 09:12:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	SELL	596	0¢	$1	0x5b101c…
09-13 12:35:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe8ffc8…
09-12 14:07:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	596	1¢	$5	0xee2b40…
09-09 11:16:52	Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	0¢	$1	0xa1caf9…
09-06 17:16:51	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xc19c56…
09-06 17:09:45	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1607f4…
09-06 16:50:37	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0x0a1d39…
09-06 16:44:24	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd6da9a…
09-06 16:43:48	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x88a76e…
09-06 16:41:28	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x72bcfb…
09-06 16:36:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x700b62…
09-06 09:20:30	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xdaaab3…
09-05 10:03:33	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfc8682…
09-03 09:49:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xdbd590…
09-03 09:48:22	Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x3b750a…
09-03 09:48:16	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x7b8424…
09-02 13:35:19	Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0f7850…
09-02 08:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeae9bf…
08-30 23:05:55	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xd24ec4…
08-30 23:03:18	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	458	1¢	$5	0x67ce5d…
08-29 14:57:58	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$1	0xeffe2c…
08-29 14:56:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x7567df…
08-28 20:54:34	will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe3ee5…
08-26 09:15:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x8180b1…
08-25 08:51:03	will trump say baby during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x00bcbd…
08-25 08:46:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x961367…
08-21 09:19:25	will donald trump publicly insult pam bondi by august 31 2026 20260730161742252	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcf0837…
08-21 09:18:28	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x761af0…
08-21 09:18:24	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x3b7eab…
08-21 09:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a8278…
08-20 09:59:43	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe1cf5d…
08-20 09:33:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb6d231…
08-20 09:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x8cec99…
08-20 09:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	198	1¢	$1	0xd31147…
08-18 06:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00d0e4…
08-18 06:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x55ac56…
08-18 06:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x0c6b56…
08-18 06:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe66958…
08-17 09:52:15	atp hassan raquill 2026 08 17	Leo Raquillet	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x88a41e…
08-17 09:52:03	atp hassan raquill 2026 08 17	Leo Raquillet	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd65c38…
08-17 09:48:01	atp hassan raquill 2026 08 17	Benjamin Hassan	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcc1885…
08-17 09:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x0f5cea…
08-17 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x193919…
08-17 08:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd60a41…
08-17 07:27:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf16697…
08-16 13:25:30	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcabc1b…
08-15 16:51:09	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x3733bf…
08-14 09:17:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4715f6…
08-14 09:16:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xa171f2…
08-14 07:02:55	dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14	BoomBoys	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2fa370…
08-13 13:04:01	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x4e7973…
08-13 08:28:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x362903…
08-13 08:26:24	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xf1494b…
08-12 09:33:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	42	33¢	$14	0x86c98f…
08-10 17:53:04	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xb81cfb…
08-10 17:37:03	epl will jeff bezos be announced as new liverpool owner in 2026 20260722181029339	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaf99b2…
08-10 17:34:37	lol navi g2 2026 08 10	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x199fe8…
08-10 17:33:51	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0xf3457b…
08-10 17:32:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1b8218…
08-09 16:15:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	SELL	1,429	0¢	$3	0x9a02e8…
08-09 13:34:51	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xda48a0…
08-08 20:47:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x801f82…
08-08 19:06:36	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbb7e8f…