Impossible-Reject 0x420e8d…dee3c9
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
681
Trades
7,608
lifetime
Volume
$667.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$46.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Politics
71% 62% -$3,868
Other
25% 66% +$2,824
Crypto
2% 80% +$600
Tech
1% 50% -$188
Sports
1% 53% -$626
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$356
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -10,208 -$7,298 66¢ $-6686 +$611 10-22 06:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,636 $5,780 92¢ $6.1K +$292 08-23 06:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -7,457 -$3,878 66¢ $-4959 -$1,081 09-04 19:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,969 $3,493 92¢ $3.6K +$139 08-23 18:00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -3,049 -$1,587 97¢ $-2956 -$1,368 05-15 00:58
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,460 $3,598 38¢ $2.9K -$726 06-04 20:35
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -3,000 -$3,748 92¢ $-2745 +$1,003 09-14 20:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,710 -$4,443 54¢ $-2557 +$1,886 10-21 03:17
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3,152 $1,985 62¢ $1.9K -$47 10-19 18:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,478 $1,545 66¢ $1.6K +$104 10-25 07:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,280 66¢ $1.3K +$50 10-24 00:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,749 $1,245 72¢ $1.3K +$23 10-25 00:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,861 -$1,073 16¢ $-958 +$114 09-26 17:18
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,024 $901 92¢ $947 +$46 09-24 16:37
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +755 $605 94¢ $707 +$102 10-25 04:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +668 $503 84¢ $565 +$62 10-07 22:51
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes -895 -$525 62¢ $-559 -$34 10-17 03:47
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes -513 -$371 98¢ $-504 -$133 09-29 14:06
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -688 -$515 60¢ $-416 +$99 10-22 13:21
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No -451 -$384 90¢ $-406 -$22 09-11 17:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $344 94¢ $376 +$32 10-20 22:27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,000 $438 6¢ $375 -$63 10-02 20:26
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +785 $283 46¢ $361 +$78 10-22 00:37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +392 $295 84¢ $328 +$33 10-21 19:18
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No -327 -$209 87¢ $-285 -$76 09-29 18:10
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +405 $300 64¢ $261 -$39 10-08 16:58
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No -266 -$253 96¢ $-254 -$1 10-18 22:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,923 -$254 13¢ $-251 +$3 09-28 22:06
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +600 $233 36¢ $216 -$17 10-23 16:41
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +270 $200 76¢ $204 +$4 10-07 22:39