Frightening-Worth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$453

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-16 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

67% 0% $-10

Other

25% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+59	$10	15¢	$9	$-1	06-05 03:12
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+10	$2	32¢	$3	+$1	06-14 05:03
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+6	$2	32¢	$2	+$0	06-14 05:00
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+32	$1	3¢	$1	+$0	06-16 05:24
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+200	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-16 05:27
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+25	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	06-14 05:05
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+22	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-14 05:03
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+18	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-14 05:00
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+11	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-14 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	2	$23	19	18	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 20:13
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$15	75	0	+75	open	—	04-27 16:37
nba den min 2026 04 23	2	$15	566	0	+566	open	—	04-24 03:32
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	04-26 02:21
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	05-30 15:28
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-28 16:11
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$10	204	0	+204	open	—	04-11 19:56
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-19 12:13
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 21:09
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 exact score 1 2	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 20:43
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 12:13
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-25 21:00
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	04-26 02:20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	04-28 16:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	06-05 03:12
nba por phx 2026 04 14 total 218pt5	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-13 21:09
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	2	$10	61	0	+61	open	—	04-28 16:13
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	3	$8	105	0	+105	open	—	06-09 03:28
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	04-11 19:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	2	$7	28	28	+0	open	—	06-09 03:20
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	2	$5	62	61	+2	open	—	04-21 20:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	04-13 21:16
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 16:38
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	04-12 20:11
nba den sas 2026 04 12	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 20:13
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 17:13
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 21:13
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	500	0	+500	No	$-5	04-11 19:57
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 05:27:01	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2b25e9…
06-16 05:24:13	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x638132…
06-14 05:05:13	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0933d4…
06-14 05:03:49	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x769efb…
06-14 05:03:00	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x740deb…
06-14 05:00:16	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdb5c17…
06-14 05:00:00	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x29aa78…
06-14 04:59:45	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x03070c…
06-13 22:19:04	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts first half	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe29582…
06-09 03:28:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf5c651…
06-09 03:20:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Over	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x26792e…
06-09 03:19:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x905063…
06-09 01:17:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Over	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6f2127…
06-09 01:17:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa21534…
06-07 15:16:51	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x86411a…
06-06 03:25:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x61760b…
06-05 03:12:09	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8576a4…
06-02 22:42:45	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc6b0fe…
05-30 15:28:39	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x69504d…
05-30 15:28:16	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7069d1…
05-30 15:28:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf557ee…
05-30 15:25:51	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x76306f…
05-19 12:13:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2968c2…
05-19 12:13:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x686bab…
05-03 00:43:20	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x594ef0…
05-03 00:41:32	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9f53f4…
05-02 18:46:10	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdc325e…
05-01 04:31:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7e6c29…
04-30 03:54:06	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfd9030…
04-29 23:21:22	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb5a11a…
04-29 13:57:40	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xaa62dd…
04-28 16:14:10	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7a6482…
04-28 16:13:54	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbb01cf…
04-28 16:13:36	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x839ad1…
04-28 16:12:26	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf3c168…
04-28 16:11:52	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa8982b…
04-28 16:11:30	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0208c4…
04-27 16:38:26	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb6ce8c…
04-27 16:38:02	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2216e1…
04-27 16:37:48	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6d4a29…
04-27 16:37:12	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x0301e3…
04-26 02:21:08	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8f3bbc…
04-26 02:20:38	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9fed67…
04-25 21:00:30	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb39bcd…
04-25 21:00:00	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1cb7f3…
04-25 17:14:28	Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0xee9c67…
04-25 17:13:24	Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7890e6…
04-25 17:13:06	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x886581…
04-25 17:12:50	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x84d1f0…
04-24 03:32:14	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xc2ffdb…
04-24 03:00:32	nba den min 2026 04 23 total 232pt5	Over	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2f3526…
04-24 02:57:44	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xcad0ec…
04-21 20:58:58	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x7e1339…
04-21 02:55:46	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xfd45c0…
04-21 02:54:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe2103e…
04-21 02:53:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3539cf…
04-21 02:52:40	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x07f0aa…
04-21 02:52:24	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb97792…
04-21 02:52:08	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa3c702…
04-21 02:51:42	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5d15b4…
04-21 02:50:54	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb502bb…
04-13 21:18:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7de1af…
04-13 21:17:13	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x0db4b4…
04-13 21:16:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd1cb8d…
04-13 21:13:09	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xef5a3c…
04-13 21:09:49	nba por phx 2026 04 14 total 218pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9d6011…
04-13 21:09:19	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Heat	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7ba49b…
04-12 20:14:41	nba sac por 2026 04 12	Kings	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xeba6e3…
04-12 20:14:23	nba uta lal 2026 04 12	Jazz	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x3b5e12…
04-12 20:13:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb68614…
04-12 20:13:07	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x98c21c…
04-12 20:12:23	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	Nets	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x9a060f…
04-12 20:12:07	nba cha nyk 2026 04 12	Knicks	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x613e71…
04-12 20:11:39	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xecc56b…
04-12 20:08:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x652fe9…
04-11 20:01:13	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1dd0b5…
04-11 19:58:09	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x41cedb…
04-11 19:57:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd47a11…
04-11 19:56:43	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0xd560c0…
04-07 21:00:39	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x23f98b…
04-07 20:43:37	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 exact score 1 2	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xff0cd7…
04-07 20:41:25	nba okc lal 2026 04 07 spread away 18pt5	Thunder	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x277b29…
04-07 20:39:21	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf8c12b…
04-07 20:36:47	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9c635b…
03-11 01:18:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0xa210c3…
03-11 01:17:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x11ab51…