Impossible-Reject 0x420e8d…dee3c9 Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved (30d)
105
Trades (30d)
282
7,692 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$61.1K
$686.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$13.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 07:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
71% 62% -$8,658
Other
25% 67% +$5,127
Crypto
2% 82% +$678
Tech
1% 50% -$188
Sports
1% 53% -$626
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$356
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -4,001 -$2,159 80¢ $-3219 -$1,059 11-05 19:51
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No -3,000 -$3,748 97¢ $-2913 +$835 09-14 20:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,024 $901 98¢ $999 +$98 09-24 16:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,861 -$1,073 15¢ $-859 +$214 09-26 17:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +668 $503 88¢ $592 +$89 10-07 22:51
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No -451 -$384 92¢ $-418 -$33 09-11 17:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +509 $359 81¢ $412 +$53 10-23 19:16
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No -327 -$209 92¢ $-300 -$90 09-29 18:10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,000 $438 5¢ $285 -$153 10-02 20:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +1,000 $361 28¢ $282 -$80 10-14 02:39
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +373 $200 72¢ $270 +$70 10-23 04:25
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No -266 -$253 96¢ $-256 -$3 10-18 22:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +405 $300 62¢ $253 -$47 10-08 16:58
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +392 $250 52¢ $204 -$46 10-23 04:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +191 $166 97¢ $186 +$20 09-29 20:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,923 -$254 9¢ $-180 +$74 09-28 22:06
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? No +229 $136 73¢ $167 +$32 10-08 10:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +160 $157 100¢ $160 +$2 11-10 12:59
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +154 $125 94¢ $146 +$21 09-15 14:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -150 -$117 95¢ $-143 -$26 05-06 09:30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -150 -$136 94¢ $-141 -$4 10-09 23:26
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,350 $87 3¢ $135 +$48 10-02 03:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -228 -$70 37¢ $-84 -$14 11-11 06:56
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +500 $65 16¢ $82 +$18 10-08 22:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +150 $58 55¢ $82 +$23 10-09 13:04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -1,467 -$191 5¢ $-79 +$112 11-05 19:50
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +200 $50 36¢ $73 +$23 10-09 06:58
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,377 -$69 1¢ $-59 +$10 11-09 08:33
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +61 $50 92¢ $56 +$6 10-03 06:00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -2,364 -$50 2¢ $-53 -$3 11-05 21:45