Daring-Polyp-Radar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

973

Trades

7,559

lifetime

Volume

$34.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-28 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

82% 58% +$168

Sports

16% 64% +$17

Crypto

2% 48% -$166

Politics

0% 25% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+21	$4	9¢	$2	-$2	10-25 01:40
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+20	$7	9¢	$2	-$5	10-25 01:40
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+1	$0	13¢	$0	+$0	09-26 22:40
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	+$0	08-07 15:53
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+0	$1	13¢	$0	-$1	08-31 05:05
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+0	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-20 09:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	192	$1.7K	1,776	1,776	+0	Yes	+$56	09-02 04:57
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	196	$1.4K	1,486	1,476	+10	No	+$65	09-01 09:03
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	125	$997	1,052	1,043	+9	Yes	+$51	09-01 23:38
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	149	$854	1,060	1,020	+40	No	+$36	08-06 01:44
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	104	$587	1,312	1,062	+250	No	+$22	09-02 07:33
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	102	$583	582	582	+0	No	+$27	08-13 15:11
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	63	$449	516	506	+10	Yes	+$25	08-25 15:51
will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	30	$382	388	387	+1	Yes	+$12	08-20 17:04
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	81	$376	447	447	+0	Yes	+$17	08-05 20:55
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	35	$339	320	320	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 03:24
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	31	$323	330	330	+0	No	-$14	08-29 15:43
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	55	$297	507	507	+0	No	+$5	08-26 15:09
la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	76	$294	345	345	+0	Lit Killah	+$20	07-25 22:40
la velada del ano 6 samy rivers vs roro 20260708192315676	53	$279	291	291	+0	RoRo	+$13	07-25 23:13
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	58	$269	408	408	+0	No	+$20	08-16 11:33
la velada del ano 6 alondrissa vs angie velasco 20260708191759484	50	$251	255	240	+15	Velasco	+$16	07-25 21:51
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	44	$247	415	385	+30	Yes	-$1	08-15 19:12
la velada del ano 6 viruzz vs gero arias 20260708192137377	41	$242	244	244	+0	Gero Arias	+$12	07-25 20:19
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	46	$217	335	335	+0	open	—	09-06 18:45
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	46	$216	272	272	+0	No	+$10	09-21 12:07
Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	24	$214	229	209	+20	No	+$15	09-13 13:18
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	19	$214	205	205	+0	Yes	+$9	08-20 06:28
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	31	$212	318	318	+0	No	+$11	08-30 10:01
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament	22	$203	190	190	+0	No	+$12	08-06 19:28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	58	$200	224	224	+0	No	+$10	07-19 22:21
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	37	$191	195	185	+10	Yes	+$14	08-04 10:15
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?	40	$188	201	199	+2	Yes	+$24	09-16 08:27
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	40	$185	324	324	+0	Yes	+$8	08-02 11:19
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	28	$184	246	216	+30	No	+$10	08-18 10:43
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-18?	15	$177	150	150	+0	Yes	+$7	08-26 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:09:25	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x8bba36…
10-28 02:19:03	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x87e9cb…
10-28 02:03:15	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x1cc5bf…
10-28 01:27:17	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xad2367…
10-27 00:41:47	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xdeba3d…
10-26 23:08:53	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4a1fd3…
10-26 22:55:15	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xed1cba…
10-26 22:55:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc4c177…
10-26 22:31:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xdf2195…
10-26 22:27:12	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x927982…
10-26 22:20:44	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xbc83c5…
10-26 18:25:56	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9270ae…
10-26 18:25:56	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3fb3d2…
10-26 17:50:47	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x11498c…
10-26 11:18:15	Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa03708…
10-26 01:18:35	Will Texas State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xe428e5…
10-26 01:04:24	Will Syracuse have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xddcbdc…
10-26 00:53:24	Will Syracuse have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x181132…
10-26 00:25:00	AS Trenčín vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0xcc39a8…
10-26 00:13:53	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x44a6f1…
10-25 23:45:48	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x9a4d9d…
10-25 23:25:06	Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x8e5fe7…
10-25 23:16:14	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9da74d…
10-25 23:02:53	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xaff100…
10-25 21:39:56	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x147940…
10-25 14:30:24	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x56bca6…
10-25 14:06:11	Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xfd2c29…
10-25 09:10:06	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x243e73…
10-25 07:00:11	Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x874825…
10-25 02:20:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x11e46c…
10-25 02:18:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf118b0…
10-25 01:40:15	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x116539…
10-25 01:40:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x297c3f…
10-25 01:40:06	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x260564…
10-25 01:31:09	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x810782…
10-25 01:05:23	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb3758d…
10-25 00:50:06	Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x32706a…
10-25 00:26:20	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xf34627…
10-24 23:46:27	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x15d5b3…
10-24 20:34:08	Cibona vs. Krka	Krka	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x57b8f2…
10-24 19:40:06	Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x79d9d4…
10-24 19:17:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x4c0629…
10-24 19:09:56	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xf620fc…
10-24 19:09:51	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x930ecb…
10-24 19:07:06	Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfc20f9…
10-24 18:55:47	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb823fa…
10-24 18:52:14	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x69edd3…
10-24 18:51:18	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x3b7f96…
10-24 18:51:18	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x1423b7…
10-24 18:46:20	Will LCK have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x70130b…
10-24 18:44:14	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd857fa…
10-24 18:22:51	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xebdda9…
10-24 18:22:32	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xc01976…
10-24 17:50:47	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x581725…
10-24 17:45:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x18488f…
10-24 17:25:26	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x60e9f9…
10-24 16:24:38	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x679b76…
10-24 15:37:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc74b53…
10-24 15:32:51	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa36487…
10-24 14:47:12	Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc7c77d…
10-24 14:32:51	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x93ffc0…
10-24 13:03:35	Will LCK have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xa69716…
10-24 11:35:57	Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8e1ac0…
10-24 10:03:05	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x59fb16…
10-24 07:31:42	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xd50050…
10-24 07:22:11	Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x2ab29c…
10-24 04:46:02	Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x78ae10…
10-23 22:49:50	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x237965…
10-23 21:56:56	Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x83bc7c…
10-23 21:36:33	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x538aa7…
10-23 18:07:30	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x395c7c…
10-23 15:46:11	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xeeae45…
10-23 15:46:09	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x07f0bc…
10-23 15:42:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Dembélé	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x0a44a8…
10-23 14:34:33	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x57fefd…
10-23 14:26:32	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x0079ef…
10-23 13:10:15	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x1b5501…
10-23 13:02:24	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x6a41ee…
10-23 06:02:53	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x55cab9…
10-23 02:20:15	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x295cad…
10-23 00:01:36	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Dembélé	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xe7fe38…
10-22 21:30:15	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x47fe30…
10-22 21:30:14	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x153b2c…
10-22 19:43:42	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf65c8f…
10-22 18:25:47	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf655f5…
10-22 17:36:20	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x9b2a3d…
10-22 17:30:44	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x407a0c…
10-22 17:02:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd80ca9…
10-22 16:28:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xec88af…
10-22 16:28:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x5ea0ec…
10-22 15:51:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Dembélé	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x663d4f…
10-22 15:51:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Dembélé	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa53127…
10-22 15:26:26	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x620625…
10-22 15:19:48	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x04e343…
10-22 14:53:23	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xdd90cc…
10-22 14:36:08	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xaabe34…
10-22 13:53:57	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x96067a…
10-22 13:53:26	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd4f8a3…
10-22 12:26:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x56b5cd…
10-22 12:02:02	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x6e67dd…