Wan-Fusarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

167

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$1.25K

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-28 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

59% 70% +$341

Other

35% 72% +$877

Sports

3% 67% -$199

Crypto

2% 54% -$21

Tech

1% 67% +$54

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+870	$121	50¢	$439	+$318	10-28 21:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+806	$566	40¢	$325	-$241	09-27 19:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+200	$106	82¢	$165	+$59	09-07 06:49
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+142	$81	100¢	$142	+$61	07-07 23:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+400	$318	12¢	$46	-$272	06-12 10:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+300	$63	14¢	$40	-$22	09-14 09:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$42	16¢	$31	-$11	10-22 06:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	Yes	+100	$43	28¢	$28	-$15	09-27 19:34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+154	-$62	18¢	$27	+$88	09-19 23:53
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$6	4¢	$4	-$2	10-20 11:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$11	2¢	$2	-$9	07-04 22:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	2	$1.6K	833	833	+0	No	+$29	07-26 00:27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.6K	915	915	+0	Yes	+$12	06-08 22:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	12	$1.2K	630	630	+0	No	+$8	05-15 08:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.1K	591	591	+0	No	+$78	06-29 04:26
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$992	503	503	+0	No	+$10	05-31 14:55
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$936	825	825	+0	open	—	10-28 12:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$853	571	571	+0	Yes	+$156	06-14 21:23
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$807	606	606	+0	open	—	10-28 17:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$733	1,524	654	+870	open	—	10-28 21:12
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	4	$701	682	682	+0	open	—	08-13 01:41
Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	2	$685	729	0	+729	open	—	10-28 19:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	3	$679	395	395	+0	No	+$63	05-24 02:45
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	8	$672	446	446	+0	No	+$8	05-04 23:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$615	325	325	+0	No	+$28	05-08 10:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$607	371	371	+0	No	+$21	05-31 09:34
Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?	7	$596	540	540	+0	Yes	+$474	10-01 12:42
israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	6	$588	598	598	+0	No	-$309	10-01 20:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	3	$566	806	0	+806	open	—	09-27 19:34
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	10	$514	642	642	+0	No	-$33	06-07 22:08
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	6	$510	302	301	+0	No	+$50	05-21 05:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$503	326	326	+0	open	—	10-28 20:46
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	11	$436	255	242	+12	open	—	10-28 00:23
israel military action against syria by august 31 2026 21	2	$414	286	286	+0	No	+$14	08-27 20:58
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?	1	$400	451	0	+451	open	—	10-27 23:14
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	3	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$4	06-20 22:18
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	9	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$7	05-22 10:19
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$377	769	769	+0	No	-$23	06-30 09:17
will trump speak to kim jong un in june	7	$373	195	195	+0	No	+$10	06-24 20:12
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	5	$371	252	200	+52	Up	+$77	06-12 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$368	415	315	+100	No	-$60	06-15 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:12:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x08c26f…
10-28 20:46:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x7b2e72…
10-28 20:41:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xf2b741…
10-28 19:57:53	Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	529	94¢	$500	0x512d06…
10-28 17:29:22	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x9d4c7c…
10-28 17:02:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x56d957…
10-28 14:55:04	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4,740	0¢	$13	0x1108cf…
10-28 14:21:32	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x71c8c0…
10-28 12:59:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,182	2¢	$70	0xf2ddec…
10-28 12:57:40	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x2bedc0…
10-28 12:57:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	625	96¢	$603	0x5bca7c…
10-28 12:47:01	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	573	35¢	$200	0xa207c0…
10-28 12:45:01	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	380	98¢	$372	0xf8b449…
10-28 07:14:35	Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x22375d…
10-28 01:33:44	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc356ca…
10-28 00:24:06	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	160	85¢	$136	0xfc582b…
10-28 00:23:33	Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	160	93¢	$149	0xc39023…
10-27 23:16:41	Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0xf49e68…
10-27 23:14:30	Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	451	89¢	$400	0xddf7b8…
10-27 23:05:50	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x181023…
10-27 21:44:57	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x63495e…
10-27 21:44:51	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x302a06…
10-27 21:38:59	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe7751a…
10-27 21:38:59	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0cf5bb…
10-27 21:38:56	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1d9c8c…
10-27 21:38:35	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x331376…
10-27 19:59:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xf70259…
10-27 19:59:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	158	37¢	$58	0x598cdc…
10-27 19:59:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0x3166dc…
10-27 19:38:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8c306e…
10-27 19:35:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x44ce0e…
10-27 19:33:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x8ae761…
10-27 19:33:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x3a4ea3…
10-27 19:33:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x07f189…
10-27 19:13:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xa33b20…
10-27 18:24:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x08ba64…
10-27 16:52:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,558	6¢	$100	0x07f860…
10-27 16:52:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x2b73a3…
10-27 16:50:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	870	23¢	$200	0x6067f4…
10-27 15:05:41	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$4	0x833dc0…
10-27 14:38:54	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x96cf81…
10-27 14:38:54	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x888b12…
10-27 14:38:54	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x835f01…
10-27 14:38:54	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4ac556…
10-27 14:38:54	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x21677f…
10-27 14:36:14	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x8bad64…
10-27 14:36:12	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x0078fd…
10-27 14:31:00	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc8ab33…
10-27 14:31:00	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x964473…
10-27 14:21:20	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x53cd44…
10-27 13:54:29	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x9231e2…
10-27 13:53:15	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	124	11¢	$14	0x39386f…
10-27 01:34:18	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	75	79¢	$60	0xf0f0c6…
10-26 18:26:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x90ce93…
10-26 18:22:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xfe7cd5…
10-26 16:01:29	Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb8c925…
10-26 16:01:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x85f3af…
10-26 15:35:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x1006f1…
10-26 15:35:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0xef5f34…
10-26 15:35:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x437901…
10-26 15:35:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x06ac95…
10-26 15:35:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd33099…
10-26 15:35:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x97fe3f…
10-26 15:35:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4985f1…
10-26 15:35:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0x377adc…
10-25 23:31:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xe694f4…
10-25 22:48:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x165155…
10-25 21:18:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x2d2bcd…
10-22 23:11:24	Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x6a520f…
10-22 06:11:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xf5910c…
10-21 18:13:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0xb2bb60…
10-21 15:25:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1d8dc9…
10-21 15:13:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x260c30…
10-20 20:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xce8729…
10-20 20:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x001d8c…
10-20 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe3b9cb…
10-20 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x76f0be…
10-20 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x870997…
10-20 13:16:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5ad2f6…
10-20 11:52:02	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xac7242…
10-19 17:23:35	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xe2e6d7…
10-19 12:58:56	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xd54595…
10-18 16:02:08	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x4897a1…
10-18 14:47:12	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x53817a…
10-18 14:47:02	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc47ef8…
10-18 14:47:02	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0x17ccf8…
10-18 14:46:14	Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?	No	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0x0b1342…
10-18 14:45:53	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x35e136…
10-18 14:45:45	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x6e1b6b…
10-18 14:45:45	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x366658…
10-18 13:46:27	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4a6cc3…
10-18 13:41:36	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x17ca5b…
10-15 16:45:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x496bc9…
10-15 09:53:47	Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9da97e…
10-14 06:20:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x5e6d31…
10-14 04:26:07	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$20	0xdb4bf8…
10-13 21:32:52	Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xe639de…
10-11 13:03:57	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x672fd3…
10-11 13:01:43	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x7275e4…
10-10 09:41:19	Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc54ae1…