Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$377

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$266

7 positions

First seen

2026-08-06

last 10-01 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

53% 14% -$808

Other

18% 25% -$306

Crypto

16% 0% -$976

Tech

11% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3,226	$100	3¢	$98	-$2	08-07 09:59
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,250	$50	4¢	$51	+$1	08-20 19:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+2,015	$200	2¢	$45	-$155	08-06 12:57
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+20,000	$60	0¢	$30	-$30	08-20 19:05
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	+250	$82	7¢	$18	-$65	08-06 12:10
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+328	$50	4¢	$13	-$37	08-20 19:09
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	+237	$100	4¢	$10	-$90	08-06 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	3	$643	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	08-20 18:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$583	569	569	+0	open	—	10-01 19:05
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$516	2,253	2,253	+0	open	—	08-20 19:04
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	1	$500	715	0	+715	Yes	-$500	08-20 18:17
will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	4	$494	1,066	688	+379	No	-$6	08-06 17:23
government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	2	$420	259	259	+0	No	+$20	08-20 18:15
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?	1	$250	7,273	0	+7,273	No	-$250	08-06 12:04
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$250	16,603	0	+16,603	No	-$250	08-06 12:03
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?	1	$250	833	0	+833	No	-$250	10-01 19:06
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	2	$248	150	150	+0	No	+$48	09-28 22:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$204	158	158	+0	open	—	09-28 22:52
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	1	$200	11,733	0	+11,733	Yes	-$200	08-12 18:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	1	$200	2,015	0	+2,015	open	—	08-06 12:57
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	1	$150	364	0	+364	Yes	-$150	08-20 18:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 5?	1	$100	3,030	0	+3,030	No	-$100	09-28 22:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 4?	1	$100	4,762	0	+4,762	No	-$100	09-28 22:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$100	3,226	0	+3,226	open	—	08-07 09:59
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$100	1,738	0	+1,738	No	-$100	08-12 08:59
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	1	$100	237	0	+237	open	—	08-06 12:55
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	1	$82	250	0	+250	open	—	08-06 12:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$66	100	0	+100	No	-$66	08-06 11:59
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$60	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	08-20 19:05
will bitcoin dip to 70k september 28 october 4 2026	1	$50	5,666	0	+5,666	No	-$50	09-28 22:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	1	$50	328	0	+328	open	—	08-20 19:09
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$50	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	08-20 19:06
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	1	$50	162	0	+162	No	-$50	08-20 18:17
new pandemic before 2028	1	$50	277	0	+277	open	—	08-20 19:14
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$50	1,811	0	+1,811	No	-$50	08-12 09:00
will bitcoin dip to 78k september 28 october 4 2026	1	$26	215	0	+215	No	-$26	09-28 22:59
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	-$10	08-20 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 19:06:24	Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	833	30¢	$250	0x1f3755…
10-01 19:05:54	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	569	50¢	$283	0x4595fb…
09-28 22:59:33	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	215	12¢	$26	0x588ef2…
09-28 22:59:02	will bitcoin dip to 70k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5,666	1¢	$50	0xe439a9…
09-28 22:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	4,762	2¢	$100	0xc56171…
09-28 22:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0x2985e1…
09-28 22:52:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	66¢	$104	0xa98c0a…
09-28 22:51:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x2371c2…
08-20 19:14:09	new pandemic before 2028	Yes	BUY	277	18¢	$50	0x24293d…
08-20 19:10:19	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcd2eae…
08-20 19:09:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	328	15¢	$50	0xe952cb…
08-20 19:06:21	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x22cd09…
08-20 19:05:46	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x53c75a…
08-20 19:04:45	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,253	12¢	$266	0x4568be…
08-20 18:18:42	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x9717e8…
08-20 18:18:13	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	569	53¢	$300	0xdceb01…
08-20 18:17:43	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0xe4020e…
08-20 18:17:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	715	70¢	$500	0x03658b…
08-20 18:16:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	364	41¢	$150	0x037fb9…
08-20 18:15:09	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	No	SELL	259	85¢	$220	0xb8924a…
08-20 18:14:22	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,206	45¢	$541	0x42ded2…
08-12 18:14:39	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	11,733	2¢	$200	0x6068a8…
08-12 09:00:25	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,811	3¢	$50	0x22cc60…
08-12 08:59:54	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,738	6¢	$100	0x1bf621…
08-07 09:59:43	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0x5ce50d…
08-06 17:23:15	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	139	43¢	$60	0xecd010…
08-06 12:57:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	2,015	10¢	$200	0xa1bb3f…
08-06 12:55:54	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x189fb7…
08-06 12:43:38	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,186	8¢	$100	0xc8818d…
08-06 12:42:05	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe70012…
08-06 12:10:12	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	250	33¢	$82	0x15aaec…
08-06 12:04:24	Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	7,273	3¢	$250	0x019325…
08-06 12:03:33	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	16,603	2¢	$250	0x4d1bac…
08-06 12:02:30	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x16c063…
08-06 12:02:17	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x1d95a5…
08-06 12:00:24	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	No	BUY	259	77¢	$200	0x11df5f…
08-06 11:59:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xe6647d…
08-06 11:50:09	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	1,066	23¢	$250	0x0f6d39…
08-06 11:41:45	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,253	11¢	$250	0xb111d8…