Flaky-Wreck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$269.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

35,687

Trades

689,124

lifetime

Volume

$14.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 09-22 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% +$269,345

Other

0% 100% +$229

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 7300 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 19:50 UTC	73	$3.1K	6,300	0	+6,300	Up	+$52	07-08 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:40 UTC	72	$3.0K	6,050	0	+6,050	Up	+$35	07-09 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 19:55 UTC	69	$2.9K	5,800	0	+5,800	Down	+$1	07-09 19:59
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	4	$2.9K	1,490	1,490	+0	No	+$91	09-15 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:50 UTC	68	$2.8K	5,700	0	+5,700	Down	+$42	08-06 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 19:30 UTC	65	$2.8K	5,700	0	+5,700	Up	+$49	07-08 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	66	$2.8K	5,600	0	+5,600	Up	+$33	07-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:20 UTC	69	$2.7K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	+$61	07-07 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:20 UTC	66	$2.7K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	+$74	07-09 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 19:35 UTC	60	$2.7K	5,400	0	+5,400	Up	+$37	07-08 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	68	$2.6K	5,400	0	+5,400	Down	+$56	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:05 UTC	65	$2.6K	5,300	0	+5,300	Down	+$23	07-08 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:00 UTC	68	$2.6K	5,250	0	+5,250	Up	+$14	07-08 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:25 UTC	66	$2.6K	5,200	0	+5,200	Down	+$15	08-06 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	60	$2.6K	5,250	0	+5,250	Up	+$24	07-27 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	64	$2.6K	5,100	0	+5,100	Down	-$9	07-29 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 19:40 UTC	56	$2.6K	5,200	0	+5,200	Up	+$45	07-08 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:40 UTC	68	$2.5K	5,150	0	+5,150	Down	+$62	07-22 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:35 UTC	60	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$26	07-10 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	64	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	-$19	07-08 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	60	$2.5K	4,900	0	+4,900	Down	-$50	08-11 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:10 UTC	61	$2.5K	4,950	0	+4,950	Down	+$1	07-07 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:50 UTC	57	$2.5K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$54	07-22 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:30 UTC	64	$2.5K	4,950	0	+4,950	Down	-$44	07-07 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:35 UTC	60	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$9	07-28 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:40 UTC	54	$2.5K	4,950	0	+4,950	Down	+$14	08-06 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 19:55 UTC	57	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$32	07-08 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:30 UTC	62	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$47	07-17 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:30 UTC	60	$2.4K	4,900	0	+4,900	Up	+$3	07-08 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:35 UTC	71	$2.4K	4,900	0	+4,900	Down	+$4	07-20 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 15:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7622ed…
09-22 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xec5b75…
09-22 15:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7d760c…
09-22 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x52796a…
09-22 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7804b0…
09-22 15:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9ab18b…
09-22 15:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x66df12…
09-22 15:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x97ad6e…
09-22 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb16c3f…
09-22 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe42760…
09-22 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1ac2c4…
09-22 15:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf10ae0…
09-22 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e48a8…
09-22 15:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d6ebf…
09-22 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0a67f2…
09-22 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x19433c…
09-22 15:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf56872…
09-22 15:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9e8b57…
09-22 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc60214…
09-22 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3ccbe5…
09-15 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe05d63…
09-15 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5666b2…
09-15 18:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x94d448…
09-15 18:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x165693…
09-15 18:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf32ec1…
09-15 18:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x23410d…
09-15 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf06611…
09-15 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbfbde7…
09-15 18:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6e7900…
09-15 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ce44b…
09-15 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xda8d37…
09-15 18:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x908629…
09-15 18:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcab597…
09-15 18:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfd1d88…
09-15 18:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe7cdf1…
09-15 18:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x35a8b2…
09-15 18:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x18511e…
09-15 18:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfac4ae…
09-15 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b85be…
09-15 18:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x973999…
09-15 18:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb2e031…
09-15 18:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1e9b9c…
09-15 18:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x94f4ae…
09-15 18:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x804a67…
09-15 18:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc380f5…
09-15 18:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeaa230…
09-15 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x808897…
09-15 18:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x663eb6…
09-15 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf61438…
09-15 18:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x651c94…
09-15 18:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x261418…
09-15 18:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x071c55…
09-15 18:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x742754…
09-15 18:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xae7d60…
09-15 18:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xacba53…
09-15 18:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5aeb2c…
09-15 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x78a47f…
09-15 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x72753a…
09-15 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4f5425…
09-15 18:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd22779…
09-15 18:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaeaac8…
09-15 18:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfaeeea…
09-15 18:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2460b6…
09-15 18:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xead01d…
09-15 18:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x67832f…
09-15 18:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6d9eea…
09-15 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfd18c3…
09-15 18:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2dfac1…
09-15 18:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1d9008…
09-15 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb8d449…
09-15 18:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1845be…
09-15 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x32981c…
09-15 18:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf7ad2e…
09-15 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x2b3014…
09-15 18:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xac77fe…
09-15 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf2ed12…
09-15 18:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9f5254…
09-15 18:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x52d5d1…
09-15 18:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf87b93…
09-15 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf06316…
09-15 18:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1f097b…
09-15 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xad53cc…
09-15 18:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9e3d8b…
09-15 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xce04fc…
09-15 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xff51bb…
09-15 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xdeb18f…
09-15 18:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x75cffc…
09-15 18:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b5fdd…
09-15 18:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5f2dcf…
09-15 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x04ac2f…
09-15 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x595164…
09-15 18:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x274714…
09-15 18:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x53f3d5…
09-15 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x156cdd…
09-15 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x82d306…
09-15 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe20c3a…
09-15 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xee66e4…
09-15 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcedaed…
09-15 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd22e87…
09-15 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8bd6a4…