Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$224

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

101

Trades

820

lifetime

Volume

$424.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$517

Open exposure

$2.32K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-20 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

72% 76% +$7,060

Politics

25% 60% +$2,121

Tech

3% 50% -$3,085

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-7,617	-$1,455	18¢	$-1390	+$65	07-25 12:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-5,783	-$636	16¢	$-925	-$289	08-11 23:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	57	$50.5K	68,948	17,757	+51,191	No	+$1,642	01-30 22:58
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	20	$48.2K	18,970	51,499	-32,528	Yes	-$11,475	01-03 09:57
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	29	$32.7K	16,970	42,292	-25,322	Yes	+$6,753	01-03 08:03
maduro in us custody by january 31	3	$24.7K	12,612	12,612	+0	Yes	+$333	01-03 10:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	39	$21.0K	43,819	23,184	+20,635	No	-$42	02-22 08:23
another us strike on venezuela by march 31	35	$19.3K	19,578	2,485	+17,093	No	+$2,581	04-02 01:30
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	7	$14.3K	4,737	11,067	-6,330	Yes	+$1,350	01-03 09:58
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	23	$12.8K	29,881	50,782	-20,900	No	+$101	01-03 19:46
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	15	$12.7K	13,009	400	+12,609	No	+$738	01-31 12:11
another us strike on venezuela on january 12	5	$11.6K	11,899	0	+11,899	No	+$293	01-06 15:51
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	6	$10.2K	12,171	12,171	+0	Yes	+$5,410	01-03 08:13
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	7	$10.1K	8,814	1,400	+7,414	Yes	+$59	02-23 13:30
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	10	$9.0K	9,749	0	+9,749	No	+$736	03-24 21:35
will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	5	$8.3K	8,446	0	+8,446	No	+$133	03-24 21:33
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	2	$7.8K	0	7,786	-7,786	No	-$35	01-01 07:20
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?	11	$7.5K	0	7,774	-7,774	Yes	-$233	01-21 14:50
maduro exiled to russia by march 31	6	$6.4K	3,302	3,302	-0	No	+$50	01-03 14:20
was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	14	$6.1K	3,127	3,127	+0	No	+$61	02-17 00:20
maduro out by february 28 2026	1	$5.9K	0	5,959	-5,959	Yes	-$19	01-03 09:58
us strike on colombia by january 31	7	$5.9K	2,999	2,999	+0	No	+$136	01-30 08:44
us strike on colombia by march 31	3	$5.2K	5,595	0	+5,595	No	+$405	03-24 21:37
will there be no us x venezuela military engagement by december 31	10	$5.2K	0	5,187	-5,187	Yes	-$19	01-01 06:55
nipah virus in us by march 31	16	$4.9K	5,168	0	+5,168	No	+$223	03-24 21:28
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	45	$4.7K	4,186	4,186	+0	Yes	-$2,920	02-10 08:59
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	43	$4.3K	2,189	2,189	+0	No	+$62	01-30 10:01
another us strike on venezuela on january 11	3	$4.2K	4,361	0	+4,361	No	+$137	01-09 10:41
another us strike on venezuela on january 10	4	$4.0K	4,182	0	+4,182	No	+$139	01-06 11:56
will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$4.0K	4,065	0	+4,065	No	+$56	02-20 08:54
was ilhan omar sprayed with urine 496	7	$4.0K	2,290	2,290	+0	No	+$525	02-17 00:20
will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$3.8K	3,882	0	+3,882	No	+$95	02-15 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 09:19:37	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	374	80¢	$299	0x106b4c…
08-14 05:04:36	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x1f5585…
08-13 16:02:00	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x4cc208…
08-11 23:10:21	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,892	9¢	$260	0xa20183…
07-26 04:19:22	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x4e89c5…
07-25 12:12:49	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4,204	17¢	$713	0x0ffdd9…
07-15 21:00:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	13¢	$30	0xbb25cd…
07-15 20:44:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xed8adf…
07-15 10:37:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xc5fa6c…
07-15 10:23:07	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xfb0e93…
07-15 00:06:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb1b791…
07-14 22:28:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x1ce82e…
07-14 20:44:35	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x35da2c…
07-14 20:44:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7fbef3…
07-14 20:41:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x05a3b3…
07-14 20:41:49	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x8979a2…
07-14 20:40:55	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb594df…
07-14 20:37:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x45285e…
07-14 18:09:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xb2aa0f…
07-14 18:07:53	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	13¢	$33	0x1f6bba…
07-14 18:04:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe3aa60…
07-14 17:46:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x806c94…
07-14 17:46:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x4bdb06…
07-14 17:46:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x669798…
07-14 17:40:23	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	916	13¢	$119	0x68e8f2…
07-14 17:39:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,413	22¢	$742	0xec8bd1…
04-02 01:30:37	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xceb7f3…
03-24 21:52:35	us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	No	BUY	405	98¢	$397	0xf7f0fa…
03-24 21:37:09	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	BUY	384	99¢	$381	0x99beeb…
03-24 21:35:21	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,588	99¢	$1,573	0x775386…
