Realized P&L
-$7.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$243
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,631
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$291
Open exposure
$12.6K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
62% 20% $-7,554
Other
28%
Crypto
5% 50% $-47
Sports
5% 100% +$30
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +6,100 $5,937 99¢ $6.0K +$86 06-08 01:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 $-4,600 92¢ $-4575 +$25 06-07 01:21
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +551 $290 88¢ $485 +$194 06-10 06:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +455 $378 82¢ $375 $-2 06-06 07:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,500 $459 20¢ $308 $-152 06-06 01:16
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +306 $245 94¢ $286 +$41 05-30 02:26
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +226 $219 100¢ $226 +$7 05-29 20:19
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +92 $68 94¢ $86 +$18 05-31 01:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +600 $96 10¢ $57 $-39 06-04 16:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $110 11¢ $55 $-55 06-02 23:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $45 11¢ $53 +$8 06-04 11:50
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +15 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 06-08 01:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +399 $10 $10 $-0 06-04 16:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 22:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-110 68¢ $0 +$110 06-09 00:14