Nice-Trapdoor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

48,142

Trades

1,957,871

lifetime

Volume

$13.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-29 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$83,443

Other

0% 43% -$7

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 27578 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	—	+113	$91	99¢	$112	+$20	10-29 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:15 UTC	608	$4.5K	8,768	+8,768	Up	+$92	07-22 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	490	$4.2K	7,983	+7,983	Down	-$81	09-29 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:25 UTC	523	$3.7K	7,201	+7,201	Down	-$562	07-27 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	338	$3.7K	7,163	+7,163	Up	-$108	08-24 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:25 UTC	398	$3.5K	6,838	+6,838	Up	+$115	07-11 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	391	$3.4K	6,875	+6,875	Up	+$50	08-09 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:15 UTC	489	$3.4K	6,638	+6,638	Up	+$180	07-27 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	406	$3.4K	6,602	+6,602	Up	+$79	07-28 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 11:45 UTC	486	$3.4K	7,339	+7,339	Down	+$223	08-09 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:00 UTC	464	$3.3K	6,996	+6,996	Down	+$458	07-23 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:25 UTC	447	$3.3K	6,844	+6,844	Up	+$32	07-30 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	358	$3.2K	5,884	+5,884	Down	-$211	07-21 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:35 UTC	424	$3.1K	6,231	+6,231	Down	+$481	07-25 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	379	$3.1K	5,807	+5,807	Down	+$192	08-13 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:10 UTC	362	$3.0K	5,945	+5,945	Down	+$48	07-22 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:55 UTC	507	$3.0K	5,789	+5,789	Down	+$152	07-25 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:10 UTC	431	$3.0K	6,143	+6,143	Up	+$321	07-30 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	367	$3.0K	5,956	+5,956	Up	-$389	08-01 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	416	$3.0K	6,069	+6,069	Down	-$69	09-29 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:25 UTC	252	$2.9K	5,281	+5,281	Up	-$8	08-09 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 01:40 UTC	368	$2.9K	5,768	+5,768	Down	+$9	07-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	331	$2.9K	5,377	+5,377	Up	-$163	10-09 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:15 UTC	318	$2.9K	5,526	+5,526	Down	-$29	07-22 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:40 UTC	437	$2.9K	5,705	+5,705	Down	-$191	08-01 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	311	$2.9K	5,934	+5,934	Up	+$252	07-21 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	393	$2.9K	5,385	+5,385	Up	-$286	08-25 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:50 UTC	414	$2.9K	5,477	+5,477	Up	-$21	09-28 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:45 UTC	388	$2.8K	5,748	+5,748	Up	+$113	07-12 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	329	$2.8K	5,668	+5,668	Down	+$283	08-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:35 UTC	369	$2.8K	5,489	+5,489	Down	-$77	09-29 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe05e1b…
10-29 10:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xa2b153…
10-29 10:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xead2a6…
10-29 10:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x529617…
10-29 10:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xfd8eea…
10-29 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x28746d…
10-29 10:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0xd4965f…
10-29 10:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x04b400…
10-29 10:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa8be42…
10-29 10:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0xf33303…
10-29 10:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x645f5b…
10-29 10:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3f4718…
10-29 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x8c63bf…
10-29 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x756db6…
10-29 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xab0ef6…
10-29 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8536a8…
10-29 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x82291f…
10-29 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x699fe7…
10-29 10:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf329fa…
10-29 10:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x0b8cd7…
10-29 10:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x8eccc7…
10-29 10:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x52c1e5…
10-29 10:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x339b41…
10-29 10:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x428bb7…
10-29 10:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xead4a7…
10-29 10:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe5662d…
10-29 10:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x6a6969…
10-29 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6b29a6…
10-29 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x99b0b4…
10-29 10:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xe30a01…
10-29 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x3c30e5…
10-29 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x092118…
10-29 09:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xaf8891…
10-29 09:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xdd1477…
10-29 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe9cdd5…
10-29 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x294fd2…
10-29 09:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0xe951d6…
10-29 09:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x6bdf45…
10-29 09:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x079d28…
10-29 09:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xe0358e…
10-29 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xab19b3…
10-29 09:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9077b7…
10-29 09:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x588296…
10-29 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x5b53c7…
10-29 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1d09d9…
10-29 09:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xba5340…
10-29 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc8e2cd…
10-29 09:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x429ead…
10-29 09:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7adc64…
10-29 09:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfa6acf…
10-29 09:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x397b7f…
10-29 09:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x24e81b…
10-29 09:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x57bfc5…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xffb585…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeade14…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xe38cf6…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xe19b59…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xca4254…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xb21566…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa799b7…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x92e2a6…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x8cc037…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x742d03…
10-29 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x3d46aa…
10-29 09:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe8eb39…
10-29 09:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa0a94a…
10-29 09:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5cb14d…
10-29 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x56eead…
10-29 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa754fd…
10-29 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x5b88ef…
10-29 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x30eb65…
10-29 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x17f52c…
10-29 09:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x989b88…
10-29 09:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x866d46…
10-29 09:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb54b5a…
10-29 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf8654e…
10-29 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x8ffb35…
10-29 09:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0xba67cf…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3ae88…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xc5247b…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xba92ed…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x7d4fc9…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ae3c8…
10-29 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x10e0eb…
10-29 09:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x6d90e5…
10-29 09:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xacdc97…
10-29 09:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9fa767…
10-29 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x08cb8e…
10-29 09:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x578bd3…
10-29 09:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x96eacc…
10-29 09:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5fd624…
10-29 09:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x06a707…
10-29 09:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3d9c0d…
10-29 09:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1068ba…
10-29 09:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xf5435c…
10-29 09:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xb49590…
10-29 09:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x37e43a…
10-29 09:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xff7b0d…
10-29 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfea17a…
10-29 09:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x32c703…