(anonymous) 0xd5f92d…05308f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$486
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
98
Trades
746
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$449
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-07 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
59% 75% +$267
Politics
28% 47% -$751
Sports
9% 42% +$21
Pop-Culture
2% 50% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% 50% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +241 $102 28¢ $66 -$36 10-31 01:10
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +99 $58 57¢ $57 -$1 10-24 21:05
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.12% in November? No +60 $53 92¢ $55 +$2 11-05 19:33
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.99% in November? No +60 $48 84¢ $50 +$2 11-06 07:37
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? No +52 $36 80¢ $41 +$5 11-04 02:32
Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? No +29 $22 86¢ $25 +$4 11-05 10:00
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +24 $22 96¢ $23 +$1 10-24 18:21
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% in November? No +24 $21 93¢ $22 +$2 11-06 00:38
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? No +100 $21 20¢ $20 -$2 11-07 18:43
Will Pierre Alain Schnegg win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? No +15 $12 78¢ $11 $0 11-07 09:36
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +537 -$19 2¢ $10 +$30 07-28 22:20
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14? Yes +11 $9 91¢ $10 +$1 11-07 03:46
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +10 $3 94¢ $10 +$6 10-28 13:16
Will Laos win Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +120 $7 6¢ $7 -$1 11-07 01:31
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +11 $2 60¢ $6 +$5 11-07 09:32
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +8 $8 77¢ $6 -$1 11-05 14:27
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? Yes +24 $3 26¢ $6 +$3 10-24 18:30
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +189 $6 3¢ $6 $0 10-24 22:19
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? Yes +6 $3 56¢ $3 +$1 11-02 16:41
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2,082 $9 0¢ $3 -$6 10-16 12:41
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-23 15:39
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 11-04 23:17
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? Yes +305 $64 1¢ $2 -$62 11-04 16:52
Will "The Day After Tomorrow" be the top US Netflix movie this week? No +30 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-06 01:41
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +1 $2 88¢ $1 -$1 10-31 00:51
Will "Don't Trust the Couple Upstairs" be the top US Netflix movie this week? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 11-05 22:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +2 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 11-04 15:59
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +0 -$13 96¢ $0 +$13 10-29 17:50
Will Brock Purdy finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns? Yes +0 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-29 02:07