Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3c4…33f779
whale 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$115
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
13.2%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
26
2,969 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.39K
$148.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$5.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-31 18:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
47% 75% +$3,305
Other
45% 67% +$1,952
Sports
7% 71% +$152
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,219 $1,122 96¢ $1.2K +$43 10-24 17:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +825 $577 80¢ $664 +$87 10-09 03:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +605 $592 98¢ $595 +$4 07-25 03:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +550 $481 94¢ $520 +$39 10-12 22:42
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +362 $207 86¢ $313 +$106 09-10 17:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $273 94¢ $284 +$10 10-20 13:25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +250 $240 97¢ $243 +$3 06-30 02:24
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +450 $302 52¢ $232 -$71 09-21 17:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $210 74¢ $224 +$14 09-02 15:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $28 94¢ $189 +$161 07-24 18:19
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +200 $180 84¢ $168 -$12 08-27 07:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $130 70¢ $141 +$11 10-27 12:25
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 10-22 19:24
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$39 48¢ $-73 -$34 08-18 03:15
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +95 $74 62¢ $58 -$16 07-24 12:30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +359 $75 14¢ $49 -$27 10-30 13:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +200 $46 24¢ $47 +$1 10-28 00:14
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 08-27 19:15
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 08-27 18:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +450 $170 6¢ $25 -$145 07-24 19:47
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$20 15¢ $-22 -$2 08-22 21:58
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -605 -$11 3¢ $-18 -$7 07-28 07:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 11¢ $-16 +$8 07-01 20:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 10¢ $-14 +$10 07-11 13:58
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$5 1¢ $-12 -$7 08-14 16:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$26 6¢ $-10 +$17 08-23 00:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$16 6¢ $-9 +$7 08-23 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1,219 -$9 1¢ $-7 +$2 10-29 15:38
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -439 $351 2¢ $-7 -$358 05-08 14:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$8 4¢ $-6 +$2 08-23 00:32