Lonely-Dresser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

14,890

Trades

186,513

lifetime

Volume

$3.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-03 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$110,467

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2326 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:40 UTC	34	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$4,610	04-04 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	88	$4.1K	4,720	0	+4,720	Down	+$624	03-27 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:35 UTC	53	$4.0K	5,783	0	+5,783	Down	+$1,738	03-26 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC	32	$3.9K	5,243	0	+5,243	Up	-$3,893	04-04 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:35 UTC	73	$3.8K	2,865	2,684	+181	Down	+$1,216	08-10 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:10 UTC	29	$3.6K	3,839	0	+3,839	Up	+$250	04-05 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:35 UTC	123	$3.4K	3,928	0	+3,928	Down	+$575	04-03 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:35 UTC	193	$3.3K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	-$3,284	07-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	109	$3.3K	3,870	0	+3,870	Down	-$3,277	07-11 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:55 UTC	96	$3.3K	4,585	0	+4,585	Up	+$1,325	04-04 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:20 UTC	73	$3.2K	3,501	0	+3,501	Down	+$288	03-23 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	240	$3.2K	4,377	1,763	+2,613	Up	+$317	05-30 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC	68	$3.1K	4,993	0	+4,993	Up	-$1,864	04-17 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 03:45 UTC	89	$3.0K	5,053	0	+5,053	Down	+$2,010	03-27 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	293	$3.0K	7,853	0	+7,853	Up	-$2,299	05-30 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 07:25 UTC	56	$3.0K	3,685	0	+3,685	Down	+$669	04-04 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:30 UTC	20	$3.0K	3,452	0	+3,452	Up	+$471	03-24 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	168	$3.0K	3,917	695	+3,221	Down	-$2,509	06-04 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:25 UTC	103	$2.9K	4,253	0	+4,253	Up	-$2,538	06-28 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:40 UTC	58	$2.9K	3,312	0	+3,312	Down	+$382	04-04 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:40 UTC	149	$2.9K	3,374	0	+3,374	Up	+$483	07-22 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 21:05 UTC	142	$2.8K	4,443	0	+4,443	Up	-$2,206	03-21 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 11:40 UTC	62	$2.8K	3,107	0	+3,107	Down	+$274	06-28 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:55 UTC	86	$2.8K	4,530	0	+4,530	Up	+$1,700	08-09 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 07:25 UTC	106	$2.8K	4,400	0	+4,400	Up	+$990	07-18 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:45 UTC	61	$2.8K	4,894	0	+4,894	Up	+$2,121	04-04 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:35 UTC	37	$2.8K	3,421	0	+3,421	Up	+$664	04-03 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:05 UTC	214	$2.8K	4,330	0	+4,330	Down	-$2,115	06-12 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:40 UTC	139	$2.7K	3,310	0	+3,310	Up	-$82	06-13 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:05 UTC	123	$2.7K	3,482	0	+3,482	Down	+$769	08-11 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x2680a0…
11-03 07:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x228a57…
11-03 07:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x25d92b…
11-03 07:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0339dc…
11-03 07:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x270d43…
11-03 07:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x164c1c…
11-03 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xf831b4…
11-03 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xb5a3a1…
11-03 06:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x3d5a1c…
11-03 06:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x5ce666…
11-03 06:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x526a07…
11-03 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x2d4f49…
11-03 06:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x598067…
11-03 06:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xbcf704…
11-03 06:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$10	0x1f8a6f…
11-03 06:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x8f7f28…
11-03 06:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb179e2…
11-03 06:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x2f435e…
11-03 06:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xf35edc…
11-03 06:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x0fdca3…
11-03 06:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x6de67e…
11-03 06:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$19	0x2aaf89…
11-03 06:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5e275e…
11-03 06:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x936dd3…
11-03 06:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x0a00bf…
11-03 06:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xb43414…
11-03 06:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe96475…
11-03 06:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5e52ba…
11-03 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x15249c…
11-03 06:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6a4497…
11-03 06:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x19a9f6…
11-03 06:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb9beb8…
11-03 06:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x2700b7…
11-03 06:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x4c2d8b…
11-03 06:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf27ff7…
11-03 06:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0a205e…
11-03 06:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6462ca…
11-03 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x287376…
11-03 06:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x59fbc9…
11-03 06:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xa7fe9e…
11-03 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x40b76f…
11-03 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x96b71a…
11-03 05:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xdbfbc3…
11-03 05:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x7fcc0a…
11-03 05:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x15e7a4…
11-03 05:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x7840bf…
11-03 05:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6d5d1a…
11-03 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xcd16d6…
11-03 05:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb6d6ad…
11-03 05:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd670aa…
11-03 05:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x82228d…
11-03 05:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x731f50…
11-03 05:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2a6633…
11-03 05:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x9fe183…
11-03 05:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x73808c…
11-03 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4a087f…
11-03 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5de2c6…
11-03 05:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x23a1e3…
11-03 05:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xbbab5f…
11-03 05:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x2cda76…
11-03 05:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x571af5…
11-03 05:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0xf63dd3…
11-03 05:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x73abe4…
11-03 05:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xf4d5a2…
11-03 05:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x15cc23…
11-03 05:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x724b2d…
11-03 05:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xdf11f1…
11-03 05:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xd1b7f2…
11-03 05:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x95cf65…
11-03 05:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x406255…
11-03 05:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x472258…
11-03 05:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9c379…
11-03 05:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3982eb…
11-03 05:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x1633b2…
11-03 05:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6c1cd9…
11-03 05:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc1e4e7…
11-03 05:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xfe8991…
11-03 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xa7ba2b…
11-03 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x8dbc6f…
11-03 05:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x595f52…
11-03 05:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb5ef07…
11-03 05:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	38¢	$18	0xd6815d…
11-03 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x9496d2…
11-03 05:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x8ae9af…
11-03 05:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xcc72c2…
11-03 05:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8df15f…
11-03 05:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc744e7…
11-03 05:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xc21e76…
11-03 05:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x14ad67…
11-03 05:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7f1ae2…
11-03 05:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	77¢	$17	0x37224e…
11-03 05:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x3986ee…
11-03 04:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0x529542…
11-03 04:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xc67847…
11-03 04:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x3df1a7…
11-03 04:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xc01a75…
11-03 04:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0x0dc339…
11-03 04:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xe94cb1…
11-03 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x5b5b2e…
11-03 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0xe31079…