Impossible-Reject 0x420e8d…dee3c9 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$2.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved (7d)
61
Trades (7d)
63
7,682 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.9K
$686.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$20.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Politics
71% 62% -$7,952
Other
25% 67% +$4,259
Crypto
2% 82% +$678
Tech
1% 50% -$188
Sports
1% 53% -$626
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$356
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,710 -$4,443 99¢ $-4651 -$208 10-21 03:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -4,251 -$2,345 70¢ $-2955 -$610 10-27 22:42
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No -3,000 -$3,748 96¢ $-2880 +$868 09-14 20:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,092 -$843 99¢ $-1081 -$238 10-30 21:14
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,024 $901 96¢ $978 +$77 09-24 16:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,861 -$1,073 15¢ $-879 +$193 09-26 17:18
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +785 $283 100¢ $781 +$498 10-22 00:37
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +700 $215 92¢ $646 +$431 10-10 06:51
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +625 $375 100¢ $625 +$250 10-14 17:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +668 $503 86¢ $571 +$69 10-07 22:51
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes -513 -$371 100¢ $-512 -$141 09-29 14:06
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No -451 -$384 92¢ $-413 -$29 09-11 17:57
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +386 $154 99¢ $382 +$228 10-23 16:28
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +383 $129 99¢ $380 +$251 10-22 13:11
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No -327 -$209 90¢ $-293 -$84 09-29 18:10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,000 $438 5¢ $291 -$147 10-02 20:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +405 $300 66¢ $270 -$30 10-08 16:58
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No -266 -$253 95¢ $-253 -$1 10-18 22:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,923 -$254 12¢ $-239 +$14 09-28 22:06
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +195 $123 100¢ $194 +$71 10-30 02:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +191 $166 98¢ $187 +$21 09-29 20:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -150 -$117 98¢ $-146 -$29 05-06 09:30
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +154 $125 91¢ $140 +$15 09-15 14:23
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -150 -$136 88¢ $-132 +$4 10-09 23:26
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes -113 -$85 99¢ $-112 -$27 09-19 05:19
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,350 $87 2¢ $94 +$7 10-02 03:54
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +500 $65 15¢ $73 +$8 10-08 22:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +150 $58 42¢ $62 +$4 10-09 13:04
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +61 $50 92¢ $56 +$6 10-03 06:00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +200 $50 28¢ $55 +$5 10-09 06:58