Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$112
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
921
lifetime
Volume
$26.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$382
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-01 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
40% 100% +$99
Crypto
28%
Other
21% 50% +$51
Sports
7% 25% $-205
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -3,474 $-225 $-127 +$98 06-21 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -600 $-144 16¢ $-99 +$45 06-14 10:30
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -800 $-97 $-68 +$29 06-16 04:47
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +544 $119 11¢ $57 $-61 06-15 09:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $16 18¢ $18 +$2 06-26 02:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +18 $9 38¢ $7 $-2 05-28 16:21
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -76 $-5 $-4 +$0 07-01 13:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -68 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-04 15:56