Realized P&L
-$201
Unrealized P&L
-$150
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
51
Trades
99
lifetime
Volume
$15.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
$775
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-24 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% -$708
Politics
38% 58% -$419
Sports
15% 80% +$726
Tech
0% 100% +$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -370 -$222 64¢ $-239 -$17 05-13 17:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,041 $101 12¢ $123 +$22 08-11 09:40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +149 $100 66¢ $98 -$2 10-24 21:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +113 $60 55¢ $62 +$2 10-17 21:47
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +132 $33 37¢ $49 +$16 10-11 10:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +355 $50 13¢ $46 -$4 08-27 18:16
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +400 $100 12¢ $46 -$54 06-09 06:01
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 4¢ $41 -$59 06-12 12:57
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +299 $35 10¢ $30 -$5 10-17 21:52
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +184 $65 12¢ $22 -$43 08-27 18:15
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? Yes +577 $25 3¢ $19 -$6 10-17 21:45