Overlooked-Insight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$306

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

224

Trades

3,054

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$119

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Sports

62% 19% +$583

Other

32% 12% -$16

Pop-Culture

3% 25% -$101

Politics

3% 0% -$132

Crypto

0% 20% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+94	$47	84¢	$79	+$32	10-25 14:46
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+200	$60	14¢	$27	-$33	10-19 21:21
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+500	$17	2¢	$12	-$5	10-20 21:17
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	+25	$5	3¢	$1	-$5	08-18 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	71	$778	13,124	13,115	+9	No	+$0	04-29 11:48
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	111	$641	15,534	14,339	+1,195	No	+$226	04-17 10:16
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$594	837	4,077	-3,240	No	+$344	04-28 10:19
will anthony davis be traded this season	15	$424	326	339	-13	Yes	+$239	02-04 20:25
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	52	$283	5,379	2,366	+3,013	No	+$177	04-08 21:33
will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	5	$276	285	290	-5	No	+$120	04-14 11:38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	29	$274	0	8,208	-8,208	No	+$274	04-29 05:36
will ja morant be traded this season	10	$151	102	178	-76	No	+$63	02-04 18:29
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	6	$141	320	253	+67	No	-$20	02-13 17:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$140	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-29 15:20
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$124	400	200	+200	open	—	10-19 21:21
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$119	270	0	+270	Yes	+$151	04-04 12:38
googl up or down on january 6 2026	5	$117	100	100	+0	Down	+$45	01-06 22:05
will keon ellis be traded this season	9	$114	575	140	+435	Yes	-$33	01-31 17:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	4	$111	500	500	+0	Yes	+$9	01-10 13:04
will domantas sabonis be traded this season	9	$104	228	200	+28	No	+$3	02-05 18:22
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$103	800	700	+100	No	-$27	04-26 07:26
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	13	$96	1,016	0	+1,016	Yes	-$96	05-09 09:56
will jonathan kuminga be traded this season	7	$96	3,034	134	+2,900	Yes	+$30	02-05 06:05
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$95	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$29	04-24 02:39
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	6	$86	157	104	+53	No	+$35	01-29 09:50
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$82	5,822	2,911	+2,911	No	-$41	05-08 08:01
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	43	$80	7,019	108	+6,911	No	-$33	04-09 14:13
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	19	$75	2,643	112	+2,531	Yes	+$22	02-05 17:15
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	7	$73	474	388	+86	No	+$71	02-05 15:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$72	100	100	+0	Yes	+$32	01-29 22:27
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	6	$65	868	559	+310	Yes	-$60	06-10 15:29
Will Kanye West release an album in 2026?	12	$58	1,207	58	+1,148	Yes	-$26	03-28 09:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$57	100	6	+94	open	—	10-25 14:46
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	18	$54	4,221	0	+4,221	Yes	-$54	05-11 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:46:53	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x3121c3…
10-25 14:46:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9644eb…
10-22 12:52:08	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9c7442…
10-21 16:37:53	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xb9e57f…
10-21 14:33:18	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdc25c6…
10-21 14:33:18	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1bd51c…
10-21 14:07:32	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x096928…
10-21 13:57:05	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8e3d46…
10-21 06:54:17	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7678fa…
10-20 21:17:06	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x2ad16c…
10-19 21:45:58	Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0x3b7967…
10-19 21:21:45	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	897	0¢	$2	0x377a87…
10-19 21:21:18	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x9daf10…
10-14 15:37:51	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$4	0x6ad346…
09-29 15:20:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0xc554a7…
09-08 21:34:00	Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x7a4f84…
09-07 00:06:37	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x57616c…
09-01 02:30:42	Will Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x9a0ffa…
08-31 12:57:55	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xae6e02…
08-21 12:37:54	Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x0f3654…
08-18 15:12:24	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xc45b41…
07-19 22:05:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0f3cfc…
07-19 19:01:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xfad7f9…
07-18 21:24:51	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xb7fe6a…
07-18 21:22:49	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$2	0xef40af…
07-18 21:08:37	Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,253	0¢	$4	0xbd583f…
07-17 21:40:18	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	171	9¢	$15	0xac0ce5…
07-16 10:56:25	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	297	3¢	$10	0x8bd818…
07-16 09:44:23	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x20f576…
07-14 18:46:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x646f67…
07-14 14:54:44	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x437343…
07-14 06:49:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x508d36…
07-13 13:15:01	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x01f3ec…
07-13 06:54:02	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xfe252b…
07-11 17:26:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x49e1ed…
07-04 23:19:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x25b385…
07-04 23:18:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x16080e…
07-04 22:55:46	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x014a0e…
07-04 22:55:16	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x3f9da6…
07-03 14:33:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xafc4aa…
07-02 22:45:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x5f6fd0…
06-29 14:53:31	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	534	0¢	$1	0x543d1b…
06-25 20:22:10	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x7d2fbd…
06-25 20:21:50	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$16	0x5d8c77…
06-22 19:08:50	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	869	0¢	$1	0x12fc0a…
06-22 19:07:58	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	731	0¢	$1	0x164245…
06-22 19:06:52	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	697	0¢	$1	0xc6027c…
06-22 19:06:41	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	855	0¢	$1	0x06f70a…
06-22 19:06:11	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$1	0x6f99ce…
06-22 19:05:19	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$0	0xda2ca5…
06-22 19:04:07	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	788	0¢	$1	0xcce8f0…
06-22 19:03:52	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	782	0¢	$1	0xf4e52d…
06-22 19:03:40	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	564	0¢	$1	0x740530…
06-22 19:03:16	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xf1a95b…
06-22 19:02:56	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	459	0¢	$0	0x18801e…
06-22 19:02:47	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x6ab9da…
06-22 19:01:23	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$1	0xa0764e…
06-22 19:00:34	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x20e74b…
06-22 19:00:14	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xfb6c30…
06-22 18:59:23	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x8d7071…
06-22 18:58:10	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xd73763…
06-22 15:46:10	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x26b247…
06-22 15:44:25	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xd19c19…
06-22 15:44:14	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb9c214…
06-22 15:44:14	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x27e92e…
06-22 15:44:04	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x31dda6…
06-22 15:43:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa42473…
06-22 15:43:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x2b2c7f…
06-22 15:43:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x1bd199…
06-22 15:43:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0ac049…
06-22 15:43:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x074276…
06-22 15:43:08	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x732914…
06-22 15:43:08	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x63f0e9…
06-22 15:43:08	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x58213b…
06-22 15:43:02	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf7f77e…
06-22 15:43:02	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbb0efc…
06-22 15:43:02	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa513de…
06-22 15:43:02	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5ff6c0…
06-22 15:42:59	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe5848d…
06-22 15:42:59	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x31e975…
06-22 15:42:59	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x115348…
06-22 15:42:43	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe23415…
06-22 15:42:43	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x826e59…
06-22 15:42:43	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x3fda76…
06-22 15:42:43	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x0e9877…
06-22 15:42:28	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x997d3c…
06-22 15:42:28	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7fbb88…
06-22 15:42:28	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1133cf…
06-22 15:42:20	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xafc0c8…
06-22 15:42:20	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa78c6e…
06-22 15:42:20	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9373dc…
06-22 15:42:20	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x657472…
06-22 15:41:38	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe2ee5a…
06-22 15:41:38	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd0fbee…
06-22 15:41:38	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x61d085…
06-22 15:41:38	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5fed22…
06-22 15:41:38	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x00d5af…
06-22 15:41:25	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe911cc…
06-22 15:41:25	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb4bc21…
06-22 15:41:25	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x71e2a5…