(anonymous) 0x45746c…3fab3e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$557
Unrealized P&L
+$1.34K
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
107
Trades
951
lifetime
Volume
$23.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$7.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 12:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
43% 43% -$1,207
Other
35% 50% +$884
Tech
11% 50% +$311
Sports
8% 23% -$658
Crypto
3% 50% +$113
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,005 $1,353 84¢ $1.7K +$331 08-20 16:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +825 $437 84¢ $689 +$252 09-05 04:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +767 $608 86¢ $656 +$49 08-26 12:51
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +524 $300 98¢ $513 +$213 10-10 16:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +521 $451 94¢ $487 +$36 07-28 13:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +400 $257 91¢ $364 +$107 07-07 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +380 $196 88¢ $336 +$140 08-12 17:20
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +340 $220 88¢ $298 +$78 08-04 14:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +300 $256 91¢ $273 +$17 09-02 05:19
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +274 $211 88¢ $241 +$31 10-16 05:23
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 No +240 $163 90¢ $217 +$54 08-26 15:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +222 $200 92¢ $205 +$5 09-23 05:39
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +209 $177 92¢ $193 +$16 09-04 01:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$188 96¢ $-192 -$4 07-22 08:33
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +800 $481 21¢ $168 -$313 08-23 15:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +185 $166 90¢ $167 +$1 10-19 07:14
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +139 $118 96¢ $134 +$16 10-06 22:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +174 $133 64¢ $111 -$22 10-17 11:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +118 $77 94¢ $111 +$34 06-11 17:08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +100 $80 96¢ $96 +$16 05-12 10:34
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 $0 10-16 07:27
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +100 $47 88¢ $88 +$40 08-03 18:34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +100 $74 86¢ $86 +$12 10-16 10:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +100 $66 86¢ $86 +$20 06-04 18:34
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +102 $79 80¢ $81 +$2 10-21 17:57
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +80 $75 96¢ $77 +$2 10-05 02:05
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 No +50 $42 97¢ $49 +$7 08-21 15:36
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -600 -$150 7¢ $-44 +$106 05-28 13:18
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -700 -$35 3¢ $-23 +$12 08-27 08:49
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -200 -$88 5¢ $-10 +$78 07-29 02:28