Granular-Footstep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$139.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.18K

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

87% 100% +$59

Other

13% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes		+107	$30	22¢	$23	$-7	06-04 21:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$67.4K	46,728	46,728	+0	open	—	04-03 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$18.0K	9,041	9,041	+0	open	—	05-01 00:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$17.9K	9,042	9,042	+0	open	—	04-29 14:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	20	$11.6K	6,421	6,420	+1	open	—	04-03 23:23
iran closes its airspace by june 8	16	$11.6K	9,541	9,541	+0	open	—	06-08 02:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	31	$8.3K	13,424	13,424	+0	No	+$59	05-04 19:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-14 02:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	04-21 16:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,050 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-30 23:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$102	150	0	+150	open	—	05-24 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$101	126	0	+126	open	—	05-01 23:40
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	04-10 06:30
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	01-23 00:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	01-23 00:31
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$41	66	0	+66	open	—	02-20 18:23
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-02 20:05
Natural Disaster in 2026?	1	$30	107	0	+107	open	—	06-04 21:44
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-02 05:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-12 06:53
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	1	$12	110	0	+110	open	—	04-08 20:58
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-22 00:07
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	04-22 22:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 21:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-16 07:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	02-28 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-14 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:07:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7ab9f4…
06-07 22:49:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	3,529	99¢	$3,493	0xe18420…
06-07 20:46:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	2,911	82¢	$2,387	0x8befdb…
06-07 20:46:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,400	82¢	$1,148	0x0b0b93…
06-07 20:46:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	661	82¢	$542	0xa42902…
06-07 20:46:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x6df1d3…
06-07 20:18:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	58¢	$2,924	0x2ab66b…
06-07 19:13:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	437	55¢	$240	0xd7d800…
06-07 19:13:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	184	55¢	$101	0xd8b21d…
06-07 19:13:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	150	55¢	$82	0x546e25…
06-07 19:13:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	66	55¢	$36	0x52437f…
06-07 19:13:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	112	55¢	$62	0x7ef852…
06-07 19:13:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	39	55¢	$21	0x6593b7…
06-07 19:13:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x2b09e3…
06-07 17:39:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,846	13¢	$500	0x3dd435…
06-07 14:05:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	694	4¢	$25	0x1e5fd2…
06-04 21:44:07	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x40f5d7…
05-24 03:27:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	68¢	$76	0xa5b7cd…
05-24 03:27:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x33ad54…
05-24 03:25:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xfc0eec…
05-24 03:25:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x853dfc…
05-14 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1682fd…
05-14 02:51:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0xf10a5b…
05-10 07:41:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	84¢	$1,008	0xcee4de…
05-04 19:26:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	7,975	33¢	$2,632	0x2231a5…
05-04 19:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	407	33¢	$134	0x13d625…
05-04 19:19:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0xe4e2dc…
05-04 19:19:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x26afd8…
05-04 15:30:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	240	35¢	$84	0x7ec5f5…
05-04 15:30:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x442ca4…
05-04 15:30:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2c7fda…
05-04 15:30:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x58eaba…
05-04 15:30:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4,728	35¢	$1,634	0x064020…
05-04 15:30:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa9af1e…
05-04 15:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	123	35¢	$43	0xeb422c…
05-04 15:29:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4dfd56…
05-04 15:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xabc1ea…
05-04 15:29:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0xc05580…
05-04 15:29:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x870a0c…
05-04 15:29:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x15b4ec…
05-04 15:29:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x09e4e0…
05-04 15:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xc2528a…
05-04 15:29:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x97e4ca…
05-04 15:29:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x628f55…
05-04 15:29:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe209f3…
05-04 15:29:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc2c045…
05-04 15:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4050e1…
05-04 15:29:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x39b7fb…
05-04 15:29:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x297701…
05-04 15:29:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd197cc…
05-04 15:29:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xac75d1…
05-04 15:29:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,098	35¢	$734	0x9179ac…
05-04 15:29:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x1d00aa…
05-04 15:13:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5,000	28¢	$1,400	0xa777e3…
05-04 14:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,194	0x9a1796…
05-01 23:40:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	126	80¢	$101	0x79722c…
05-01 00:42:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	9,041	100¢	$9,019	0xc0aeee…
04-30 23:45:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,050 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xed1223…
04-30 14:03:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	9,009	100¢	$9,000	0x1f1f72…
04-29 14:22:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9,042	100¢	$8,997	0x52c516…
04-28 23:25:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,990	99¢	$8,900	0xd11153…
04-26 21:54:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xd3cab1…
04-22 22:36:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x2484ce…
04-22 00:07:42	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x6466f3…
04-21 16:23:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,033	100¢	$1,031	0xc36329…
04-19 10:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x953a4d…
04-18 08:31:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x8eb90b…
04-16 07:03:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x1414f8…
04-14 22:29:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,033	97¢	$1,000	0x2b8535…
04-12 06:53:45	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x4f8b80…
04-10 06:30:21	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb6e1e9…
04-08 20:58:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0x4c5dc1…
04-03 23:23:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,464	90¢	$1,318	0xc3ed6a…
04-03 23:23:49	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xba48df…
04-03 23:23:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0xb02880…
04-03 23:23:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5e0723…
04-03 23:23:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x2fa9e4…
04-03 23:23:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x65865a…
04-03 23:23:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x5e9431…
04-03 23:22:43	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb54eb3…
04-03 23:22:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	90¢	$38	0x317c00…
04-03 23:22:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,234	90¢	$3,811	0x85ef41…
04-03 23:22:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x437cba…
04-03 23:22:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x06a47e…
04-03 23:19:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x3be6f9…
04-03 23:19:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x3d52e7…
04-03 23:17:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x3bda4a…
04-03 23:13:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x08062a…
04-03 23:09:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0xdb5d1d…
04-03 22:42:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xd7d09e…
04-03 22:41:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	234	91¢	$213	0x0e5bfd…
04-03 22:39:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,887	91¢	$5,357	0xe28c53…
04-03 16:06:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,943	88¢	$5,230	0x5dd660…
04-03 16:06:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	909	88¢	$800	0xd39ce2…
04-03 16:05:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	176	88¢	$155	0x69308e…
04-03 16:05:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x5f90da…
04-03 16:04:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xf2f0a8…
04-03 16:04:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,174	88¢	$1,913	0xcc8744…
04-03 16:04:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,300	88¢	$1,144	0x0be979…
04-03 15:36:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,511	86¢	$9,040	0xe15cac…