Inferior-Widow 0x0cad11…1b5dd0 Create alert
8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$455
Unrealized P&L
+$270
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
358
Trades
2,091
lifetime
Volume
$60.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 11-13 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
40% 67% +$55
Politics
31% 65% +$165
Sports
13% 42% +$254
Crypto
13% 74% -$5
Tech
3% 80% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,500 $389 24¢ $587 +$199 11-04 04:24
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -4,000 -$310 8¢ $-340 -$30 10-27 15:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,000 $806 8¢ $255 -$551 11-12 01:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -4,000 -$515 3¢ $-130 +$385 07-17 06:45
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6,433 $142 2¢ $106 -$35 10-10 21:06
Modi out by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,000 $179 11¢ $105 -$74 10-10 18:08
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? Yes +500 $125 18¢ $90 -$35 11-12 21:33
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? Yes +300 $75 24¢ $73 -$1 11-04 19:42
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +250 $74 26¢ $64 -$11 11-06 06:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,004 -$259 2¢ $-62 +$197 06-21 02:35
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? Yes +224 $47 24¢ $53 +$6 11-06 12:55
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -600 -$121 8¢ $-51 +$70 07-15 20:04
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +100 $46 44¢ $44 -$2 11-12 15:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -1,600 -$376 2¢ $-38 +$338 07-02 14:19
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -1,872 -$136 2¢ $-33 +$104 10-03 15:01
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? Yes +350 $137 9¢ $32 -$106 11-08 18:56
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? No +150 $42 18¢ $27 -$15 11-08 18:19
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes +250 $50 10¢ $25 -$25 11-04 17:20
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? Yes +397 $39 6¢ $24 -$15 09-15 02:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +70 $37 32¢ $22 -$15 11-06 19:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$98 2¢ $-22 +$77 10-04 21:28
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -650 -$66 3¢ $-20 +$46 10-08 17:35
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? Yes +150 $16 12¢ $18 +$2 11-06 16:33
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +326 $85 6¢ $18 -$67 11-06 14:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? Yes +120 $23 15¢ $17 -$6 11-13 04:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -180 $83 8¢ $-15 -$98 10-31 02:01
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -400 -$77 2¢ $-9 +$68 11-04 16:31
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +250 $44 3¢ $8 -$36 11-07 17:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -500 -$9 2¢ $-8 +$2 09-24 21:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $106 11¢ $7 -$98 10-07 10:54