Realized P&L
+$15.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$168
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
19,076
Trades
90,249
lifetime
Volume
$1.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-05 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% +$11,331
Crypto
34% 48% +$2,246
Sports
6% 47% +$960
Politics
0% 47% +$417
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 6059 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +622 $465 88¢ $545 +$79 07-31 22:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +277 $254 94¢ $260 +$6 08-01 01:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +147 $112 92¢ $136 +$23 08-07 19:37
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +69 $58 94¢ $65 +$7 08-14 01:08
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +68 $16 94¢ $64 +$48 08-05 00:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +62 $58 94¢ $59 +$1 08-07 18:47
No one announced as next James Bond? No +56 $41 82¢ $46 +$5 08-20 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +271 $153 11¢ $29 -$124 08-07 18:12
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$2 08-17 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25 $20 91¢ $23 +$2 08-15 23:15
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +20 $10 92¢ $19 +$9 08-03 13:50
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +280 $89 6¢ $18 -$71 08-02 03:24
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +16 $8 90¢ $14 +$6 08-05 19:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +30 $16 36¢ $11 -$5 08-01 02:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 08-23 06:27
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +49 $12 18¢ $9 -$3 08-22 06:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +9 $7 88¢ $8 +$1 08-02 02:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 08-18 05:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +189 $47 4¢ $7 -$40 08-10 13:54
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +13 $10 49¢ $7 -$3 08-10 04:48
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +17 $8 36¢ $6 -$2 08-08 04:43
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 Yes +38 $13 16¢ $6 -$7 08-02 07:54
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +75 $12 8¢ $6 -$6 08-22 08:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +140 $2 4¢ $5 +$3 08-08 02:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +264 $21 2¢ $5 -$17 08-16 15:55
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +72 $56 6¢ $4 -$52 08-04 17:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +53 $15 7¢ $4 -$11 08-04 12:30
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +29 $7 11¢ $3 -$4 08-08 04:00
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +48 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 08-22 22:12
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +34 $17 8¢ $3 -$14 08-13 03:31