03-24 21:33:01	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1,610	100¢	$1,604	0x4adbdf…
03-24 21:32:25	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	928	100¢	$923	0xc6db00…
03-24 21:28:53	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x328de2…
03-24 21:28:25	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0xf5c786…
03-24 21:28:11	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	516	99¢	$513	0x331869…
03-12 07:24:43	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,778	5¢	$89	0x907c2a…
03-12 05:54:31	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	445	8¢	$36	0xb06061…
03-12 02:08:59	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x9e0fa1…
03-12 00:58:03	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0xf95595…
03-12 00:57:27	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	139	8¢	$11	0xdfab3a…
03-12 00:57:01	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	125	17¢	$21	0xf59dc4…
03-12 00:55:53	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x44834a…
03-12 00:54:31	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xeff009…
03-12 00:54:09	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	822	98¢	$808	0x785809…
03-12 00:53:43	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5,038	98¢	$4,932	0x2b8c88…
02-24 17:01:10	will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	334	4¢	$14	0x83aa92…
02-23 21:20:14	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	404	96¢	$387	0x32f91e…
02-23 21:19:54	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x57ccc5…
02-23 21:18:50	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xaa3319…
02-23 21:17:50	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfd935c…
02-23 21:02:24	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd0198b…
02-23 13:30:48	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0xfc5845…
02-23 00:42:54	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x51be92…
02-22 19:12:16	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	404	96¢	$390	0xbf7b8c…
02-22 08:29:32	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0x7bc74d…
02-22 08:23:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	4,130	0¢	$17	0xe915f3…
02-20 09:07:18	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	BUY	772	97¢	$749	0xea50f5…
02-20 09:00:12	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	769	97¢	$749	0x56ef33…
02-20 08:54:54	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3,930	99¢	$3,878	0x9a16cd…
02-19 19:51:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	16,781	1¢	$134	0x7bb3d0…
02-19 07:25:30	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	97¢	$388	0x3e6c4e…
02-19 06:42:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	229	1¢	$2	0xc4e863…
02-19 06:42:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	1,593	1¢	$13	0xdc909a…
02-18 15:22:10	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9ba1a8…
02-18 15:20:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x89a73e…
02-18 15:13:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	306	1¢	$2	0xaf1dd0…
02-18 14:56:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x2c5c0c…
02-18 01:07:39	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x557284…
02-17 00:20:13	was ilhan omar sprayed with urine 496	No	SELL	2,061	99¢	$2,038	0xb042ce…
02-17 00:20:03	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x3d74a9…
02-16 20:25:27	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xeec15d…
02-16 19:37:23	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x51652f…
02-16 17:16:49	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0xad7a36…
02-16 16:16:57	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	369	99¢	$365	0xb3a6b5…
02-16 14:47:59	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	474	99¢	$469	0x11ca03…
02-16 14:27:57	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	153	97¢	$149	0xec41f8…
02-16 14:27:49	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,286	0x87a365…
02-15 21:12:01	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xa68f1a…
02-15 13:36:39	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x00eb67…
02-15 03:14:03	will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0x090768…
02-15 01:35:25	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b3598…
02-14 22:43:59	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3c753…
02-13 00:37:17	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xe348a2…
02-12 06:01:13	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	179	98¢	$175	0xaa0546…
02-12 05:16:15	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4b43d9…
02-12 05:16:15	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1a4c6e…
02-12 04:28:25	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb9c539…
02-12 02:41:33	will trump talk to pope leo xiv in february	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf98f04…
02-12 01:24:41	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	692	98¢	$677	0xd676cc…
02-11 15:26:51	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xa9c863…
02-11 08:19:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	4,617	98¢	$4,525	0x029694…
02-10 20:51:05	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x7f22d8…
02-10 18:51:57	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x398de7…
02-10 15:48:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0x4c65b8…
02-10 08:59:31	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x5c1330…
02-10 08:49:13	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbb001a…
02-10 08:49:07	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x1b473c…
02-10 07:51:09	nipah virus in us by march 31	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x9480d5…
02-10 05:50:25	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	246	19¢	$46	0xfd30b3…
02-10 05:50:25	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	93	19¢	$18	0xda6ae9…