Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$89,271

Trades

8,428

Unique wallets

1,534

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-15

First seen

2026-07-15

last 07-15 10:36

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +5,254 Webbed-Peacock +4,011 Rash-Alternative +1,620 Visible-Calico-Week +1,567 Unusual-Dancer +1,500 (anon) +1,437 (anon) +1,410 Popular-Insurrection +1,263

NO holders

Quarterly-Lag +5,341 Caring-Kingfish +4,000 Rash-Alternative +1,620 Lonely-Dresser +1,584 (anon) +1,481 (anon) +1,411 (anon) +1,368 Unlawful-Shear +1,204

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -7.9¢ (top1%: 39% YES on $46.0K vs crowd: 47% YES on $82.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	180	$22.3K	$28.9K	$6.6K
🐬 Dolphin	430	$11.2K	$9.8K	+$1.4K
🐟 Fish	575	$3.9K	$4.2K	$255
🦐 Shrimp	349	$1.2K	$1.4K	$118

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	216	$17.8K	$28.2K	$10.4K
🏆 Top 5%	232	$2.7K	$4.3K	$1.6K
✅ Top 10%	89	$695	$619	+$77
Median	83	$311	$195	+$116
Below median	356	$2.0K	$1.6K	+$418
⚠️ Bottom 10%	251	$1.6K	$980	+$621
🔻 Bottom 5%	212	$3.2K	$3.6K	$401
💀 Bottom 1%	95	$10.3K	$4.8K	+$5.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d	Down	+5,341	$5,258	$5,258	4	07-15 10:36
(anonymous) 0xebec…f03a	Up	+5,254	$3,000	$3,000	3	07-15 10:29
Webbed-Peacock 0x0681…f713	Up	+4,011	$1,840	$1,840	53	07-15 10:30
Caring-Kingfish 0x6fc4…c89d	Down	+4,000	$3,960	$3,960	34	07-15 10:35
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+1,620	$853	$853	9	07-15 10:33
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+1,620	$710	$710	9	07-15 10:34
Lonely-Dresser 0x3b84…f487	Down	+1,584	$1,309	$1,309	61	07-15 10:35
Visible-Calico-Week 0x173f…ff4c	Up	+1,567	$191	$191	2	07-15 10:35
Unusual-Dancer 0xcfbb…4197	Up	+1,500	$96	$96	51	07-15 10:35
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Down	+1,481	$592	$592	78	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Up	+1,437	$798	$798	56	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+1,411	$523	$523	64	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+1,410	$908	$908	51	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+1,368	$573	$573	40	07-15 10:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,263	$698	$698	60	07-15 10:34
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+1,216	$619	$619	109	07-15 10:33
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+1,204	$552	$552	104	07-15 10:34
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+1,200	$754	$754	15	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x1c41…2bd3	Up	+1,200	$66	$66	20	07-15 10:35
(anonymous) 0xab33…b423	Up	+1,200	$624	$624	64	07-15 10:30
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+1,189	$376	$376	40	07-15 10:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+1,167	$496	$496	46	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+1,157	$710	$710	32	07-15 10:34
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Down	+1,100	$437	$437	13	07-15 10:34
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Up	+1,050	$546	$546	13	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Down	+1,031	$481	$481	66	07-15 10:31
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	Down	+964	$406	$406	12	07-15 10:30
(anonymous) 0x55fd…b51a	Down	+939	$500	$500	1	07-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+920	$215	$215	8	07-15 10:34
Uncomfortable-Rat 0xd425…c0e4	Down	+918	$361	$361	67	07-15 10:34
Spotted-Representation 0x69c7…b03c	Up	+910	$21	$21	7	07-15 10:35
(anonymous) 0xbbc8…4f5b	Up	+889	$656	$656	16	07-15 10:34
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Up	+887	$523	$523	20	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0xa4fe…8809	Down	+850	$365	$365	6	07-15 10:29
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+840	$512	$512	47	07-15 10:34
False-Birch 0x9796…d713	Up	+831	$300	$300	42	07-15 10:33
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+827	$373	$373	45	07-15 10:32
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+800	$378	$378	10	07-15 10:34
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+790	$409	$409	30	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x1160…7d8a	Down	+788	$359	$359	23	07-15 10:34
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+782	$347	$347	60	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+782	$495	$495	85	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x1160…7d8a	Up	+772	$403	$403	22	07-15 10:34
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Down	+756	$213	$213	36	07-15 10:34
Extra-Large-Carving 0xb4ac…d058	Up	+729	$451	$451	35	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+718	$458	$458	89	07-15 10:34
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	Down	+679	$216	$216	12	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+665	$408	$408	72	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+660	$275	$275	90	07-15 10:34
Bite-Sized-Molding 0xf418…95a3	Down	+660	$249	$249	11	07-15 10:34
Extra-Large-Carving 0xb4ac…d058	Down	+652	$289	$289	35	07-15 10:34
False-Birch 0x9796…d713	Down	+637	$276	$276	9	07-15 10:34
Bite-Sized-Molding 0xf418…95a3	Up	+630	$355	$355	11	07-15 10:34
(anonymous) 0x30b5…be72	Down	+627	$247	$247	35	07-15 10:30
Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e	Up	+625	$332	$332	70	07-15 10:34
Uncomfortable-Rat 0xd425…c0e4	Up	+618	$348	$348	29	07-15 10:34
Yearly-Pub 0x1e96…e72a	Down	+613	$565	$565	16	07-15 10:35
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Up	+600	$381	$381	15	07-15 10:34
Studious-Hunger 0x16bc…d23a	Up	+596	$325	$325	32	07-15 10:32
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+560	$234	$234	47	07-15 10:34