Nice-Trapdoor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

48,238

Trades

1,958,881

lifetime

Volume

$13.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-29 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$83,643

Other

0% 43% -$7

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 27578 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:15 UTC	608	$4.5K	8,768	+8,768	Up	+$92	07-22 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	490	$4.2K	7,983	+7,983	Down	-$81	09-29 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:25 UTC	523	$3.7K	7,201	+7,201	Down	-$562	07-27 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	338	$3.7K	7,163	+7,163	Up	-$108	08-24 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:25 UTC	398	$3.5K	6,838	+6,838	Up	+$115	07-11 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	391	$3.4K	6,875	+6,875	Up	+$50	08-09 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:15 UTC	489	$3.4K	6,638	+6,638	Up	+$180	07-27 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	406	$3.4K	6,602	+6,602	Up	+$79	07-28 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 11:45 UTC	486	$3.4K	7,339	+7,339	Down	+$223	08-09 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:00 UTC	464	$3.3K	6,996	+6,996	Down	+$458	07-23 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:25 UTC	447	$3.3K	6,844	+6,844	Up	+$32	07-30 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	358	$3.2K	5,884	+5,884	Down	-$211	07-21 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:35 UTC	424	$3.1K	6,231	+6,231	Down	+$481	07-25 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	379	$3.1K	5,807	+5,807	Down	+$192	08-13 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:10 UTC	362	$3.0K	5,945	+5,945	Down	+$48	07-22 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:55 UTC	507	$3.0K	5,789	+5,789	Down	+$152	07-25 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:10 UTC	431	$3.0K	6,143	+6,143	Up	+$321	07-30 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	367	$3.0K	5,956	+5,956	Up	-$389	08-01 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	416	$3.0K	6,069	+6,069	Down	-$69	09-29 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:25 UTC	252	$2.9K	5,281	+5,281	Up	-$8	08-09 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 01:40 UTC	368	$2.9K	5,768	+5,768	Down	+$9	07-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	331	$2.9K	5,377	+5,377	Up	-$163	10-09 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:15 UTC	318	$2.9K	5,526	+5,526	Down	-$29	07-22 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:40 UTC	437	$2.9K	5,705	+5,705	Down	-$191	08-01 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	311	$2.9K	5,934	+5,934	Up	+$252	07-21 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	393	$2.9K	5,385	+5,385	Up	-$286	08-25 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:50 UTC	414	$2.9K	5,477	+5,477	Up	-$21	09-28 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:45 UTC	388	$2.8K	5,748	+5,748	Up	+$113	07-12 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	329	$2.8K	5,668	+5,668	Down	+$283	08-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:35 UTC	369	$2.8K	5,489	+5,489	Down	-$77	09-29 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa799a0…
10-29 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaa9798…
10-29 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x082787…
10-29 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x9ae397…
10-29 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x409f96…
10-29 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x362abf…
10-29 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8b3b64…
10-29 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x255fc9…
10-29 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x149f5c…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x421f56…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x418867…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x367fb2…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x2cfdb8…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x15af06…
10-29 19:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x969487…
10-29 19:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x072e44…
10-29 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5ee48b…
10-29 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0xcdbf19…
10-29 19:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xc22aa5…
10-29 19:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcaf890…
10-29 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xbb4137…
10-29 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7f52cc…
10-29 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x257e60…
10-29 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x191b56…
10-29 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xaa586f…
10-29 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x01c356…
10-29 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xc8034a…
10-29 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa29a25…
10-29 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4e8fa1…
10-29 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x1af839…
10-29 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x556df9…
10-29 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x40c695…
10-29 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x010d04…
10-29 19:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x503e04…
10-29 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa410d0…
10-29 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8bf90a…
10-29 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd883cc…
10-29 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xb32f06…
10-29 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x97f659…
10-29 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5b44e9…
10-29 19:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x4fe322…
10-29 19:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5dd2fb…
10-29 19:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xeabced…
10-29 19:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x74ad55…
10-29 19:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x04928e…
10-29 19:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc8de3a…
10-29 19:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1a3421…
10-29 19:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x29cb05…
10-29 19:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfb22e2…
10-29 19:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0696de…
10-29 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xef7e7d…
10-29 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa1727c…
10-29 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9e3d6f…
10-29 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x042201…
10-29 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd5e33d…
10-29 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc2ad20…
10-29 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x56aabe…
10-29 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x3212a5…
10-29 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xfdf3eb…
10-29 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x42c04b…
10-29 19:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xf40890…
10-29 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x8e4150…
10-29 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd1fa49…
10-29 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x73d7bb…
10-29 19:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x80207f…
10-29 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc4159f…
10-29 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4d2227…
10-29 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x36fe75…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcce8f9…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8559be…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7d2b12…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7bdf73…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x715c4c…
10-29 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x258544…
10-29 19:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x3b6ada…
10-29 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x32b7f3…
10-29 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x109476…
10-29 19:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0747fd…
10-29 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x900e3e…
10-29 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x817824…
10-29 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x450e80…
10-29 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x110f84…
10-29 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x837e82…
10-29 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x44df28…
10-29 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x96cfb2…
10-29 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xda4b2a…
10-29 19:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xd70126…
10-29 19:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7e47ad…
10-29 19:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9ffcec…
10-29 19:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x2ca923…
10-29 19:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x3cdf9c…
10-29 19:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x4455a8…
10-29 19:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x9d8231…
10-29 19:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x59fd94…
10-29 19:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x3c59fa…
10-29 19:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x19216d…
10-29 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd03d6b…
10-29 19:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x2dafca…
10-29 19:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x3e8a80…
10-29 19:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2029c2…