Unnatural-Sparerib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$798

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

196

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$1.79K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 74% -$1,450

Other

35% 45% +$150

Sports

11% 36% +$77

Politics

1% 50% -$17

Tech

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,550	$1,137	75¢	$1.2K	+$26	10-25 04:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+338	-$391	94¢	$318	+$708	10-25 03:57
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+150	$130	90¢	$135	+$5	07-25 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+100	$94	95¢	$95	+$0	10-26 13:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	+80	$76	97¢	$78	+$2	10-24 16:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$56	96¢	$0	+$56	09-16 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	29	$3.1K	2,300	1,962	+338	open	—	10-25 03:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	25	$2.9K	2,573	2,129	+443	Yes	+$103	09-16 17:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	41	$2.0K	2,107	557	+1,550	open	—	10-25 04:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	28	$1.7K	1,489	1,043	+446	No	-$452	06-01 15:58
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$1.4K	1,481	0	+1,481	Yes	+$105	05-06 15:01
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	12	$1.3K	1,344	0	+1,344	No	+$23	05-31 04:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$1.2K	617	617	+0	Yes	+$16	04-29 07:54
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$26	02-12 05:14
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	5	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	No	+$31	01-05 01:18
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	3	$949	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$51	01-02 16:24
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	5	$918	476	476	+0	No	+$27	03-27 01:55
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	3	$828	423	423	+0	No	+$18	07-30 15:49
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	2	$814	415	414	+0	No	+$14	07-29 08:56
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$797	409	409	+0	No	+$18	03-27 01:56
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 23c	2	$794	800	0	+800	No	+$6	04-02 06:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$706	749	0	+749	Yes	+$43	03-01 00:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	8	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	09-16 07:21
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	8	$697	493	246	+246	No	+$26	03-27 13:51
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	5	$653	677	0	+677	Yes	+$24	05-18 22:13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$627	883	20	+863	No	+$261	05-30 19:00
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	2	$619	319	319	+0	No	+$19	07-30 15:48
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	2	$618	319	319	+0	No	+$18	02-24 13:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$589	300	299	+1	No	+$9	04-29 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	2	$524	600	0	+600	Yes	-$524	06-02 06:56
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$500	578	0	+578	No	+$78	02-26 16:45
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	3	$476	243	243	+0	No	+$9	02-25 07:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	1	$460	500	0	+500	No	+$40	06-02 06:55
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	3	$420	222	222	+0	No	+$20	02-12 04:22
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$409	209	209	+0	No	+$9	02-24 13:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	3	$405	500	0	+500	Yes	-$405	06-02 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:35:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb4b5f6…
10-26 13:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x11e916…
10-26 08:28:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x1f0d68…
10-25 04:30:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	254	78¢	$198	0x972ec5…
10-25 03:57:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	113	96¢	$108	0x3c75f1…
10-24 16:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0xb823fe…
10-24 16:26:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0x9e652d…
10-22 16:47:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x978e1e…
10-22 16:44:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x994b75…
10-22 16:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xe8f722…
10-22 16:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0xd6f30e…
10-22 16:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x22d922…
10-22 16:05:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0xdc0c17…
10-22 16:01:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x20eb22…
10-22 15:12:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xfc6d1f…
10-22 15:12:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xd99cf5…
10-22 14:40:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xdead29…
10-22 14:40:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x54a123…
10-22 11:37:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xa97095…
10-22 04:24:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x03dd70…
10-19 14:38:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x679104…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xb49f32…
10-19 10:46:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	267	89¢	$238	0xac3462…
10-19 07:29:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xbed627…
10-18 22:23:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	356	87¢	$310	0x4fbb47…
10-18 01:22:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x5d5b6c…
10-18 01:22:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x557ae1…
10-17 19:16:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xcb9ec6…
10-17 15:56:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x604614…
10-17 15:56:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa26e1d…
10-16 07:33:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	258	87¢	$224	0x18c6ca…
10-16 07:27:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd91a16…
10-16 07:18:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	87¢	$97	0xfb224b…
10-16 07:16:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	87¢	$109	0x6a281c…
10-14 14:39:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe07b04…
10-14 14:36:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x50f8bb…
10-14 14:35:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	304	78¢	$237	0xdd9a4e…
10-13 18:06:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xc3c040…
10-13 18:06:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9537db…
10-13 18:06:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x68c07d…
10-13 18:06:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x58e10b…
10-13 15:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xa100cc…
10-09 08:32:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x49ba0f…
10-09 05:15:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x2d6a20…
10-08 05:07:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x229638…
10-07 23:59:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd30c3b…
10-07 23:59:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x847d6b…
10-03 13:41:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x728313…
10-03 13:40:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	375	82¢	$308	0x4b9f7f…
10-02 16:33:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5ee993…
10-02 15:54:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0x5df8ef…
10-02 15:51:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7436ab…
10-02 13:19:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xea61d9…
09-18 11:19:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x9e2494…
09-18 08:57:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x365609…
09-18 08:57:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x267e54…
09-17 23:46:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x596058…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xeaaa70…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	65¢	$116	0xe98461…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd58437…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x922db0…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x0afffd…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x020c94…
09-16 18:01:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xe6fec6…
09-16 17:59:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	160	87¢	$139	0x771276…
09-16 17:59:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	164	87¢	$143	0x34b2bb…
09-16 17:59:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0x722130…
09-16 16:21:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x79fb90…
09-16 07:21:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x7d34cd…
09-16 07:19:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x137b16…
09-16 07:14:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x0f74b2…
09-16 07:14:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x394d44…
09-16 07:13:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x1c282a…
09-16 07:07:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x410255…
09-16 03:53:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x89daba…
09-16 02:39:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x1e5811…
09-16 01:39:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x55b692…
09-15 15:33:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe679cb…
09-15 13:31:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	62	78¢	$48	0x891759…
09-15 13:21:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5503db…
09-15 13:16:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	46	78¢	$35	0xd294b5…
09-15 13:08:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x04bd2a…
09-15 10:54:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x238266…
09-14 16:25:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x99d7d5…
09-14 05:57:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x3f3ed7…
09-11 18:06:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1a2386…
09-11 17:29:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$26	0xcdd26b…
09-11 17:29:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	63¢	$41	0x260881…
09-11 17:29:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	63¢	$59	0x031258…
09-10 12:55:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	124	61¢	$76	0xee6a79…
09-10 12:40:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xbdea5a…
09-09 05:15:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	744	53¢	$395	0x019439…
08-31 16:28:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf72c93…
08-31 01:16:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0x743b93…
08-06 23:59:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x9796b6…
08-06 17:17:42	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x884af8…
08-06 17:15:35	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xdeaca5…
08-06 17:15:33	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa9c5c3…
08-06 17:11:51	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x52428d…
08-05 17:25:54	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$40	0x5c924b…