Realized P&L
+$249.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved
239,403
Trades
8,755,903
lifetime
Volume
$7.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$3.98K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-26 22:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 54% +$240,504
Other
4% 53% +$8,686
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 303289 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +2,000 $1,273 64¢ $1.3K +$1 10-23 08:35
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,000 $760 76¢ $765 +$5 10-24 11:49
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +2,000 $572 32¢ $647 +$75 10-23 08:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +6,252 $408 6¢ $375 -$33 10-26 22:09
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +1,236 $371 30¢ $371 +$0 10-24 11:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $216 22¢ $215 -$1 10-24 11:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +618 $154 24¢ $145 -$9 10-24 11:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,084 $104 6¢ $135 +$31 10-26 09:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10,419 $42 0¢ $36 -$5 10-26 22:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $6 1¢ $10 +$4 10-24 11:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $7 1¢ $7 $0 10-24 11:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $0 10-23 08:41