Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
26
26 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$419
$419 lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$204
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
79%
Politics
21%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6? No +53 $50 100¢ $53 +$3 05-05 10:01
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? No +58 $53 86¢ $50 $-4 05-05 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6? No +31 $29 89¢ $28 $-1 05-05 16:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5? No +23 $18 100¢ $23 +$5 05-05 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 05-05 12:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -27 $-8 32¢ $-9 $-1 05-05 23:50
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May? No -11 $-7 64¢ $-7 +$0 05-06 00:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No -7 $-0 100¢ $-7 $-7 05-05 13:22
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No -10 $-2 59¢ $-6 $-4 05-04 20:09
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-05 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 05-05 19:27
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? No -5 $-2 28¢ $-1 +$1 05-05 13:35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-05 16:57