Realized P&L
+$27.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.76K
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
272
Trades
7,268
lifetime
Volume
$1.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$221
Open exposure
$43.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Politics
58% 66% +$11,745
Other
26% 63% +$2,731
Sports
13% 52% +$8,088
Crypto
4% 61% +$4,329
Tech
0% 100% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -9,000 -$8,250 98¢ $-8824 -$574 08-29 12:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,000 $5,480 92¢ $6.4K +$925 10-10 23:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,000 $4,400 94¢ $4.7K +$275 09-04 19:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -4,080 -$3,889 98¢ $-3997 -$108 06-23 09:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +3,000 $2,564 86¢ $2.6K +$31 10-22 17:44
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,790 $2,053 74¢ $2.1K +$25 10-27 16:42
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $2,094 80¢ $2.0K -$106 10-19 21:56
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,400 $2,016 80¢ $1.9K -$108 10-19 19:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,080 51¢ $1.5K -$550 10-20 12:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $1,036 79¢ $1.1K +$70 10-07 17:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $800 34¢ $838 +$38 10-26 21:00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +800 $774 99¢ $788 +$15 07-31 04:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2,000 -$1,080 34¢ $-670 +$410 08-10 20:55
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +983 $616 60¢ $585 -$31 09-23 00:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +600 $321 96¢ $576 +$255 10-16 03:45
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +552 $473 96¢ $530 +$56 08-25 12:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $592 62¢ $500 -$92 10-06 04:12
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $370 94¢ $472 +$102 10-19 01:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +500 $299 88¢ $440 +$141 10-19 01:58
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $445 86¢ $430 -$15 10-02 22:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$412 18¢ $-366 +$46 06-21 16:38
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +443 $352 80¢ $354 +$2 10-04 13:24
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +558 $254 52¢ $287 +$34 09-07 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 -$1,616 88¢ $265 +$1,881 10-11 16:18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +270 $246 92¢ $250 +$4 09-23 17:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +318 $204 70¢ $221 +$17 09-02 18:02
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +248 $200 85¢ $211 +$11 09-12 22:21
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $189 20¢ $200 +$11 10-20 15:15
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $215 20¢ $200 -$15 09-15 03:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +268 $185 72¢ $193 +$8 09-02 15:17