Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

112

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 08-10 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

64% 26% -$144

Other

19% 37% -$21

Crypto

17% 56% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+33	$5	12¢	$4	-$1	07-14 08:53
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	+18	$5	16¢	$3	-$2	07-29 12:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	+18	$4	12¢	$2	-$2	07-14 09:24
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+8	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	07-26 17:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	4	$89	1,075	75	+1,000	Yes	+$60	07-15 12:01
iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	1	$40	58	0	+58	No	-$40	07-16 06:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$36	233	233	+0	open	—	08-10 12:08
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	5	$33	66	66	+0	No	+$3	07-28 20:23
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	5	$31	93	50	+43	No	-$10	07-27 20:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	2	$29	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	07-19 13:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$24	59	59	+0	open	—	08-04 06:15
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$21	19	19	+0	No	+$1	07-20 11:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$21	113	113	+0	open	—	08-10 12:09
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	2	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$11	07-28 07:21
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	2	$20	30	0	+30	No	-$20	07-14 12:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$19	52	52	+0	open	—	08-10 12:08
will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	6	$15	173	4	+170	No	-$10	08-04 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:25 UTC	1	$15	31	0	+31	Up	-$15	07-15 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 10:30 UTC	1	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$8	07-15 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:10 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	07-15 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	07-16 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:35 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	07-16 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:40 UTC	3	$14	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	07-14 09:43
iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	07-26 09:00
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	3	$13	32	11	+21	No	-$7	07-29 12:53
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	2	$12	31	31	+0	No	-$8	07-27 08:27
will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	2	$12	37	0	+37	No	-$12	08-04 06:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	08-10 12:09
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	4	$11	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	07-27 20:25
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	2	$10	38	0	+38	No	-$10	08-05 18:35
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	2	$10	168	0	+168	No	-$10	07-25 21:55
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	07-15 12:23
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$10	22	0	+22	Argentina	+$12	07-15 10:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	07-14 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:10:04	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x11ef4e…
08-10 12:09:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x7f0821…
08-10 12:09:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0xdb648d…
08-10 12:08:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	233	6¢	$14	0xdbbbd0…
08-10 12:08:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	18¢	$9	0x5100eb…
08-05 18:35:27	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xcc079b…
08-05 18:35:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xeea1b2…
08-04 09:15:59	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7f6e4b…
08-04 09:15:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x1de546…
08-04 06:16:00	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0xa671dd…
08-04 06:15:39	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb3cff2…
08-04 06:15:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0x524032…
08-04 05:32:50	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1c4cb0…
08-03 15:00:44	will iran target a arab country on august 3 2026 20260801004719120	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x51b9b7…
08-03 15:00:24	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x080c22…
08-03 07:46:47	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x90173d…
08-03 07:46:14	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xad3325…
08-02 05:38:57	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb77f78…
08-02 05:38:03	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x41f1e4…
08-01 16:44:36	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd37973…
08-01 16:43:48	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xe2097f…
08-01 11:20:27	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x58efb3…
08-01 11:18:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x14ac2a…
08-01 11:16:39	will iran target a arab country on august 23 2026 20260801004719140	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4cd5c0…
08-01 11:16:24	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1f0851…
08-01 11:16:06	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0df27b…
08-01 11:15:53	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf9b8ff…
08-01 11:15:21	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x952952…
08-01 11:13:36	will iran target a arab country on august 27 2026 20260801004719144	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1bd6a2…
08-01 11:13:24	will iran target a arab country on august 11 2026 20260801004719128	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6c0176…
08-01 11:13:18	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x072112…
08-01 11:12:29	will iran target a arab country on august 16 2026 20260801004719133	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x106af3…
08-01 11:11:57	will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0c765b…
08-01 11:09:18	will iran target a arab country on august 14 2026 20260801004719131	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1053f7…
08-01 11:09:05	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x91f0d2…
08-01 11:08:59	will iran target a arab country on august 21 2026 20260801004719138	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1c2663…
08-01 11:08:48	will iran target a arab country on august 22 2026 20260801004719139	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x027b12…
08-01 11:08:38	will iran target a arab country on august 26 2026 20260801004719143	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x754bad…
08-01 11:08:27	will iran target a arab country on august 8 2026 20260801004719125	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x28ebd6…
08-01 11:08:09	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xeaf12e…
08-01 11:07:57	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x50a682…
08-01 11:04:38	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x0a0691…
08-01 11:03:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0e24ef…
08-01 11:03:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x33f523…
08-01 11:01:53	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf68bc1…
07-29 13:02:26	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x872e0f…
07-29 13:01:41	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1e44ea…
07-29 12:58:18	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x469dcd…
07-29 12:57:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc4b33d…
07-29 12:57:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x85955d…
07-29 12:53:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd8f705…
07-28 20:25:46	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9f5205…
07-28 20:23:19	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xb4b0bf…
07-28 13:19:55	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	49	33¢	$16	0xcbcdb6…
07-28 07:31:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x27325b…
07-28 07:22:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x51e1c3…
07-28 07:21:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x8c9f46…
07-27 20:35:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x72b6d4…
07-27 20:33:43	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2ba3d9…
07-27 20:33:19	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6e5ce6…
07-27 20:31:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc8dd64…
07-27 20:25:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xebbe31…
07-27 20:25:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6602bc…
07-27 10:51:13	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x6c1cfa…
07-27 08:29:06	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x735d80…
07-27 08:27:37	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x233543…
07-26 17:26:15	will trump say stupid question this week 20260724154805094	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd68b89…
07-26 17:23:16	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4d92cf…
07-26 17:22:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf79372…
07-26 09:10:39	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 30 2026 20260722225036954	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x254e25…
07-26 09:00:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xe48d04…
07-26 08:38:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb916df…
07-26 08:38:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x624205…
07-26 08:36:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd58d06…
07-26 08:36:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xce149e…
07-26 08:35:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x7e63ef…
07-25 21:55:40	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa39f24…
07-25 21:55:04	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x77ec50…
07-25 21:45:16	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7f7a33…
07-25 15:12:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x24851b…
07-25 15:11:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfd3e48…
07-25 15:10:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3cf5cc…
07-25 15:10:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7e1b5c…
07-25 15:10:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8ea0cb…
07-25 11:14:33	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x143dce…
07-25 11:13:06	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xb0c01d…
07-23 11:44:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9a3e98…
07-23 11:44:04	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x528ef2…
07-23 09:23:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3fe073…
07-23 06:44:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc0c0a7…
07-23 06:30:28	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbccc87…
07-23 06:30:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0732a1…
07-22 16:00:18	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf8ca7c…
07-22 15:42:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd38ffe…
07-22 15:26:01	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xff96cf…
07-20 14:10:28	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbac48c…
07-20 14:10:06	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x209f2a…
07-20 14:08:58	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdf39b2…
07-20 14:03:16	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 24 20260720003505491	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0xc4a211…
07-20 11:40:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x1c1af7…