Decimal-Trooper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,730

lifetime

Volume

$1.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

62% 20% $-7,554

Other

28% — —

Crypto

5% 50% $-47

Sports

5% 100% +$30

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	819	$237.3K	227,715	211,343	+16,372	open	—	03-30 12:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	318	$75.4K	49,826	52,791	-2,965	open	—	04-18 11:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$56.1K	28,078	28,078	-0	open	—	03-04 18:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$54.5K	30,000	30,000	+0	Yes	+$1,350	05-07 10:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	42	$43.0K	40,282	5,000	+35,282	open	—	04-22 01:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	16	$39.2K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	04-01 20:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	33	$30.6K	16,779	16,779	+0	open	—	04-30 21:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	62	$27.4K	19,900	11,120	+8,780	open	—	04-07 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	158	$27.0K	39,880	43,216	-3,336	Yes	$-1,758	05-08 06:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$26.7K	27,442	0	+27,442	open	—	04-22 03:24
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$20.1K	10,176	10,176	+0	open	—	04-15 07:10
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$19.9K	20,302	0	+20,302	open	—	03-11 22:23
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	20	$18.5K	10,000	9,665	+335	open	—	02-16 22:06
mwoh fin ita 2026 02 14	4	$17.7K	18,499	0	+18,499	open	—	02-14 01:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	84	$16.1K	18,000	16,588	+1,412	open	—	01-21 17:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$14.5K	16,368	6,508	+9,860	open	—	06-02 21:50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	33	$13.7K	12,028	6,000	+6,028	open	—	05-13 13:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	26	$13.2K	10,967	2,500	+8,467	open	—	03-23 16:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	68	$13.2K	11,555	5,444	+6,111	open	—	08-12 02:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	7	$13.1K	13,381	0	+13,381	open	—	01-22 02:08
Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	10	$12.6K	8,000	5,000	+3,000	open	—	02-24 18:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	122	$11.8K	43,064	43,087	-22	open	—	01-29 23:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	44	$11.7K	16,039	8,944	+7,095	open	—	08-12 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	36	$11.1K	10,583	10,583	+0	open	—	05-18 22:10
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$11.0K	5,738	5,738	+0	open	—	05-10 20:22
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	29	$10.5K	9,093	1,666	+7,427	open	—	04-29 14:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	87	$9.0K	9,289	9,041	+248	open	—	04-27 22:06
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	16	$7.6K	7,616	0	+7,616	open	—	01-21 21:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$7.2K	7,263	0	+7,263	open	—	01-28 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$7.1K	7,655	0	+7,655	Yes	$-7,135	05-04 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:43:52	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5ea365…
08-12 13:30:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5add1c…
08-12 13:10:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	53¢	$116	0xcd94d0…
08-12 13:09:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0x38a9e7…
08-12 13:07:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xfa3de3…
08-12 13:06:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x4bf015…
08-12 13:06:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xc04869…
08-12 12:33:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd26022…
08-12 12:30:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	54¢	$189	0x7f127a…
08-12 12:29:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2,405	53¢	$1,275	0xe642cd…
08-12 02:13:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,179	82¢	$967	0x7c61fd…
08-12 02:01:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x1decda…
08-12 01:56:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xcbf8a2…
08-12 01:41:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x54bb51…
08-12 01:18:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xa7e838…
08-12 01:18:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xcebad6…
08-12 01:06:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x31ee26…
08-12 01:06:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x227666…
08-12 00:53:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x1fa66e…
08-12 00:48:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x617f4d…
08-12 00:39:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x9c2354…
08-12 00:39:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xd94b9d…
08-12 00:39:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	115	82¢	$94	0x08f78a…
08-12 00:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	635	82¢	$521	0x489f17…
08-11 23:41:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc5d31e…
08-11 22:12:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	500	51¢	$255	0x8b4655…
08-11 18:00:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xe057e4…
08-11 15:48:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x9f823e…
08-11 15:47:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	736	51¢	$375	0xd4192e…
08-11 15:44:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xae4119…
08-11 15:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	172	50¢	$86	0x6d97db…
08-11 15:35:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0xc54bad…
08-11 15:12:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xba21a9…
08-11 15:02:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	61	50¢	$30	0xcbe4d5…
08-11 14:58:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0xcb397b…
08-11 14:58:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	160	50¢	$80	0x25d902…
08-11 14:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x41c809…
08-11 14:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	183	49¢	$90	0x23d3c5…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	716	76¢	$544	0x286474…
08-10 21:07:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	59¢	$132	0x1ecc5e…
08-10 07:39:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	998	46¢	$459	0x9a4828…
08-10 02:39:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	153	91¢	$139	0x91718e…
08-10 02:38:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x4b4fde…
08-10 02:37:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf1cfbb…
08-10 02:37:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x879a31…
08-10 02:24:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xedd30a…
08-09 21:16:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x8e21fa…
08-09 21:15:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	278	87¢	$242	0xf09a94…
08-09 21:14:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x236535…
08-09 21:12:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xde9f08…
08-09 10:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,580	83¢	$1,312	0x2f16e9…
08-09 10:57:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf174b8…
08-09 10:51:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xeabf74…
08-09 10:46:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xc245d6…
08-09 10:08:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x83bb71…
08-09 10:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5b8c55…
08-09 09:59:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xa47402…
08-09 09:18:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x37075e…
08-09 08:44:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x72ac2b…
08-09 08:44:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfd656d…
08-09 08:43:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x0e4251…
08-09 08:41:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	252	83¢	$209	0xe67dc5…
08-09 08:39:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdf38b7…
08-09 08:12:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd528ae…
08-09 07:56:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xadf723…
08-09 07:55:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7519cb…
08-09 07:40:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x0bbf6a…
08-09 07:27:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x2ced4f…
08-09 07:20:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x256fde…
08-09 07:03:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x383f57…
08-08 15:02:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0x5c9b6e…
08-08 12:37:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0x6a2a68…
08-08 12:33:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xf0c46c…
08-07 20:18:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0x24703b…
08-07 20:10:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	343	84¢	$288	0x22b9a7…
08-07 20:09:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	257	84¢	$216	0xfe459e…
08-06 19:54:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	982	73¢	$717	0xfe0c60…
08-06 19:54:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x6d588f…
08-06 19:54:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	395	73¢	$288	0x0ae51a…
08-06 18:41:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	224	79¢	$177	0x931bb9…
08-06 18:41:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x232a51…
08-06 18:37:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x267d8a…
08-06 18:37:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x3ecab8…
08-06 18:35:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x9132cb…
08-06 18:35:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe2e384…
08-06 18:33:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	154	79¢	$122	0x8dbbb8…
08-06 16:25:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,400	75¢	$1,050	0x23145c…
08-06 16:22:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	263	79¢	$207	0xe67f1a…
08-06 16:22:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	137	79¢	$109	0xd609b8…
08-05 02:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0xa3d8bc…
08-04 18:46:50	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x32ea2c…
08-04 11:59:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	600	33¢	$198	0x27a389…
08-04 01:35:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0x137bc4…
08-04 01:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,500	43¢	$645	0x3e3126…
08-02 22:46:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xa5e040…
08-02 22:46:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x23e5cc…
08-01 19:59:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	285	32¢	$91	0x0790f5…
08-01 19:56:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	250	32¢	$80	0xf73eed…
08-01 19:12:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xd6020c…
08-01 18:21:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,439	53¢	$763	0x209c6d…