Lonely-Dresser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

14,314

Trades

184,458

lifetime

Volume

$3.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$82

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-31 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 257 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$109,323

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2326 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	—	+82	$50	98¢	$81	+$31	10-31 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	—	+39	$13	2¢	$1	-$12	10-31 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:40 UTC	34	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$4,610	04-04 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	88	$4.1K	4,720	0	+4,720	Down	+$624	03-27 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:35 UTC	53	$4.0K	5,783	0	+5,783	Down	+$1,738	03-26 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC	32	$3.9K	5,243	0	+5,243	Up	-$3,893	04-04 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:35 UTC	73	$3.8K	2,865	2,684	+181	Down	+$1,216	08-10 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:10 UTC	29	$3.6K	3,839	0	+3,839	Up	+$250	04-05 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:35 UTC	123	$3.4K	3,928	0	+3,928	Down	+$575	04-03 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:35 UTC	193	$3.3K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	-$3,284	07-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	109	$3.3K	3,870	0	+3,870	Down	-$3,277	07-11 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:55 UTC	96	$3.3K	4,585	0	+4,585	Up	+$1,325	04-04 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:20 UTC	73	$3.2K	3,501	0	+3,501	Down	+$288	03-23 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	240	$3.2K	4,377	1,763	+2,613	Up	+$317	05-30 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC	68	$3.1K	4,993	0	+4,993	Up	-$1,864	04-17 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:45 UTC	89	$3.0K	5,053	0	+5,053	Down	+$2,010	03-27 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	293	$3.0K	7,853	0	+7,853	Up	-$2,299	05-30 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 07:25 UTC	56	$3.0K	3,685	0	+3,685	Down	+$669	04-04 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:30 UTC	20	$3.0K	3,452	0	+3,452	Up	+$471	03-24 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	168	$3.0K	3,917	695	+3,221	Down	-$2,509	06-04 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:25 UTC	103	$2.9K	4,253	0	+4,253	Up	-$2,538	06-28 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:40 UTC	58	$2.9K	3,312	0	+3,312	Down	+$382	04-04 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:40 UTC	149	$2.9K	3,374	0	+3,374	Up	+$483	07-22 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 21:05 UTC	142	$2.8K	4,443	0	+4,443	Up	-$2,206	03-21 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 11:40 UTC	62	$2.8K	3,107	0	+3,107	Down	+$274	06-28 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:55 UTC	86	$2.8K	4,530	0	+4,530	Up	+$1,700	08-09 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 07:25 UTC	106	$2.8K	4,400	0	+4,400	Up	+$990	07-18 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:45 UTC	61	$2.8K	4,894	0	+4,894	Up	+$2,121	04-04 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:35 UTC	37	$2.8K	3,421	0	+3,421	Up	+$664	04-03 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:05 UTC	214	$2.8K	4,330	0	+4,330	Down	-$2,115	06-12 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:40 UTC	139	$2.7K	3,310	0	+3,310	Up	-$82	06-13 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:05 UTC	123	$2.7K	3,482	0	+3,482	Down	+$769	08-11 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd9fd8d…
10-31 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x94cd33…
10-31 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x82655f…
10-31 20:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x608fbc…
10-31 19:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x0f5528…
10-31 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xbb3228…
10-31 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xebd900…
10-31 19:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x76701d…
10-31 19:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x33843b…
10-31 19:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x2c3a24…
10-31 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0dda14…
10-31 19:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0xabdd6d…
10-31 19:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x828414…
10-31 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x6942cf…
10-31 19:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x8b5c6b…
10-31 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xd82630…
10-31 19:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x8f5a30…
10-31 19:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xdeaec1…
10-31 19:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x87046d…
10-31 19:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x87e9af…
10-31 19:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0xbf88d7…
10-31 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x5ea003…
10-31 19:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x024f63…
10-31 19:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xc59ad3…
10-31 19:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x6244b8…
10-31 19:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x30430f…
10-31 19:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb063f9…
10-31 19:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x0c816c…
10-31 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xcf17a3…
10-31 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xbb7a42…
10-31 18:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0xeeff36…
10-31 18:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x71005d…
10-31 18:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x46600b…
10-31 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x575778…
10-31 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x3f708d…
10-31 18:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x87c76c…
10-31 18:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xf62061…
10-31 18:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xb8a083…
10-31 18:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc23a13…
10-31 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x13c57b…
10-31 18:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x6d40dd…
10-31 18:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x54f3ab…
10-31 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xf13372…
10-31 18:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0x0ee5a2…
10-31 18:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	36¢	$12	0xfd1bee…
10-31 18:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x690989…
10-31 18:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x90a0ee…
10-31 18:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x589d47…
10-31 18:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x4000ff…
10-31 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x444bd9…
10-31 18:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x458ab8…
10-31 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xddb94f…
10-31 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x845452…
10-31 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x431821…
10-31 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0xf434ac…
10-31 18:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x03fb7c…
10-31 18:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xc5b4ab…
10-31 18:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x1cfa6c…
10-31 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x449ffd…
10-31 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x46c89d…
10-31 18:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd04efb…
10-31 18:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xaa9033…
10-31 18:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcf8e8a…
10-31 18:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x36c79e…
10-31 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xe845f1…
10-31 18:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xe5a23c…
10-31 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x64e80d…
10-31 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xf49a09…
10-31 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xd897d6…
10-31 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x2dda37…
10-31 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x41fa9d…
10-31 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x4e0eb2…
10-31 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x97924f…
10-31 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xed1ffa…
10-31 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0x9ca63b…
10-31 18:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x79d06d…
10-31 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x0b479c…
10-31 18:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x2addf5…
10-31 18:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x76e8ee…
10-31 18:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xf0bb40…
10-31 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x32b938…
10-31 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	32¢	$13	0x2e2e93…
10-31 18:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x08db11…
10-31 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xf44585…
10-31 18:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x220e0c…
10-31 17:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x45a226…
10-31 17:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x06686a…
10-31 17:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xa8b469…
10-31 17:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x06b2b5…
10-31 17:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6feb6f…
10-31 17:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x691f5e…
10-31 17:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc69b54…
10-31 17:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x95bafa…
10-31 17:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x202552…
10-31 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$6	0x8b72da…
10-31 17:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xe11b07…
10-31 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x94cb06…
10-31 17:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf0774…
10-31 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x478f38…
10-31 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x07cea6…