Realized P&L
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
25.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
328
lifetime
Volume
$2.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$40
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-30 22:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
44% 50% $-20
Politics
31% 50% $-11
Sports
13%
Crypto
10% 50% $-17
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +13 $10 100¢ $13 +$3 06-14 14:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $11 64¢ $12 +$1 06-08 07:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $5 21¢ $4 $-1 06-19 13:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,702 $11 $3 $-8 06-25 09:55
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-08 08:48
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +361 $20 $2 $-18 06-04 13:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 06-11 12:34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-19 13:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +127 $16 $1 $-15 06-14 19:52
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 09:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +110 $7 $0 $-7 06-19 13:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $3 $0 $-3 06-08 06:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +115 $3 $0 $-3 06-10 06:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 17:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +31 $19 $0 $-19 06-08 07:24
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? Yes +20 $2 $0 $-2 06-04 16:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +22 $10 $0 $-10 06-14 21:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +18 $8 $0 $-8 06-20 20:37