Realized P&L
-$733
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
51.1%
Resolved
334
Trades
614
lifetime
Volume
$4.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$111
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 09-03 09:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
52% 31% -$316
Politics
25% 32% -$188
Sports
15% 38% -$184
Crypto
5% 42% -$47
Tech
1% 67% +$10
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +26 $15 91¢ $24 +$9 06-04 21:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $5 88¢ $16 +$11 06-19 13:10
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +20 $10 71¢ $14 +$4 05-24 22:53
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +16 $5 77¢ $12 +$7 06-11 12:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $10 35¢ $7 -$3 09-03 09:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +83 $15 9¢ $7 -$8 06-04 21:10
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +10 $5 68¢ $7 +$2 06-22 13:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +100 $15 7¢ $7 -$8 06-03 08:43
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -72 -$5 8¢ $-5 $0 07-20 15:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 07-09 11:44
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-08 08:48
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +48 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 07-23 13:52
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +28 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 08-01 15:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-10 06:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +22 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 04-29 09:07