Inferior-Widow 0x0cad11…1b5dd0
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$265
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,016
lifetime
Volume
$29.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.92K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-21 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
39% 100% +$99
Crypto
26% — —
Other
24% 50% +$51
Sports
9% 25% $-205
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,500 $521 29¢ $713 +$192 07-20 07:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -1,170 $-332 34¢ $-392 $-60 07-15 19:43
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -600 $-121 34¢ $-201 $-80 07-15 20:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -3,474 $-225 4¢ $-137 +$88 06-21 02:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -600 $-98 18¢ $-111 $-12 07-13 19:46
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -1,248 $-96 8¢ $-94 +$2 07-16 17:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -700 $-160 12¢ $-88 +$73 07-02 14:19
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -800 $-97 6¢ $-52 +$45 06-16 04:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +324 $25 12¢ $37 +$12 07-19 09:57
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -250 $-22 12¢ $-29 $-7 07-14 09:22
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +100 $20 20¢ $20 $-0 07-21 19:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -250 $-20 8¢ $-19 +$1 07-10 17:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -416 $-19 3¢ $-13 +$6 07-06 05:14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -100 $-10 10¢ $-10 +$0 07-13 20:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -68 $-4 4¢ $-2 +$2 06-04 15:56
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -76 $-5 2¢ $-1 +$4 07-01 13:44
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 7¢ $-0 $-0 07-17 06:45