Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

451

Trades

972

lifetime

Volume

$7.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$381

12 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 11-02 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

89% 39% -$167

Sports

5% 40% -$8

Politics

4% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+201	$186	98¢	$197	+$11	10-26 10:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+251	$108	36¢	$89	-$18	10-30 14:07
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+50	$41	86¢	$43	+$2	10-11 04:06
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	+51	$22	44¢	$22	+$0	11-02 07:25
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	+15	$10	84¢	$12	+$2	11-01 19:07
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	+42	$6	18¢	$7	+$1	10-19 15:17
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+51	$9	11¢	$5	-$3	10-19 16:16
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+55	$5	4¢	$2	-$3	10-01 10:52
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	+10	$2	15¢	$1	-$1	10-30 12:02
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	+51	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-17 20:27
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	+4	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	10-09 20:32
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-04 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	8	$428	222	222	+0	open	—	10-27 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	8	$342	181	181	+0	No	+$1	10-26 17:54
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$189	111	111	+0	open	—	10-30 10:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$186	201	0	+201	open	—	10-26 10:25
Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	6	$151	219	0	+219	open	—	11-01 12:09
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	4	$134	85	70	+15	open	—	11-01 19:07
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$120	222	0	+222	open	—	11-02 19:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$111	255	4	+251	open	—	10-30 14:07
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	1	$109	111	0	+111	open	—	10-18 11:50
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$106	89	39	+50	open	—	10-11 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	6	$99	95	95	+0	No	$0	10-11 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$94	51	51	+0	No	+$1	10-11 17:34
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	2	$90	51	51	+0	open	—	10-06 08:33
over 40m committed to the jumper public sale	7	$84	86	86	+0	Yes	-$12	10-01 05:29
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$78	44	44	+0	open	—	10-03 00:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	2	$76	51	51	+0	open	—	10-17 19:58
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	3	$76	94	94	+0	open	—	10-01 15:37
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$76	101	101	+0	open	—	10-26 02:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$74	55	55	+0	open	—	10-01 00:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October?	5	$73	42	42	+0	No	-$1	10-19 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$73	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	10-11 17:33
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$67	44	44	+0	open	—	10-12 07:45
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$67	111	0	+111	open	—	10-30 13:28
Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	7	$61	76	76	+0	open	—	10-18 08:40
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	4	$55	144	0	+144	open	—	11-02 10:13
Will Garrett Wilson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	10-02 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22?	5	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	10-22 12:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	3	$52	55	55	+0	open	—	10-01 10:15
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	8	$49	66	66	+0	Yes	-$11	09-30 21:10
Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$48	111	0	+111	open	—	10-30 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:56:18	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	78	54¢	$42	0xd2a52b…
11-02 19:56:16	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xcb9eb9…
11-02 19:56:16	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x6fc9bc…
11-02 10:13:30	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x790bf0…
11-02 10:13:28	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf651a3…
11-02 10:13:28	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x845648…
11-02 10:13:28	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x4321f9…
11-02 07:25:28	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x9f62b9…
11-01 19:44:31	Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x9b851e…
11-01 19:09:04	Will Javonte Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xb4b5c9…
11-01 19:07:16	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x43cff8…
11-01 18:26:19	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x94596c…
11-01 12:09:39	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	59	69¢	$41	0xc6113b…
11-01 12:09:36	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xbb9880…
11-01 12:09:36	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	56	69¢	$38	0xb40c5b…
11-01 12:09:34	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xca0552…
11-01 12:09:34	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x9039c4…
11-01 12:09:34	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x697706…
10-31 22:13:28	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	111	15¢	$17	0x578a39…
10-31 18:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x766a2d…
10-31 18:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x03211b…
10-30 14:07:19	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x1a8d74…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$26	0x05ab21…
10-30 13:50:16	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x9e1111…
10-30 13:28:43	Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	111	60¢	$67	0x472337…
10-30 13:22:30	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	111	34¢	$38	0x32321a…
10-30 12:32:28	Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0xe9dada…
10-30 12:02:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x490727…
10-30 11:09:37	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x473f4a…
10-30 10:39:00	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$3	0x4b8e97…
10-30 10:29:12	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	111	84¢	$93	0x25d040…
10-30 10:09:45	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x3056e6…
10-30 10:09:45	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0x29ea03…
10-30 09:37:28	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x8d20da…
10-30 09:27:49	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x44fefb…
10-30 09:19:55	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xb562db…
10-29 09:54:59	Will Benin win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x8223ff…
10-28 09:15:44	Will Ivory Coast win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x3cdd44…
10-27 02:00:14	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x7fe318…
10-26 23:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa07fbf…
10-26 23:10:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xea844a…
10-26 23:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xc9d8a1…
10-26 23:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x5876f0…
10-26 23:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x456dda…
10-26 23:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x1d9dd6…
10-26 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0xd2a1b3…
10-26 22:12:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xbb5174…
10-26 22:12:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x339c6e…
10-26 22:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x005880…
10-26 21:51:39	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x60ed38…
10-26 21:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x17e1d0…
10-26 21:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9d4a21…
10-26 21:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x3a1029…
10-26 21:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x57ee14…
10-26 21:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x100100…
10-26 21:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x43d5af…
10-26 21:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x36c88e…
10-26 20:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe27668…
10-26 20:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x2fd741…
10-26 20:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x07db5f…
10-26 20:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x297af2…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1c5028…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x06d5be…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xfe657d…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x02adc7…
10-26 19:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xcd32f2…
10-26 19:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xfb5782…
10-26 19:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xebb9c4…
10-26 19:44:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x43509c…
10-26 19:14:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x252160…
10-26 19:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x98551f…
10-26 18:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x8aaa5e…
10-26 18:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xf2e145…
10-26 18:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd3024a…
10-26 18:16:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xe47571…
10-26 18:12:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xe128f7…
10-26 18:12:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x358554…
10-26 17:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4bab55…
10-26 17:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x50bf4f…
10-26 17:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xa978a5…
10-26 17:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x72e18e…
10-26 17:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf1f50c…
10-26 17:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9cc2d3…
10-26 17:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x3e63ae…
10-26 17:15:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xea7e22…
10-26 17:08:59	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb6d39c…
10-26 17:07:03	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xaa448c…
10-26 17:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc85f20…
10-26 17:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x414deb…
10-26 16:59:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x9bcc57…
10-26 16:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xca0a78…
10-26 16:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6016c0…
10-26 16:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x40e01d…
10-26 16:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x14b99d…
10-26 16:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xfbe67e…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xde9265…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x1129f7…
10-26 16:15:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x2643b6…
10-26 16:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x70c7ad…
10-26 16:10:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x5d9ef2…